2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Young Conservative]

GOP’s Top Recruits jump in for #NM02 (Oil exec and member of wealthy NM family Claire Chase) and #IN05 State treasurer Kelly Mitchell

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/more-republican-women-ever-are-planning-run-office-n1022376

Head of Yale campaign school says, “we’ve never seen anything like this before.” Regarding the number of republican women running for office.

The Stefanik effect?

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

GOP’s Top Recruits jump in for #NM02 (Oil exec and member of wealthy NM family Claire Chase) and #IN05 State treasurer Kelly Mitchell

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/more-republican-women-ever-are-planning-run-office-n1022376

Head of Yale campaign school says, “we’ve never seen anything like this before.” Regarding the number of republican women running for office.

The Stefanik effect?

Well when less than 10% of Republican Congresspeople are women, that's a pretty low bar

[Politician]

GOP’s Top Recruits jump in for #NM02 (Oil exec and member of wealthy NM family Claire Chase) and #IN05 State treasurer Kelly Mitchell

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/more-republican-women-ever-are-planning-run-office-n1022376

Head of Yale campaign school says, “we’ve never seen anything like this before.” Regarding the number of republican women running for office.

The Stefanik effect?

Well when less than 10% of Republican Congresspeople are women, that's a pretty low bar

Also notable in that most GOP women are running in competitive districts as opposed to safe districts.

[Calthrina950]

GOP’s Top Recruits jump in for #NM02 (Oil exec and member of wealthy NM family Claire Chase) and #IN05 State treasurer Kelly Mitchell

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/more-republican-women-ever-are-planning-run-office-n1022376

Head of Yale campaign school says, “we’ve never seen anything like this before.” Regarding the number of republican women running for office.

The Stefanik effect?

Well when less than 10% of Republican Congresspeople are women, that's a pretty low bar

This. And even though I give Stefanik credit for her recruitment efforts, they thus far have not borne any fruit. For example, Joan Perry, whom Stefanik endorsed, lost to Greg Murphy in the primary for the late Walter Jones's seat not too long ago. And not only did she lose, she lost by a landslide-more than 20%. And at least two of the currently serving Republican women in the House (Brooks and Roby) are retiring, so it's likely that the size of the Republican female caucus will diminish further. Republican women continue to have difficulty winning their party's primaries, as Perry's loss demonstrates.

[Brittain33]

Yeah, these are future leaders of the Republican party, for certain.

Others, like Valerie Ramirez Mukherjee of Illinois, are running for a seat in Congress straight away... An investment manager who supports abortion rights and gay rights and is concerned about climate change, Ramirez Mukherjee said she's stepping up in the hope of helping to change the perception of her party.

Smith, who describes herself as fiscally conservative and socially moderate, now feels like it's the U.S. political system that's broken — and her party is a part of the problem.

Like Pelphrey, many of the GOP hopefuls interviewed by NBC News said they were frustrated by the lack of support from the Republican Party, and some said they were actively discouraged from running by local party members or political consultants. These women said that they encountered concerns about female candidates being perceived as playing "identity politics."

[lfromnj]

Lol no. Abortion hasn't moved in the past 40 years. Other social issues yes but no on abortion. If I ran in the GOP I would act pro life.

[ElectionsGuy]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

[lfromnj]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

I would say culturally rather social

[ElectionsGuy]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

I would say culturally rather social

I think the cultural stuff ties into nationalism, but yes very cultural conservative. Repub voters are still social conservatives though, just because gay marriage is a decided issue and maybe 40% of them support it doesn't mean they're anything close to moderate on other social issues.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

A decent amount of republicans are pro-choice in some way

And a decent amount of dems are pro-life

[Bidenworth2020]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

A decent amount of republicans are pro-choice in some way

And a decent amount of dems are pro-life

There are no pro choice republicans in the house.

[Brittain33]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

A decent amount of republicans are pro-choice in some way

We won't find that out really until Roe v. Wade is overturned and many of those Republicans will have to seriously engage with the issue.

[Gustaf]

Isn't the actual Republican position on abortion just to deny it to poor people and retain it for themselves?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

These people are so disconnected from the average voter. The average Republican voter is economically moderate to center-right, mostly socially conservative, and very nationalistic. They are not supportive of abortion or concerned about climate change or concerned about being inclusive. lol, the party will just keep electing Trumps in any primaries where they show up if these people keep insisting on changing the party in their way.

A decent amount of republicans are pro-choice in some way

And a decent amount of dems are pro-life

There are no pro choice republicans in the house.

I mean the actual voters.

[Gracile]

CA-50: Former CA-49 Rep. Darrell Issa (R) is forming an exploratory committee-

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1166899957401415680

[Calthrina950]

CA-50: Former CA-49 Rep. Darrell Issa (R) is forming an exploratory committee-

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1166899957401415680

I dislike carpetbagging politicians. Issa retired because he could not win reelection in his old district, and now he's thinking about shifting to a safer, less competitive seat. And while Issa would be an "improvement" over the corrupt and scandal-plagued Hunter, that's not saying much.

[HarrisonL]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1165523079126081536?s=19

Gosar gets a primary challenge.

Is this even a legitimate primary challenge though?

[Politician]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2020-house-ratings-august-30-2019

*TRIGGER WARNING FOR ATLAS TRENDTARDS*
CA-21: Lean D->Tilt D
IA-4: Likely R->Lean R

TX-22: Lean R->Tilt R
TX-24: Lean R->Tilt R

[DaWN]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2020-house-ratings-august-30-2019

*TRIGGER WARNING FOR ATLAS TRENDTARDS*
CA-21: Lean D->Tilt D
IA-4: Likely R->Lean R

TX-22: Lean R->Tilt R
TX-24: Lean R->Tilt R

Surely even you can't be delusional enough to think CA21 is anything except Safe D

[Gracile]

https://insideelections.com/ratings/house/2020-house-ratings-august-30-2019

*TRIGGER WARNING FOR ATLAS TRENDTARDS*
CA-21: Lean D->Tilt D
IA-4: Likely R->Lean R

TX-22: Lean R->Tilt R
TX-24: Lean R->Tilt R

That CA-21 rating is a total joke.

[Politician]

As I predicted, Atlas is already freaking out about the CA-21 rating.

If you don't agree MAKE YOUR OWN RATINGS!

[Oryxslayer]

CA-50: Former CA-49 Rep. Darrell Issa (R) is forming an exploratory committee-

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1166899957401415680

I dislike carpetbagging politicians. Issa retired because he could not win reelection in his old district, and now he's thinking about shifting to a safer, less competitive seat. And while Issa would be an "improvement" over the corrupt and scandal-plagued Hunter, that's not saying much.

There's also the popular (in conservative circles) DeMaio who would be an improvement of both these losers. It's a shame that only Najjar is running currently for the Dems, because so many high profile R's would raise the possibility of a DvD lockout - and I'm normally the guy who pushs back on the top two lockout scenarios in non-safe seats.

Also Issa Represented 'some' of the present CA-50 under the 2000 map, so it's a little less heinous, even if his motives are poisonous.

[Xing]

As I predicted, Atlas is already freaking out about the CA-21 rating.

If you don't agree MAKE YOUR OWN RATINGS!

Uh, do you know Atlas? Nearly all of us do. Anyway, the TX ratings changes make sense (I'd even say TX-24 should be a pure Toss-Up), but CA-21 and IA-04...

[Calthrina950]

CA-50: Former CA-49 Rep. Darrell Issa (R) is forming an exploratory committee-

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1166899957401415680

I dislike carpetbagging politicians. Issa retired because he could not win reelection in his old district, and now he's thinking about shifting to a safer, less competitive seat. And while Issa would be an "improvement" over the corrupt and scandal-plagued Hunter, that's not saying much.

There's also the popular (in conservative circles) DeMaio who would be an improvement of both these losers. It's a shame that only Najjar is running currently for the Dems, because so many high profile R's would raise the possibility of a DvD lockout - and I'm normally the guy who pushs back on the top two lockout scenarios in non-safe seats.

Also Issa Represented 'some' of the present CA-50 under the 2000 map, so it's a little less heinous, even if his motives are poisonous.

I agree about Najjar, who is not the best Democratic candidate for this seat, even though he managed to lose to Hunter by "only" 8% last year. More Democrats running would shut off the possibility of either Hunter or Issa prevailing. But if that doesn't happen, then I would hope that DeMaio would be able to earn enough support to at least get into the top two, preferably against Hunter.

[Zaybay]

CA-50: Former CA-49 Rep. Darrell Issa (R) is forming an exploratory committee-

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1166899957401415680

I dislike carpetbagging politicians. Issa retired because he could not win reelection in his old district, and now he's thinking about shifting to a safer, less competitive seat. And while Issa would be an "improvement" over the corrupt and scandal-plagued Hunter, that's not saying much.

There's also the popular (in conservative circles) DeMaio who would be an improvement of both these losers. It's a shame that only Najjar is running currently for the Dems, because so many high profile R's would raise the possibility of a DvD lockout - and I'm normally the guy who pushs back on the top two lockout scenarios in non-safe seats.

Also Issa Represented 'some' of the present CA-50 under the 2000 map, so it's a little less heinous, even if his motives are poisonous.

I agree about Najjar, who is not the best Democratic candidate for this seat, even though he managed to lose to Hunter by "only" 8% last year. More Democrats running would shut off the possibility of either Hunter or Issa prevailing. But if that doesn't happen, then I would hope that DeMaio would be able to earn enough support to at least get into the top two, preferably against Hunter.

The House election in CA-50 was won by Hunter 51.7%-48.3%, or a margin of 3.4%.