Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 22, 2024, 02:54:46 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll  (Read 2623 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 22, 2018, 10:37:16 AM »
« edited: October 22, 2018, 04:12:13 PM by Prolocutor Bagel23 »

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/GRAY_WV_October_Survey.pdf

OMG Daddy Manchin!!!!!! Yes, let's go Joe!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2018, 10:38:05 AM »

Yeah, this one is over.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2018, 10:38:50 AM »

But, IceSpear told me this was Lean R.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2018, 10:39:17 AM »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2018, 10:40:34 AM »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.

This poll also showed a substantive change since three weeks ago. Their last poll was Manchin +8.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2018, 10:41:29 AM »

But, IceSpear told me this was Lean R toss up.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2018, 10:44:21 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2018, 10:44:42 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

This too
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2018, 10:46:03 AM »

Gotta keep the fundamentals in mind though folks, probably still at tilt R for now imo.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,564
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2018, 10:46:12 AM »

It's no big deal that Manchin is gonna be reelected, he sides with GOP most of time anyways
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,880


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2018, 10:46:46 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,880


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2018, 10:47:31 AM »

Gotta keep the fundamentals in mind though folks, probably still at tilt R for now imo.

>poll with a 16 point lead
>Tilt R
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2018, 10:49:13 AM »

Probably a bit exaggerated, but no way is this "Tilt R", lol. DINO Joe will be fine.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2018, 10:49:25 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2018, 10:51:40 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Oh he aint ahead, Morrisey has caught him.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,880


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2018, 10:52:37 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Heís been around 40-43% lately, no? Thatíd with uniform swing yield to an approval in the 60s maybe lower since WV is more elastic than average.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2018, 10:55:43 AM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Heís been around 40-43% lately, no? Thatíd with uniform swing yield to an approval in the 60s maybe lower since WV is more elastic than average.

RCP and 538's RV/LV average have him at 44%.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,660


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2018, 11:04:51 AM »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.

It's the same Poll

https://www.wsaz.com/content/news/WSAZ-to-release-new-West-Virginia-senate-poll-today-498201331.html

Strategic Research Associates of Austin, TX.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2018, 11:06:25 AM »
« Edited: October 22, 2018, 11:14:47 AM by Prolocutor Bagel23 »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.

It's the same Poll

https://www.wsaz.com/content/news/WSAZ-to-release-new-West-Virginia-senate-poll-today-498201331.html

Strategic Research Associates of Austin, TX.

https://www.thenewscenter.tv/content/news/WTAP-to-release-new-poll-on-Manchin-vs-Morrisey-US-Senate-race-498213631.html

So, they are probably going to find the trend of Morrisey catching up.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,138


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2018, 01:18:44 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Trum will not win 68% of the vote in WV again even if he wins the national popular vote because that number was inflated by voters there voting to repudiate the Obama Presidency.


In 2020 I believe : WY, ID , OK and maybe UT will vote for Trump by larger margins than WV
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2018, 01:25:48 PM »


It's going to be the same poll you posted.  Which was taken down because it wasn't supposed to released until 5PM.  Gray TV and WSAZ are the same company, they aren't paying for two separate polls.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,276
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2018, 01:44:51 PM »

Not sure why people are letting Bagel derail every WV thread, honestly. He has Manchin favored (Lean D) on his Atlas prediction map, which is, uh, certainly not consistent with the "concerns" he keeps expressing in his posts. Pretty obvious that he just craves attention.

But yeah, this is definitely Likely D.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2018, 01:46:19 PM »

Morrisey has always been overrated. Should've gone with Jenkins.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,276
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 22, 2018, 01:50:15 PM »

Morrisey has always been overrated. Should've gone with Jenkins.

I dunno man, Chris Cillizza told me that Morrisey is a Strong Candidateô who is guaranteed to do at least 10% better than Weak Candidateô Matt Rosendale, and I have no reason to question his expertise.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 22, 2018, 04:20:39 PM »


wsaz poll says....Manchin up by 16

https://www.wsaz.com/content/news/WSAZ-poll-Manchin-widens-lead-over-Morrisey-in-West-Virginia-senate-race-498215041.html

wtap poll says....Manchin up by 16

https://www.thenewscenter.tv/content/news/New-poll-shows-slight-majority-of-West-Virginians-support-Joe-Manchin-over-Patrick-Morrisey-in-US-Senate-race-498243451.html

Obviously a deep state fraud, how could three polls have the same exact result.  Safe Big Pharma.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.071 seconds with 12 queries.