AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 26, 2024, 07:05:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete)  (Read 2390 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,722


« on: October 17, 2018, 08:39:32 AM »

McSally only pulled ahead because Trump's approval is inflated here. It's now +6, whereas when Sinema was +6, it was about -1 or -2. It's not +6 in AZ.

Which means that McSally (+4) isn't even matching Trump's approval (+6)
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,722


« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 01:01:01 PM »

I'm confused why Trump approval in many of these state polls is so at odds with the national polls. If Trump is -10 nationwide, there's no way he should be +6 in AZ, or -1 in NV, or even +7 in TX.

Unfortunately, they have an issue with R oversampling in a lot of these polls IMO
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 10 queries.