2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 167767 times)
96FJV
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« Reply #1225 on: June 12, 2019, 06:48:19 PM »
How can someone be a progressive, and a lobbyist?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1226 on: June 13, 2019, 09:01:13 AM »
Finally the GOP is getting serious, instead of piddle paddling around in places like CA 25 and MN 2
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Strong Candidate
123NY
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« Reply #1227 on: June 13, 2019, 10:02:01 AM »
Henry Cuellar has a primary challenger. She's a Hispanic human rights lawyer who has advocated for immigrants, and she's from Laredo, Cuellar's home base. It's a tough race, but she has the right profile to win it:
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Gracile
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« Reply #1228 on: June 13, 2019, 10:26:05 AM »
Lots of former Representatives are eyeing comeback bids:
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1229 on: June 13, 2019, 10:28:24 AM »
lol @ Valadao mounting a comeback in a presidential year whose party's very best possible outcome so far is a neutral election.
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Skunk
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« Reply #1230 on: June 13, 2019, 03:41:55 PM »
Quote from: New York Dude on June 13, 2019, 10:02:01 AM
Henry Cuellar has a primary challenger. She's a Hispanic human rights lawyer who has advocated for immigrants, and she's from Laredo, Cuellar's home base. It's a tough race, but she has the right profile to win it:

Endorsed! Cuellar has got to go.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1231 on: June 13, 2019, 05:26:29 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:01:13 AM
Finally the GOP is getting serious, instead of piddle paddling around in places like CA 25 and MN 2



Safe D —-> Safe D
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1232 on: June 13, 2019, 05:31:16 PM »
Quote from: Obama/Hillary/King/Pingree or Golden/Mills/Collins voter on June 13, 2019, 05:26:29 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:01:13 AM
Finally the GOP is getting serious, instead of piddle paddling around in places like CA 25 and MN 2



Safe D —-> Safe D

Yep. Bartletta lost the district to Casey, and Cartwright, who’s a very strong incumbent, will certainly hammer him for carpetbagging.
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charlottegaze
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« Reply #1233 on: June 13, 2019, 05:36:54 PM »
Excellent news about Cuellar's primary challenger. He's maybe the most conservative Democrat still serving, and he's gotten way too comfortable. This is a necessary development.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1234 on: June 13, 2019, 05:37:41 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2019, 11:34:44 PM by Elliot County Populist »
Quote from: Obama/Hillary/King/Pingree or Golden/Mills/Collins voter on June 13, 2019, 05:26:29 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:01:13 AM
Finally the GOP is getting serious, instead of piddle paddling around in places like CA 25 and MN 2



Safe D —-> Safe D

LOL. Cartwright isn't at Safe D. He's a Lean D at best(Im assuming a non wave year for Democrats in 2020. Of course if its a wave he is Likely/Safe D.
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henster
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« Reply #1235 on: June 13, 2019, 07:36:23 PM »
Quote from: gracile on June 13, 2019, 10:26:05 AM
Lots of former Representatives are eyeing comeback bids:



Rooting for Cryin' Bruce Poliquin's comeback bid, hopefully he loses through RCV again.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1236 on: June 13, 2019, 08:01:15 PM »
Quote from: henster on June 13, 2019, 07:36:23 PM
Quote from: gracile on June 13, 2019, 10:26:05 AM
Lots of former Representatives are eyeing comeback bids:



Rooting for Cryin' Bruce Poliquin's comeback bid, hopefully he loses through RCV again.

Valadeo and Curbelo aren’t beating incumbents in a Presidential year, especially with Trump at the top of the ticket.
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Sounds
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« Reply #1237 on: June 13, 2019, 08:02:44 PM »
Barletta would give Cartwright an easy win lmao, terrible candidate.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1238 on: June 13, 2019, 09:39:21 PM »
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on June 13, 2019, 05:31:16 PM
Quote from: Obama/Hillary/King/Pingree or Golden/Mills/Collins voter on June 13, 2019, 05:26:29 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:01:13 AM
Finally the GOP is getting serious, instead of piddle paddling around in places like CA 25 and MN 2



Safe D —-> Safe D

Yep. Bartletta lost the district to Casey, and Cartwright, who’s a very strong incumbent, will certainly hammer him for carpetbagging.

Hazleton is partially in the district though right?
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1239 on: June 13, 2019, 11:29:26 PM »
Quote from: charlottegaze on June 13, 2019, 05:36:54 PM
Excellent news about Cuellar's primary challenger. He's maybe the most conservative Democrat still serving, and he's gotten way too comfortable. This is a necessary development.

Have nothing against primary per se, but expect Cuellar to win convincingly. He fits his district well...
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1240 on: June 14, 2019, 06:40:59 AM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:39:21 PM
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on June 13, 2019, 05:31:16 PM
Quote from: Obama/Hillary/King/Pingree or Golden/Mills/Collins voter on June 13, 2019, 05:26:29 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:01:13 AM
Finally the GOP is getting serious, instead of piddle paddling around in places like CA 25 and MN 2



Safe D —-> Safe D

Yep. Bartletta lost the district to Casey, and Cartwright, who’s a very strong incumbent, will certainly hammer him for carpetbagging.

Hazleton is partially in the district though right?

Yep, but not much else from his former district is in the new PA-08. District-based goodwill is a very common thing, one of the most obvious recent examples is  SD CA01, where two former incumbents won their ditricts and not much else against each other. District boosts helped Bartletta in 2018 carry the region by more then he should have with the percentage he got. With only a minimal part of his former seat in the region, the boost may not be all that beneficial.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1241 on: June 14, 2019, 07:44:04 AM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on June 13, 2019, 11:29:26 PM
Quote from: charlottegaze on June 13, 2019, 05:36:54 PM
Excellent news about Cuellar's primary challenger. He's maybe the most conservative Democrat still serving, and he's gotten way too comfortable. This is a necessary development.

Have nothing against primary per se, but expect Cuellar to win convincingly. He fits his district well...

Of course he fits it well, its his own personal fiefdom. Laredo is beholden to the Cuellar Family machine. Breaking that machine breaks Cuellar's grip on the district.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1242 on: June 14, 2019, 08:22:24 AM »
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1243 on: June 14, 2019, 08:48:56 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on June 14, 2019, 06:40:59 AM
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:39:21 PM
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on June 13, 2019, 05:31:16 PM
Quote from: Obama/Hillary/King/Pingree or Golden/Mills/Collins voter on June 13, 2019, 05:26:29 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on June 13, 2019, 09:01:13 AM
Finally the GOP is getting serious, instead of piddle paddling around in places like CA 25 and MN 2



Safe D —-> Safe D

Yep. Bartletta lost the district to Casey, and Cartwright, who’s a very strong incumbent, will certainly hammer him for carpetbagging.

Hazleton is partially in the district though right?

Yep, but not much else from his former district is in the new PA-08. District-based goodwill is a very common thing, one of the most obvious recent examples is  SD CA01, where two former incumbents won their ditricts and not much else against each other. District boosts helped Bartletta in 2018 carry the region by more then he should have with the percentage he got. With only a minimal part of his former seat in the region, the boost may not be all that beneficial.

Ok, this is completely fair, but it might be hard to hammer him for carpetbagging if he is still literally in the district.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1244 on: June 14, 2019, 09:09:50 AM »
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/06/12/former-staffers-arizona-rep-david-schweikert-staffers-describe-unrest-his-house-office/1432521001/

More news about Schweikert.

This is my call for the surprise race of 2020. Nothing big RN but I expect something to happen for some reason.Usually always some scandal incumbent.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1245 on: June 14, 2019, 02:52:14 PM »
Quote from: Elliot County Populist on June 14, 2019, 09:09:50 AM
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/06/12/former-staffers-arizona-rep-david-schweikert-staffers-describe-unrest-his-house-office/1432521001/

More news about Schweikert.

This is my call for the surprise race of 2020. Nothing big RN but I expect something to happen for some reason.Usually always some scandal incumbent.

I dunno that this still qualifies as a surprise though tbh.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #1246 on: June 14, 2019, 04:23:46 PM »
Quote from: Sounds on June 13, 2019, 08:02:44 PM
Barletta would give Cartwright an easy win lmao, terrible candidate.

Rotten Lou
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Blackacre
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« Reply #1247 on: June 14, 2019, 04:37:57 PM »
do we have a consensus on how much Ds will need to win the house PV by to keep control of the lower chamber?

Oh also whatever the GCB says RN, House Dems are probably overperforming the Presidential ticket by ~3 points. The last 3 presidential elections had the house majority party outperform their Presidential nominee by that exact margin
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1248 on: June 14, 2019, 05:00:25 PM »
https://www.echopress.com/news/government-and-politics/4621780-novak-runs-congress-7th-district

Military Veteran candidate runs for MN-7th .

Unless for some reason the NRCC feels like this is an unwinnable district and prefers winning VA 10th Peterson is almost DOA.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1249 on: June 14, 2019, 07:53:54 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 14, 2019, 08:22:24 AM


Wait until people remember the tax cut, that will goose the R's numbers.
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