GA SurveyUSA: Kemp +2
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Author Topic: GA SurveyUSA: Kemp +2  (Read 1411 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 09, 2018, 01:13:51 PM »

https://www.11alive.com/article/news/politics/elections/11alive-poll-georgia-voters-split-on-governors-race-approve-of-legal-pot-arming-teachers/85-602436455

Kemp 47
Abrams 45
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2018, 01:17:27 PM »

Young voters back Kemp?!  Yes, color me skeptical.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2018, 01:19:24 PM »

This is going to into a Runoff I think where Adams will lose bad.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2018, 01:20:18 PM »

This is going to into a Runoff I think where Adams will lose bad.
"Adams" is 100% certain to lose
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2018, 01:21:31 PM »

Young voters back Kemp?!  Yes, color me skeptical.

And by 14 points? Maybe young white voters back him by 14, but obviously, that's just a small sample size issue.

I actually think there's a good chance Kemp clears the runoff.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2018, 01:34:28 PM »

Young voters back Kemp?!  Yes, color me skeptical.
I think they meant to write older because that sentence also says they are the most reliable voting bloc and that's obviously not true.

I don't believe this poll lol.... whites will not make up 64 percent of the electorate and I don't believe Abrams is doing that poorly with self identified independents she was just up 33 with Independents in that Landmark Communications poll and they are Republicans.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2018, 02:55:47 PM »

If this poll is good for anything, then it's useful in showing what Abrams' vote share will be if all the campaign and party's work has absolutely zero impact on the outcome.

One thing I did find interesting: there is a recurring trend in polls that ask both the top-line results and the GCB. Even though Abrams is down by 2 here, Democrats are up by 2 in the GCB. This has been true I believe in every poll released (GCB more favorable to Democrats than the gubernatorial race). It seems completely contrary to everything we've known about GA over the past decade, but if Abrams wins a majority on November 6, the GCB in GA could be as friendly to Democrats as the national margin.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2018, 05:19:14 PM »

Toss-Up, and it will very likely go to a run-off.
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