2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[IceSpear]

https://twitter.com/VApoliticalmeme/status/1153329471564464128

Could be nothing, could be something

Democrats be like Plz  be Wexton so the GOP can waste another 10 million.

Speaking of Wexton, the GOP got a decent candidate up for the fight with Wexton. Too bad this seat is both moving to the left at the speed of light, and guaranteed to lose red areas like Fredrick and Warren in 2020 redistricting (Fair redistricting creates a third NOVA Dem seat in Fairfax+Loudoun, Dem Redistricting might get wirder but still ends up with a 60/40 clinton seat at minimun).

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1153291575558103042

So if the GOP wants to sink another 10 mil, its on them.

Wexton can lose if the GOP calls her a socialist enough times.

[Mr.Phips]

McLaughlin poll has Debbie Mucarsel-Powell leading Irina Vilariño 45-33, Curbelo leads DMP 45-42

This admittedly funny McLaughlin Poll comes as curbelo says he won't run in 2020.

Lol Curbelo wasn’t winning with Trump at the top of the ticket.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/VApoliticalmeme/status/1153329471564464128

Could be nothing, could be something

Democrats be like Plz  be Wexton so the GOP can waste another 10 million.

Speaking of Wexton, the GOP got a decent candidate up for the fight with Wexton. Too bad this seat is both moving to the left at the speed of light, and guaranteed to lose red areas like Fredrick and Warren in 2020 redistricting (Fair redistricting creates a third NOVA Dem seat in Fairfax+Loudoun, Dem Redistricting might get wirder but still ends up with a 60/40 clinton seat at minimun).

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1153291575558103042

So if the GOP wants to sink another 10 mil, its on them.

Wexton can lose if the GOP calls her a socialist enough times.

Trump would have to winning by a landslide for Wexton to lose

[Politician]

https://twitter.com/VApoliticalmeme/status/1153329471564464128

Could be nothing, could be something

Democrats be like Plz  be Wexton so the GOP can waste another 10 million.

Speaking of Wexton, the GOP got a decent candidate up for the fight with Wexton. Too bad this seat is both moving to the left at the speed of light, and guaranteed to lose red areas like Fredrick and Warren in 2020 redistricting (Fair redistricting creates a third NOVA Dem seat in Fairfax+Loudoun, Dem Redistricting might get wirder but still ends up with a 60/40 clinton seat at minimun).

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1153291575558103042

So if the GOP wants to sink another 10 mil, its on them.

Wexton can lose if the GOP calls her a socialist enough times.

Trump would have to winning by a landslide for Wexton to lose

Or Wexton has a major scandal

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/VApoliticalmeme/status/1153329471564464128

Could be nothing, could be something

Democrats be like Plz  be Wexton so the GOP can waste another 10 million.

Speaking of Wexton, the GOP got a decent candidate up for the fight with Wexton. Too bad this seat is both moving to the left at the speed of light, and guaranteed to lose red areas like Fredrick and Warren in 2020 redistricting (Fair redistricting creates a third NOVA Dem seat in Fairfax+Loudoun, Dem Redistricting might get wirder but still ends up with a 60/40 clinton seat at minimun).

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1153291575558103042

So if the GOP wants to sink another 10 mil, its on them.

Wexton can lose if the GOP calls her a socialist enough times.

Trump would have to winning by a landslide for Wexton to lose

Or Wexton has a major scandal

Scandals don't seem to matter much these days (see Steve King, Duncan Hunter, Bob Menendez, etc. still having political careers), so I don't see why one would sink Wexton. If that were to occur, she would probably be pressured to stand down.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

https://twitter.com/VApoliticalmeme/status/1153329471564464128

Could be nothing, could be something

Democrats be like Plz  be Wexton so the GOP can waste another 10 million.

Speaking of Wexton, the GOP got a decent candidate up for the fight with Wexton. Too bad this seat is both moving to the left at the speed of light, and guaranteed to lose red areas like Fredrick and Warren in 2020 redistricting (Fair redistricting creates a third NOVA Dem seat in Fairfax+Loudoun, Dem Redistricting might get wirder but still ends up with a 60/40 clinton seat at minimun).

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1153291575558103042

So if the GOP wants to sink another 10 mil, its on them.

Wexton can lose if the GOP calls her a socialist enough times.

Trump would have to winning by a landslide for Wexton to lose

Your sarcasm detector isn’t working so hot is it

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

https://twitter.com/VApoliticalmeme/status/1153329471564464128

Could be nothing, could be something

Democrats be like Plz  be Wexton so the GOP can waste another 10 million.

Speaking of Wexton, the GOP got a decent candidate up for the fight with Wexton. Too bad this seat is both moving to the left at the speed of light, and guaranteed to lose red areas like Fredrick and Warren in 2020 redistricting (Fair redistricting creates a third NOVA Dem seat in Fairfax+Loudoun, Dem Redistricting might get wirder but still ends up with a 60/40 clinton seat at minimun).

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1153291575558103042

So if the GOP wants to sink another 10 mil, its on them.

Wexton can lose if the GOP calls her a socialist enough times.

Trump would have to winning by a landslide for Wexton to lose

Or Wexton has a major scandal

Scandals don't seem to matter much these days (see Steve King, Duncan Hunter, Bob Menendez, etc. still having political careers), so I don't see why one would sink Wexton. If that were to occur, she would probably be pressured to stand down.

Steve King literally underperformed Trump by 24 points, and underperformed Romney too in a District that trended heavily Republican from 2012 to 2016. Scandals do matter, but most Representatives simply have seats so strong for their party, that they can afford to tank the hit from it and still win.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Sebelius staffer Abbie Hodgson is IN for KS-02. Tough district but a strong candidate, and given Watkins is a disaster, I think it's worth keeping an eye on her. Likely R.

Safe R, really. If Paul Davis couldn't win this district in a D wave, I'm doubtful another Dem could in a more Republican year (at least in this district).

I was about to say, we can always draw hope from the fact that 2008 was a bigger Dem wave than 2006, and then I remembered that this is one of the districts Democrats *lost* in 2008.

Is Cedric Richmond losing in 2020?

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Sebelius staffer Abbie Hodgson is IN for KS-02. Tough district but a strong candidate, and given Watkins is a disaster, I think it's worth keeping an eye on her. Likely R.

Safe R, really. If Paul Davis couldn't win this district in a D wave, I'm doubtful another Dem could in a more Republican year (at least in this district).

I was about to say, we can always draw hope from the fact that 2008 was a bigger Dem wave than 2006, and then I remembered that this is one of the districts Democrats *lost* in 2008.

Is Cedric Richmond losing in 2020?

Are you seriously comparing KS-2 to LA-2 or are you trolling

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Sebelius staffer Abbie Hodgson is IN for KS-02. Tough district but a strong candidate, and given Watkins is a disaster, I think it's worth keeping an eye on her. Likely R.

Safe R, really. If Paul Davis couldn't win this district in a D wave, I'm doubtful another Dem could in a more Republican year (at least in this district).

I was about to say, we can always draw hope from the fact that 2008 was a bigger Dem wave than 2006, and then I remembered that this is one of the districts Democrats *lost* in 2008.

Is Cedric Richmond losing in 2020?

Are you seriously comparing KS-2 to LA-2 or are you trolling

Its Brittain33 who committed a logical fallacy here, I was simply mentioning that a fallacy was being pushed.

[IceSpear]

https://twitter.com/VApoliticalmeme/status/1153329471564464128

Could be nothing, could be something

Democrats be like Plz  be Wexton so the GOP can waste another 10 million.

Speaking of Wexton, the GOP got a decent candidate up for the fight with Wexton. Too bad this seat is both moving to the left at the speed of light, and guaranteed to lose red areas like Fredrick and Warren in 2020 redistricting (Fair redistricting creates a third NOVA Dem seat in Fairfax+Loudoun, Dem Redistricting might get wirder but still ends up with a 60/40 clinton seat at minimun).

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1153291575558103042

So if the GOP wants to sink another 10 mil, its on them.

Wexton can lose if the GOP calls her a socialist enough times.

Trump would have to winning by a landslide for Wexton to lose

Or Wexton has a major scandal

Barb's vaunted oppo research would've unearthed it if she did.

[Brittain33]

Sebelius staffer Abbie Hodgson is IN for KS-02. Tough district but a strong candidate, and given Watkins is a disaster, I think it's worth keeping an eye on her. Likely R.

Safe R, really. If Paul Davis couldn't win this district in a D wave, I'm doubtful another Dem could in a more Republican year (at least in this district).

I was about to say, we can always draw hope from the fact that 2008 was a bigger Dem wave than 2006, and then I remembered that this is one of the districts Democrats *lost* in 2008.

Is Cedric Richmond losing in 2020?

Are you seriously comparing KS-2 to LA-2 or are you trolling

Its Brittain33 who committed a logical fallacy here, I was simply mentioning that a fallacy was being pushed.

While the 2006-2008 experience isn’t determinative of KS-2’s future, it’s ridiculous to compare an outlier election like LA-2 in 2006 to that district’s elections today, whereas I think it’s reasonable to note that KS-2 voted Republican in two Dem wave years (2008, 2016) and rural areas have only trended R since then.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/chadpergram/status/1154827343413882880?s=21

[Virginiá]

Not surprising. We'll probably see a lot more as numerous Republicans realize that being in the minority sucks and others who have never run actual campaigns conclude that they can't cut it in their newly-competitive districts.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

How do you post a map that you made in Dave's Redistricting App? Asking because I made a map that has three safe D NOVA Clinton +double digits seats and a fourth likely D NOVA seat that is Clinton +5% without bacon stripping. Also VA-2 is Clinton +8% and VA-7 is Clinton +7% while satisfying the 40% black VRA requirements for VA-3 and 4.

[Ebsy]

How do you post a map that you made in Dave's Redistricting App? Asking because I made a map that has three safe D NOVA Clinton +double digits seats and a fourth likely D NOVA seat that is Clinton +5% without bacon stripping. Also VA-2 is Clinton +8% and VA-7 is Clinton +7% while satisfying the 40% black VRA requirements for VA-3 and 4.

You can take a screenshot of it and upload that to an image hosting site, then insert the image into your post. Still, this isn't the thread for maps like that.

[lfromnj]

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/glen-rock-councilwoman-to-challenge-gottheimer-in-democratic-primary/
Plz dont. Anyway endorsing Njs best member of Congress for reelection.

[Gracile]

Another House recruit: Sara Hart Weir (R) officially in against Rep. Sharice Davids (D) in KS-03

https://twitter.com/sarahartweir/status/1155858444047585280

[Young Conservative]

Another House recruit: Sara Hart Weir (R) officially in against Rep. Sharice Davids (D) in KS-03

https://twitter.com/sarahartweir/status/1155858444047585280

Powerful statement decrying # of GOP women in Congress and defending those with preexisting conditions. Trying to present herself as the moderate independent voice relative to Sharice David’s, whom she called a “rubber yes stamp for Pelosi.”

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Another House recruit: Sara Hart Weir (R) officially in against Rep. Sharice Davids (D) in KS-03

https://twitter.com/sarahartweir/status/1155858444047585280

Powerful statement decrying # of GOP women in Congress and defending those with preexisting conditions. Trying to present herself as the moderate independent voice relative to Sharice David’s, whom she called a “rubber yes stamp for Pelosi.”

Imagine using someone with Down syndrome as a prop for launching your campaign and having no shame about it

[Pollster]

Tlaib in good shape but possibly vulnerable in Dem primary

[Politician]

Another House recruit: Sara Hart Weir (R) officially in against Rep. Sharice Davids (D) in KS-03

https://twitter.com/sarahartweir/status/1155858444047585280

Decent recruit, but this district is trending blue and Davids is a strong incumbent, Likely D for now.

[wesmoorenerd]

Dems land another top recruit in State Rep. Adam Hattersley (FL-15)

[Politician]

Dems land another top recruit in State Rep. Adam Hattersley (FL-15)

In addition, 2018 candidate Andrew Learned has dropped out and will likely run for Hattersley's highly competitive Obama-Trump seat (ironically represented by Spano).

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Another House recruit: Sara Hart Weir (R) officially in against Rep. Sharice Davids (D) in KS-03

https://twitter.com/sarahartweir/status/1155858444047585280

Ah yes, she speaks fondly of her friend with Down syndrome but she won't hesitate to vote to gut the ACA, a program many people with DS rely on.