NV Reuters/Ipsos/UVA: UTDH +6

[Seriously?]

I don't get this Atlas meme that a challenger should be embarrassed if they lose to an incumbent. Incumbents win more than 9 times out of 10 in most election years.

Nevada is one state that seems to keep their Senate incumbents running for reelection. How many times was Harry Reid "doomed," but managed to hold onto his seat? There's zero shocks here if Heller holds on and Rosen has nothing to be embarrassed about if she loses.

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It's still a tossup either way. Rosen should be embarrassed if she loses.

[Seriously?]

I don't get this Atlas meme that a challenger should be embarrassed if they lose to an incumbent. Incumbents win more than 9 times out of 10 in most election years.

Nevada is one state that seems to keep their Senate incumbents running for reelection. How many times was Harry Reid "doomed," but managed to hold onto his seat? There's zero shocks here if Heller holds on and Rosen has nothing to be embarrassed about if she loses.

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It's still a tossup either way. Rosen should be embarrassed if she loses.

It's because Atlas is assuming there will be a massive blue wave where Democrats win everything...except Nevada. Sound familiar?

I'm seeing more of a normal election than a blue or red wave at this point at least. Republicans gain in Senate only because of a course correction from the 2012 Obama class up for reelection.

Only question is whether there will be enough typical out-party midterm seats (in this case Dem gains) to actually take the House in any effective kind of way. A few seat majority for Rs or Ds (which is looking increasingly likely) is going to be very difficult to whip for either side.