2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 169223 times)
Yang2020
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« Reply #1050 on: April 27, 2019, 04:23:52 PM »

GA-07 is lean DEM.
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S019
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« Reply #1051 on: April 27, 2019, 04:26:28 PM »


Yeah, I agree, I actually think that GA-06 is likelier to vote GOP (but is Tilt D), because GOp has 2 good candidates in GA-06, they have no one, here
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Jeppe
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« Reply #1052 on: April 29, 2019, 07:27:00 AM »

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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1053 on: April 29, 2019, 10:24:09 AM »



LAME, Nick Freitas is where it is at
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Sestak
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« Reply #1054 on: April 29, 2019, 10:59:31 AM »



<10% chance she wins the primary...
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S019
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« Reply #1055 on: April 29, 2019, 11:02:23 AM »



<10% chance she wins the primary...

Who do you think, will run, this is a district where I think running a retread (Dave Brat or Eric Cantor), may be the best option
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1056 on: April 29, 2019, 11:14:03 AM »



<10% chance she wins the primary...

Who do you think, will run, this is a district where I think running a retread (Dave Brat or Eric Cantor), may be the best option

Haha what? Are you blind? Nick F$cking Freitas dude.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1057 on: April 29, 2019, 11:44:43 AM »

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S019
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« Reply #1058 on: April 29, 2019, 01:29:20 PM »



<10% chance she wins the primary...

Who do you think, will run, this is a district where I think running a retread (Dave Brat or Eric Cantor), may be the best option

Haha what? Are you blind? Nick F$cking Freitas dude.

Do VA Reps really want to nominate the person who lost to Corey Stewart in a primary
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1059 on: April 29, 2019, 01:39:58 PM »



<10% chance she wins the primary...

Who do you think, will run, this is a district where I think running a retread (Dave Brat or Eric Cantor), may be the best option

Haha what? Are you blind? Nick F$cking Freitas dude.

Do VA Reps really want to nominate the person who lost to Corey Stewart in a primary

Clearly Mike Castle would have been a garbage candidate.
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S019
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« Reply #1060 on: April 29, 2019, 02:04:06 PM »



<10% chance she wins the primary...

Who do you think, will run, this is a district where I think running a retread (Dave Brat or Eric Cantor), may be the best option

Haha what? Are you blind? Nick F$cking Freitas dude.

Do VA Reps really want to nominate the person who lost to Corey Stewart in a primary

Clearly Mike Castle would have been a garbage candidate.

That’s different Castle has tons of name recognition and is an institution in DE politics, no one knew who Nick Freitas was before 2018, he was an obsure, irrelevant state legislator
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1061 on: April 29, 2019, 02:07:38 PM »



<10% chance she wins the primary...

Who do you think, will run, this is a district where I think running a retread (Dave Brat or Eric Cantor), may be the best option

Haha what? Are you blind? Nick F$cking Freitas dude.

Do VA Reps really want to nominate the person who lost to Corey Stewart in a primary

Clearly Mike Castle would have been a garbage candidate.

That’s different Castle has tons of name recognition and is an institution in DE politics, no one knew who Nick Freitas was before 2018, he was an obsure, irrelevant state legislator

You know who else was unknown and irrelevant before the midterms? John James. Look at him now, people pop out of nowhere, new talent has to come somewhere, somehow, some time, Nick Freitas is one of those people. But who cares, why listen, I'm sure the Republican party that has net lost nearly four dozen house seats over the past few years has things totally under control in this sphere.
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Boobs
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« Reply #1062 on: April 29, 2019, 03:36:36 PM »

Comeback Claudia?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1063 on: April 29, 2019, 03:39:21 PM »

If she gets nominated, this race moves from Lean R to Tilt D.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1064 on: April 29, 2019, 03:41:31 PM »

The main reason why Tenney lost is because she's a woman. A man that abrasive would just come of as Trump to the GOP base.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1065 on: April 29, 2019, 06:54:17 PM »

The main reason why Tenney lost is because she's a woman. A man that abrasive would just come of as Trump to the GOP base.

No, it's because she is a horrible candidate who ran a piss-poor campaign against an A-list Democrat who fits the district like a glove.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1066 on: April 29, 2019, 06:57:42 PM »

The main reason why Tenney lost is because she's a woman. A man that abrasive would just come of as Trump to the GOP base.

No, it's because she is a horrible candidate who ran a piss-poor campaign against an A-list Democrat who fits the district like a glove.

Mike Bost won and he's crazy.

Exactly. Mike Bost said a lot of crazy sh**t but that makes him populist Purple heart. Claudia Tenney said a lot of crazy sh**t more than the avg GOP congressperson but its not that out of line. She would have won if she was a man.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1067 on: April 29, 2019, 09:33:15 PM »

LOL Katie Hill was harassed by a bunch of old white climate change deniers at her Townhall yesterday. Consider this a boost to her reelection campaign. Not to mention the harassed her for supporting the Equality Act.

Some army the GOP has lol.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/29/blue-wave-democrat-katie-hill-faces-angry-voters-at-california-town-hall.html
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1068 on: April 29, 2019, 09:38:33 PM »

LOL Katie Hill was harassed by a bunch of old white climate change deniers at her Townhall yesterday. Consider this a boost to her reelection campaign. Not to mention the harassed her for supporting the Equality Act.

Some army the GOP has lol.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/29/blue-wave-democrat-katie-hill-faces-angry-voters-at-california-town-hall.html

Im pretty sure nobody cares.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1069 on: April 29, 2019, 09:40:15 PM »

LOL Katie Hill was harassed by a bunch of old white climate change deniers at her Townhall yesterday. Consider this a boost to her reelection campaign. Not to mention the harassed her for supporting the Equality Act.

Some army the GOP has lol.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/29/blue-wave-democrat-katie-hill-faces-angry-voters-at-california-town-hall.html

Im pretty sure nobody cares.

Oh absolutely. I just think it's cute how old white Republicans think they're being hip harassing a young woman over science-backed climate change and LGBT rights.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1070 on: April 30, 2019, 09:09:09 AM »

LOL Katie Hill was harassed by a bunch of old white climate change deniers at her Townhall yesterday. Consider this a boost to her reelection campaign. Not to mention the harassed her for supporting the Equality Act.

Some army the GOP has lol.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/29/blue-wave-democrat-katie-hill-faces-angry-voters-at-california-town-hall.html

Likely D seat.
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Gracile
gracile
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« Reply #1071 on: April 30, 2019, 09:57:52 AM »


I wouldn't be so sure. Tenney is an underperformer, but even she would benefit from what is likely to be a more favorable environment in this particular district in 2020. Her loss in 2018 wasn't even that bad, all things considered, especially since she ran against a popular state legislator who was considered a "good fit" for NY-22.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1072 on: April 30, 2019, 10:05:13 AM »


I wouldn't be so sure. Tenney is an underperformer, but even she would benefit from what is likely to be a more favorable environment in this particular district in 2020. Her loss in 2018 wasn't even that bad, all things considered, especially since she ran against a popular state legislator who was considered a "good fit" for NY-22.

I generally agree. But this "popular state legislator" is an incumbent Congressman now, and that's, most likely, a plus...
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Gracile
gracile
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« Reply #1073 on: April 30, 2019, 10:19:43 AM »
« Edited: April 30, 2019, 10:22:59 AM by gracile »


I wouldn't be so sure. Tenney is an underperformer, but even she would benefit from what is likely to be a more favorable environment in this particular district in 2020. Her loss in 2018 wasn't even that bad, all things considered, especially since she ran against a popular state legislator who was considered a "good fit" for NY-22.

I generally agree. But this "popular state legislator" is an incumbent Congressman now, and that's, most likely, a plus...

Maybe, but the fundamentals of this district are awful for Democrats. I think Brindisi would have a tough time in a neutral environment. Not only was NY-22 the most Republican district that Democrats flipped last fall in terms of Trump's margin of victory, but it was also the second most Republican-trending seat that flipped based on 2016 trendlines (only IA-01 trended more Republican). At least places like OK-05 and SC-01 have a democratic trend working in their incumbent's favor. The low-propensity voters in this seat who didn't show up for the midterm are likely conservatives who will show up with Trump on the ballot, which will be a detriment to Brindisi.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1074 on: April 30, 2019, 02:10:06 PM »



Could be nothing, either way, likely R.
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