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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll
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Author Topic: Gray TV WV Morrisey trails by 16 (52-36) in new poll  (Read 1422 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« on: October 22, 2018, 10:37:16 am »
« edited: October 22, 2018, 04:12:13 pm by Prolocutor Bagel23 »

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/GRAY_WV_October_Survey.pdf

OMG Daddy Manchin!!!!!! Yes, let's go Joe!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2018, 10:38:05 am »

Yeah, this one is over.
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President Biden
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2018, 10:38:50 am »

But, IceSpear told me this was Lean R.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2018, 10:39:17 am »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2018, 10:40:34 am »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.

This poll also showed a substantive change since three weeks ago. Their last poll was Manchin +8.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2018, 10:41:29 am »

But, IceSpear told me this was Lean R toss up.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2018, 10:44:21 am »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2018, 10:44:42 am »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

This too
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2018, 10:46:03 am »

Gotta keep the fundamentals in mind though folks, probably still at tilt R for now imo.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2018, 10:46:12 am »

It's no big deal that Manchin is gonna be reelected, he sides with GOP most of time anyways
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Senator YE
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2018, 10:46:46 am »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.
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Senator YE
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2018, 10:47:31 am »

Gotta keep the fundamentals in mind though folks, probably still at tilt R for now imo.

>poll with a 16 point lead
>Tilt R
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2018, 10:49:13 am »

Probably a bit exaggerated, but no way is this "Tilt R", lol. DINO Joe will be fine.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2018, 10:49:25 am »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2018, 10:51:40 am »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Oh he aint ahead, Morrisey has caught him.
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Senator YE
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2018, 10:52:37 am »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Heís been around 40-43% lately, no? Thatíd with uniform swing yield to an approval in the 60s maybe lower since WV is more elastic than average.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2018, 10:55:43 am »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Heís been around 40-43% lately, no? Thatíd with uniform swing yield to an approval in the 60s maybe lower since WV is more elastic than average.

RCP and 538's RV/LV average have him at 44%.
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2018, 11:04:51 am »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.

It's the same Poll

https://www.wsaz.com/content/news/WSAZ-to-release-new-West-Virginia-senate-poll-today-498201331.html

Strategic Research Associates of Austin, TX.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2018, 11:06:25 am »
« Edited: October 22, 2018, 11:14:47 am by Prolocutor Bagel23 »


Not so fast, WSAZ is releasing a new poll in a few hours and they say things have substantially changed since three weeks ago.

It's the same Poll

https://www.wsaz.com/content/news/WSAZ-to-release-new-West-Virginia-senate-poll-today-498201331.html

Strategic Research Associates of Austin, TX.

https://www.thenewscenter.tv/content/news/WTAP-to-release-new-poll-on-Manchin-vs-Morrisey-US-Senate-race-498213631.html

So, they are probably going to find the trend of Morrisey catching up.
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2018, 01:18:44 pm »

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I have a bridge to sell you if you believe that.

Itís really not that out of line given his nationwide numbers.

His national number is 44% approval, 2 points less than his 46% vote share when he won WV with 68% of the vote.

I'm not saying Manchin isn't currently ahead, but it's pretty obvious that his lead is way inflated in this poll due to an overly Democratic (real Democratic, not fake Dixiecratic) sample.

Trum will not win 68% of the vote in WV again even if he wins the national popular vote because that number was inflated by voters there voting to repudiate the Obama Presidency.


In 2020 I believe : WY, ID , OK and maybe UT will vote for Trump by larger margins than WV
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2018, 01:25:48 pm »


It's going to be the same poll you posted.  Which was taken down because it wasn't supposed to released until 5PM.  Gray TV and WSAZ are the same company, they aren't paying for two separate polls.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2018, 01:44:51 pm »

Not sure why people are letting Bagel derail every WV thread, honestly. He has Manchin favored (Lean D) on his Atlas prediction map, which is, uh, certainly not consistent with the "concerns" he keeps expressing in his posts. Pretty obvious that he just craves attention.

But yeah, this is definitely Likely D.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2018, 01:46:19 pm »

Morrisey has always been overrated. Should've gone with Jenkins.
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« Reply #23 on: October 22, 2018, 01:50:15 pm »

Morrisey has always been overrated. Should've gone with Jenkins.

I dunno man, Chris Cillizza told me that Morrisey is a Strong Candidateô who is guaranteed to do at least 10% better than Weak Candidateô Matt Rosendale, and I have no reason to question his expertise.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #24 on: October 22, 2018, 04:20:39 pm »


wsaz poll says....Manchin up by 16

https://www.wsaz.com/content/news/WSAZ-poll-Manchin-widens-lead-over-Morrisey-in-West-Virginia-senate-race-498215041.html

wtap poll says....Manchin up by 16

https://www.thenewscenter.tv/content/news/New-poll-shows-slight-majority-of-West-Virginians-support-Joe-Manchin-over-Patrick-Morrisey-in-US-Senate-race-498243451.html

Obviously a deep state fraud, how could three polls have the same exact result.  Safe Big Pharma.
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