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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10
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Author Topic: TX Dixie Strategies: Cruz +10  (Read 1185 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 30, 2018, 01:37:16 pm »

https://dfw.cbslocal.com/2018/10/30/cruz-abbott-pull-ahead-in-latest-poll/

Cruz 52
Beto 42
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Cory Booker
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 01:39:16 pm »

Beto is too liberal to win in TX
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 01:39:35 pm »

Just what we need another Texas poll.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2018, 01:40:31 pm »

Probably a little too Republican, but Likely R, and closer to Safe than Lean.
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Old School Republican
Computer89
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2018, 01:41:32 pm »

Just what we need another Texas poll.
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2016
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2018, 01:44:59 pm »

Game Over for O'Rourke.
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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2018, 01:49:16 pm »


You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2018, 01:49:18 pm »

Despite most people seeming to think it will end up Cruz+5 or less, it is not really implausible that Cruz could end up winning by this much. Despite Dems improving a lot in early vote relative to 2014, Republicans are also turning out a lot of voters, including infrequent voters. Maybe that might change in the last few days of early voting, but so far...
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AOC Stan
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2018, 01:52:26 pm »

Despite most people seeming to think it will end up Cruz+5 or less, it is not really implausible that Cruz could end up winning by this much. Despite Dems improving a lot in early vote relative to 2014, Republicans are also turning out a lot of voters, including infrequent voters. Maybe that might change in the last few days of early voting, but so far...
They overestimated Trump in TX in 2016 too so I'm not really all that concerned Tongue
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President Biden
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2018, 02:00:54 pm »

Lol. Junk poll.
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2016
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2018, 03:01:54 pm »


You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.

It was.
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Webnicz
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2018, 03:01:59 pm »

I Would rather see a poll for the election of constable in a small county of 300 people before I see another Texas poll
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Ebsy
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2018, 03:09:26 pm »

Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care
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I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2018, 03:24:03 pm »

Cruz will probably win by low double digits so I say this is the most accurate poll of all the latest ones
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DrScholl
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2018, 03:30:23 pm »


You have to admit, it was pretty funny watching democrats draining millions of dollars down the drain, only for O'Rourke too lose by near double digits.

It's actually not so funny for Republicans if Beto performs well enough to help bring down Republican incumbents in House districts. But pettiness is all some people have, especially the users that show up right before every election to be cheerleaders for Republicans.
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PQG and Libertarian Republican Pimp Slapped Coronavirus!
badger
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« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2018, 04:11:19 pm »

Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care

Fivethirtyeight ranking?
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DataGuy
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« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2018, 04:16:56 pm »

Dixie Strategies is not a good pollster. who care

Fivethirtyeight ranking?

FiveThirtyEight ranks Dixie Strategies as a B minus. It's not a top-tier gold standard pollster, but I wouldn't call it trash. They're about average.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2018, 05:53:55 pm »

Outlier, but yeah, Cruz is almost certainly going to win.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2018, 07:47:38 pm »


The game actually never really started, despite the press attention.
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2018, 10:14:46 pm »

Likely R -> Safe R.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2018, 10:25:16 pm »


Safe Republican is a stretch, but Cruz has the upper hand, and has had it the entire year. Democrats have wasted millions of dollars and a significant amount of resources on a state they were never going to win in the first place. All of those funds, ads, campaign volunteers, posters, rallies, etc. could have been focused in states like Missouri, Indiana, Arizona, and Nevada, where they actually have a chance of winning. We will see what the results of this strategy will reap next week.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2018, 12:28:38 am »

An upset can happen like it did to Feingold on election day. Just like in TN. These are tilt R but not safe GOP. Due to another poll showing Cruz up by 4-5 again
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