Bold Senate Election Predictions

[Alabama_Indy10]

Didn't want to bump one of the old ones.. What are your bold senate predictions this year?

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Tester's megacoattails are strong enough to knock out Dean Heller, several states away, and also to push Heitkamp over the top against all expectations. However, they have decayed enough during the process of transmission across state lines so that by the time they arrive in Texas, they don't do much to help Beto.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Bredesen Heitkamp and Heller all get BTFO'd

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Dems lose IN, ND, MO, AZ, NV, MT, and FL in a stunning collapse. (This is based on Early voting numbers)

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Bredesen Heitkamp and Heller all get BTFO'd

It is supposed to be a bold prediction.

[I Can Now Die Happy]

Dems lose IN, ND, MO, AZ, NV, MT, and FL in a stunning collapse. (This is based on Early voting numbers)

Wouldn't be surprised. Hoping Morrissey pulls out a Ron Johnson 2016 as well. Maybe Jim Renacci, Leah Vukmir, Karin Housley, John James, and Lou Barletta can do the same.

[GeorgiaModerate]

There will be at least one truly shocking result.  I just can't tell you what it's going to be.

[Devout Centrist]

Either Beto O'Rourke or Heidi Heitkamp wins

[Xing]

Dems lose IN, ND, MO, AZ, NV, MT, and FL in a stunning collapse. (This is based on Early voting numbers)

A bold prediction for you would be the Democrats winning a single competitive election or still existing in 2021.

Anyway, my #bold prediction is that Jacky Rosen will be the next Senator of Nevada. My less bold prediction is that people will still insist that NV is a Toss-Up state after that.

[ElectionsGuy]

Democrats lose Missouri and Indiana and Tester barely squeaks by in Montana while Democrats pick up 35+ seats in the house.

[Devout Centrist]

Dems lose IN, ND, MO, AZ, NV, MT, and FL in a stunning collapse. (This is based on Early voting numbers)

Wouldn't be surprised. Hoping Morrissey pulls out a Ron Johnson 2016 as well. Maybe Jim Renacci, Leah Vukmir, Karin Housley, John James, and Lou Barletta can do the same.

Ron Johnson was an incumbent

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Cramer wins by more then Menendez

[MT Treasurer]

Democrats lose Missouri and Indiana and Tester barely squeaks by in Montana while Democrats pick up 35+ seats in the house.

How is that bold, though?

Anyway, as I said in the other thread, I have a hard time buying that Heitkamp will get Blanched/Kirked while other red state Democrats (McCaskill, Donnelly, Tester in particular) seem to be cruising to reelection, so I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s a polling error either in ND (and/or TN) or the other red (and swing) states. D+3 wouldn’t surprise me, but neither would R+5 or 6.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Dems hold all seats along with gaining Texas and maybe TN.

[Politician]

Heitkamp keeps ND much closer then expected, but Cramer still wins.

[IceSpear]

Bredesen Heitkamp and Heller all get BTFO'd

It is supposed to be a bold prediction.

First two are bold by Atlas Forum standards, lol. The third is bold for anywhere.

[Calthrina950]

I have a few predictions:

1. Heitkamp will lose by high single to low double digits in North Dakota, and McCaskill will lose by ~1-4 points in Missouri. North Dakota and Missouri will be the sole Republican pickups of the night.

2. Tester and Donnelly will both win reelection by less than 4 points each, with Donnelly's margin of victory being narrower than Tester's.

3. Manchin will win by ~10-15 points, at the minimum, and will be the only Romney-state Democrat to win by double digits.

4. Rosen and Sinema will both win by less than 3 points, with Rosen's performance similar to that of Hillary Clinton's in 2016. Arizona will be closer than Nevada.

5. Bredesen and O'Rourke will both lose by mid to high single digits. Bredesen may even lose by low double digits.

6. Menendez will win by high single digits.

7. De Leon will crack 40% against Feinstein in California, but will still lose by ~10-15 points.

8. Nelson will beat Scott by less than 3 points, and will underperform Gillum.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tester narrowly wins

[ElectionsGuy]

Democrats lose Missouri and Indiana and Tester barely squeaks by in Montana while Democrats pick up 35+ seats in the house.

How is that bold, though?

Almost everybody who thinks Democrats will score big in the house also thinks Democrats will hold all their non-ND seats in the senate. I do think there's very serious potential for the Democratic enthusiasm and vote swings to be concentrated into certain states and districts in the country and be almost nonexistent in other places.

[MT Treasurer]

Democrats lose Missouri and Indiana and Tester barely squeaks by in Montana while Democrats pick up 35+ seats in the house.

How is that bold, though?

Almost everybody who thinks Democrats will score big in the house also thinks Democrats will hold all their non-ND seats in the senate. I do think there's very serious potential for the Democratic enthusiasm and vote swings to be concentrated into certain states and districts in the country and be almost nonexistent in other places.

Ah, so you mean bold by Atlas Forum standards. Well, then I certainly agree that it’s bold, lol.

[ElectionsGuy]

Democrats lose Missouri and Indiana and Tester barely squeaks by in Montana while Democrats pick up 35+ seats in the house.

How is that bold, though?

Almost everybody who thinks Democrats will score big in the house also thinks Democrats will hold all their non-ND seats in the senate. I do think there's very serious potential for the Democratic enthusiasm and vote swings to be concentrated into certain states and districts in the country and be almost nonexistent in other places.

Ah, so you mean bold by Atlas Forum standards. Well, then I certainly agree that it’s bold, lol.

Sure. I mean there's a line between being bold and being unrealistic.

[TML]

Democrats end up with 53 Senate seats after all is said and done.

[Calthrina950]

Democrats end up with 53 Senate seats after all is said and done.

Which seats do you think they will gain?

[Politician]

Tester narrowly wins

The title says bold predictions.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tester narrowly wins

The title says bold predictions.

It’s bold by my standards, but by your standards (not mine) then Morrisey wins against Manchin.