2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Doimper]

LOL http://www.wbap.com/2019/03/27/a-richardson-woman-is-vy/

Congressman Allred is in really good shape unless he gets drawn out.

Worth remembering that dozens of people like this woman got elected to Congress in 2010

Irrelevant, 2010 will be nothing like 2020.

Did I say it would be?

No, but that makes your previous comment unneeded and irrelevant. 

interesting choice of words, given that you have made over eight thousand unneeded and irrelevant posts during your time here

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

LOL http://www.wbap.com/2019/03/27/a-richardson-woman-is-vy/

Congressman Allred is in really good shape unless he gets drawn out.

Worth remembering that dozens of people like this woman got elected to Congress in 2010

Irrelevant, 2010 will be nothing like 2020.

Did I say it would be?

No, but that makes your previous comment unneeded and irrelevant. 

interesting choice of words, given that you have made over eight thousand unneeded and irrelevant posts during your time here

Fair point.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think I read that he also won PA 10th in 2016 somewhere on twitter.

He won it by a little shy of 2%. He was an idiot for not running in 2018 when he almost definitely would’ve won while Wolf and Casey were easily carrying it

[Oryxslayer]

GOP are supposedly trying to get Ngyuen for CA48. I see no reason why her fate won't be similar that of Kim - and I actually like her. There are a few differences about the races and the districts, but the prevailing trends will still be the same.

[Young Conservative]

GOP are supposedly trying to get Ngyuen for CA48. I see no reason why her fate won't be similar that of Kim - and I actually like her. There are a few differences about the races and the districts, but the prevailing trends will still be the same.

Nguyen has represented more of the district before, hasn't she? And doesn't Nguyen have a reputation as a moderate already built up? And 2020 will almost certainly be a less democratic year than 2018. Those are some of the differences, I think.

[S019]

GOP are supposedly trying to get Ngyuen for CA48. I see no reason why her fate won't be similar that of Kim - and I actually like her. There are a few differences about the races and the districts, but the prevailing trends will still be the same.

Can you provide a link, I’d like to read about this

[Sestak]

GOP are supposedly trying to get Ngyuen for CA48. I see no reason why her fate won't be similar that of Kim - and I actually like her. There are a few differences about the races and the districts, but the prevailing trends will still be the same.

Nguyen has represented more of the district before, hasn't she? And doesn't Nguyen have a reputation as a moderate already built up? And 2020 will almost certainly be a less democratic year than 2018. Those are some of the differences, I think.

Possibly counterbalanced by:

1. Trends continuing
2. Incumbency
3. Trump on ballot

[Oryxslayer]

GOP are supposedly trying to get Ngyuen for CA48. I see no reason why her fate won't be similar that of Kim - and I actually like her. There are a few differences about the races and the districts, but the prevailing trends will still be the same.

Nguyen has represented more of the district before, hasn't she? And doesn't Nguyen have a reputation as a moderate already built up? And 2020 will almost certainly be a less democratic year than 2018. Those are some of the differences, I think.

Heres the link to Nguyen's talks: https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/677650?unlock=NK8CFN4LUUI5U52T

But on the topic of Young Kim, the comparison naturally happens since they are both former state legislators for OC. And like I said, I like the women - shes a conservative but with some moderate streaks, and I really liked her 2017 speech. However, the list of pro and cons is not exactly stacked to her advantage.

Pros: Women vs Man, Formerly Rep'ed the Region, Potential surge for the republicans from the Vietnamese community here (like in 39), a more Conservative seat than CA-39.   

Cons: Rouda is an incumbent and better than Cisneros, there are less Asians here than in 39, Rouda didn't didn't do that well with the Vietnamese in the first place (compared to other dems) so he isn't losing much, Minority turnout is going to by up from 2018 benefiting dems - on top of Rouda doing well with whites last election, he won every meaningful town in the district except the Republican stronghold of Newport.

In my eyes the pro and cons when we compare the two races mostly cancel out. This leaves us with Ronda probably winning by 3-4. I personally think OC is going to change dramatically in redistricting, so she would better wait for 2022 to run. CA-47's arm getting added to a OC seat would dramatically alter the regional math for instance.

[IceSpear]

He should’ve ran in 2018.

[Boobs]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1111808371932327936

Hiral Tipirneni, of AZ-08 special election fame, is running for AZ-06. My queen is alive!

[Gustaf]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1111808371932327936

Hiral Tipirneni, of AZ-08 special election fame, is running for AZ-06. My queen is alive!

She lost the special by 5, the general by 10 and the 6th is 10 Points less Trump-friendly than the 8th by 2016 results. So with standard caveats applied, she might be competitive.

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP has the generic ballot at D 51, R 40: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/PPP_Release_National_40119.pdf

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

PPP has the generic ballot at D 51, R 40: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/PPP_Release_National_40119.pdf

Something tells me the House will be in Dem hands for a while.

[S019]

Early PPP polling had Clinton winning AR, KY, and LA in 2016, it’s just not reliable

This, the other PPP poll, and Emerson belong in the trash

[lfromnj]

https://abc13.com/politics/combat-veteran-to-challenge-fletcher-for-congressional-seat/5229241/


Fletcher has republican african american challenger

John James 2.0.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://abc13.com/politics/combat-veteran-to-challenge-fletcher-for-congressional-seat/5229241/


Fletcher has republican african american challenger

John James 2.0.

So he's going to lose. That district is trending Democrat too fast for the Reps to win it back anytime soon.

[Politician]

https://abc13.com/politics/combat-veteran-to-challenge-fletcher-for-congressional-seat/5229241/


Fletcher has republican african american challenger

John James 2.0.

This district will be highly competitive but Fletcher has an advantage.

[S019]

https://abc13.com/politics/combat-veteran-to-challenge-fletcher-for-congressional-seat/5229241/


Fletcher has republican african american challenger

John James 2.0.

This district will be Lean D and Fletcher has a sizable advantage.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://abc13.com/politics/combat-veteran-to-challenge-fletcher-for-congressional-seat/5229241/


Fletcher has republican african american challenger

John James 2.0.

Barf

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/WinterForMT/status/1113089463415136257

[Dr. Arch]

https://twitter.com/WinterForMT/status/1113089463415136257

Oh my

[Virginiá]

Whew

That Twitter pic is leaving me a bit weak in the knees

[Zaybay]

Geez... *insert obvious Game of Thrones Joke about Last Name*

[Cold War Liberal]

Whew

That Twitter pic is leaving me a bit weak in the knees

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1113553017570242560