Which Democratic Senate candidate is more likely to win?

[Greedo punched first]

Is Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) or Kevin de Leon (D-CA) more likely to win their respective Senate race?

[I Can Now Die Happy]

I'm hoping that Republicans vote De Leon out of spite. His voting record wouldn't be very different from Feinstein's, but he wouldn't have nearly as much political capital and influence. He also would contribute to tarnishing the Democratic Party's image nationwide.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

I'm hoping that Republicans vote De Leon out of spite. His voting record wouldn't be very different from Feinstein's, but he wouldn't have nearly as much political capital and influence. He also would contribute to tarnishing the Democratic Party's image nationwide.

I approve this plan, not for the same reasons.

[Greedo punched first]

De Leon is far more likely to win, despite barely raising any money and doing a terrible job campaigning.

[IceSpear]

De Leon, simply because it is possible (though far from probable, especially considering his ideology, skin tone, and last name) that Republicans decide to vote for him en masse to screw over Feinstein.

[TML]

Tough call to make here.

Although de Leon ostensibly trails by a greater margin than Heitkamp currently does, de Leon's race has more undecided voters.

I'll go with Heitkamp for now, although I will leave open the possibility of de Leon pulling it off with undecided voters.

[Vespucci]

Heitkamp (who is underrated on this forum, she's more likely to win than Scott, for god's sake)

[IceSpear]

Heitkamp (who is underrated on this forum, she's more likely to win than Scott, for god's sake)

This post is so Atlas. Please explain how a Democrat in a crimson red state who is consistently trailing by double digits is more likely to win than a Republican who has a small to moderate sized deficit in a purple state.

[Vespucci]

Heitkamp (who is underrated on this forum, she's more likely to win than Scott, for god's sake)

This post is so Atlas. Please explain how a Democrat in a crimson red state who is consistently trailing by double digits is more likely to win than a Republican who has a small to moderate sized deficit in a purple state.

Scott is an overrated candidate, IMHO, and he has to run alongside DeSantis. I'll admit that the post was an overreaction, but it's ridiculous that everyone calls Heitkamp DOA when the race is lean to likely R and FL a tossup when it is lean to likely D.

[Very Legal & Very Cool]

Heitkamp. DeLeon is basically writing the script for how to lose. This is his second chance to beat Feinstein and he hasn't shown any progress. Maybe ND will let the Natives vote.

[Brittain33]

Heitkamp (who is underrated on this forum, she's more likely to win than Scott, for god's sake)

This post is so Atlas. Please explain how a Democrat in a crimson red state who is consistently trailing by double digits is more likely to win than a Republican who has a small to moderate sized deficit in a purple state.

Scott is an overrated candidate, IMHO, and he has to run alongside DeSantis. I'll admit that the post was an overreaction, but it's ridiculous that everyone calls Heitkamp DOA when the race is lean to likely R and FL a tossup when it is lean to likely D.

The difference is that Scott is within a polling error's margin of winning in a state that is evenly divided for President, and Heitkamp is neither of those things. I mean, I don't think Scott's going to win, but it wouldn't be unusual if he did.