AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (user search)
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  AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete)  (Read 2217 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 17, 2018, 08:39:32 AM »
McSally only pulled ahead because Trump's approval is inflated here. It's now +6, whereas when Sinema was +6, it was about -1 or -2. It's not +6 in AZ.

Which means that McSally (+4) isn't even matching Trump's approval (+6)
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,085
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 01:01:01 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on October 17, 2018, 10:52:01 AM
I'm confused why Trump approval in many of these state polls is so at odds with the national polls. If Trump is -10 nationwide, there's no way he should be +6 in AZ, or -1 in NV, or even +7 in TX.

Unfortunately, they have an issue with R oversampling in a lot of these polls IMO
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