AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (user search)
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  AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete) (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ NYT/Siena: McSally +4 (poll is incomplete)  (Read 2392 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,312
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: October 17, 2018, 10:38:06 AM »

Even with the (poll is incomplete) part, you know people are going to be drawing lots of conclusions already.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,312
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 12:14:14 PM »

I'm confused why Trump approval in many of these state polls is so at odds with the national polls. If Trump is -10 nationwide, there's no way he should be +6 in AZ, or -1 in NV, or even +7 in TX.

They're probably assuming that turnout will look like it has (at least in terms or race and age) in previous midterms.
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