Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll (user search)
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  Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll  (Read 2524 times)
YE
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Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« on: October 22, 2018, 10:46:46 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 22, 2018, 10:44:21 AM
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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

It’s really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.
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YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,745


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2018, 10:47:31 AM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 22, 2018, 10:46:03 AM
Gotta keep the fundamentals in mind though folks, probably still at tilt R for now imo.

>poll with a 16 point lead
>Tilt R
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YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,745


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2018, 10:52:37 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 22, 2018, 10:49:25 AM
Quote from: YE on October 22, 2018, 10:46:46 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on October 22, 2018, 10:44:21 AM
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

It’s really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

He’s been around 40-43% lately, no? That’d with uniform swing yield to an approval in the 60s maybe lower since WV is more elastic than average.
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