TX-SEN WPA (R): Cruz +9
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  TX-SEN WPA (R): Cruz +9		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: TX-SEN WPA (R): Cruz +9  (Read 717 times)
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 15, 2018, 11:12:12 AM »
https://www.clubforgrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/CFGA_TXSEN_Survey_Memo_181014.pdf

Cruz 52
Beto 43


Not at all bad for an R outside group internal. Maybe it indeed is really a bit closer than Cruz +9.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2018, 11:14:10 AM »
I firmly believe that this race will be decided by <5%, but I'm still of the opinion that Cruz will win in the end. 

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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2018, 11:14:26 AM »
Beto's going to do respectably (my current guess is about a 6-point loss), but Texas still isn't ready to flip, and won't be for a while yet.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2018, 11:14:50 AM »
Quote from: Reasonable™ Moderate Republican on October 15, 2018, 11:14:26 AM
Beto's going to do respectably (my current guess is about a 6-point loss), but Texas still isn't ready to flip, and won't be for a while yet.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2018, 01:39:13 AM »
LOL Club for Growth. Isn't this a pro-GOP bunch of crocks?

Even though Cruz is certainly not ahead by 9, he is likely to win. Lean R, closer to likely R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2018, 02:05:52 AM »
These Latino states can flip, because they leave out Spanish question. This can be an upset. That's why AZ gov had wide variation of polls, going from +15 Ducey to plus 5 Ducey
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Lachi
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2018, 02:26:42 AM »
lol, yeah no, he's not at 53% approval
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2018, 05:36:23 AM »
538 estimated a +6 R House effect for WPA.
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