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December 03, 2020, 06:10:16 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  WI-Marist: Baldwin +14
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Author Topic: WI-Marist: Baldwin +14  (Read 779 times)
We Made PA Blue Again!
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« on: October 11, 2018, 04:01:06 PM »
« edited: October 11, 2018, 04:24:06 PM by PittsburghSteel »

Baldwin (D): 54%
Vukmir (R): 40%

Generic Ballot is D+6

Voters are more likely to support somebody who opposed Kavanaugh's nomination than support 42-33%, 22% said it made no difference.

Undecides currently lean 55-38% in favor of Baldwin

Baldwin favorability is +9
Vukmir favorability is -10

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Nancy Goroff Stan
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2018, 04:03:41 PM »

Safe D
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2018, 04:05:41 PM »

Freedom poll, especially with regards to the Gov race. Maybe it might even be enough to pick up a house seat or 2 also.
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We Made PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2018, 04:07:13 PM »
« Edited: October 11, 2018, 04:11:01 PM by PittsburghSteel »

Really shouldn't surprise anybody. Vukmir is campaigning like she's running in Alabama. Her only intent is to satisfy the Republicans of Wisconsin and that turns off Independents and (obviously) Democrats. Her primary victory speech also probably disgusted a lot of Wisconsinites, the one where she bashed San Francisco and NYC.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2018, 05:35:39 PM »

Seems a bit Democratic-friendly, but Baldwin isn't losing. Safe D.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2018, 05:35:58 PM »

Likely D race is likely D.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2018, 05:37:37 PM »

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Arch
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« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2018, 05:43:14 PM »

This is Safe D at this point.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: October 11, 2018, 05:46:28 PM »


No.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #9 on: October 11, 2018, 05:49:18 PM »


Yes. Vukmir hasn't led in any poll of this race at any point, and Baldwin is up 11 in the polling average (and is above 50). This is Safe D, and any other rating is being far too kind to Republicans right now.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #10 on: October 11, 2018, 05:50:42 PM »


Yes. Vukmir hasn't led in any poll of this race at any point, and Baldwin is up 11 in the polling average (and is above 50). This is Safe D, and any other rating is being far too kind to Republicans right now.

No raters have this as Safe D either, but I will say that it is quite telling that Vukmir has not put out anything to counter this narrative.
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