Hurricane Michael thread: (Updates, commentary)

[Strudelcutie4427]

Pink near the eye, pressure dropping, and the eye popping is not what you want to see

[Person Man]

Pink near the eye, pressure dropping, and the eye popping is not what you want to see

Looks like a skull... I've never seen any actual pink on this before.

[Grassroots]

Officially Cat. 3 with 120 MPH.


Jesus.

[NewYorkExpress]

My car broke down on evacuation day so I’m riding it out at a friends place.

Good luck...you are going to need it.

[Hammy]

125 mph as of latest best track update, pressure 949. http://tropicalatlantic.com

Almost certainly going to reach Cat 4 (it's just 5mph shy) and many on a hurricane forum I'm on are worried it could come close to a 5.

[NewYorkExpress]

125 mph as of latest best track update, pressure 949. http://tropicalatlantic.com

Almost certainly going to reach Cat 4 (it's just 5mph shy) and many on a hurricane forum I'm on are worried it could come close to a 5.

I don't think it'll reach a Cat 5, and I imagine it'll weaken back to a Cat 3 before landfall, much like Katrina, Ivan etc.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

My car broke down on evacuation day so I’m riding it out at a friends place.

Good luck...you are going to need it.

Nah a Cat 3 hurricane is like taking 300 micrograms of LSD - it can be scary, but usually isn’t. I survived Wilma, I’ll get through this. We’re well supplied. The two weeks without power are gonna suck.

[Confused Democrat]

My car broke down on evacuation day so I’m riding it out at a friends place.

Good luck...you are going to need it.

Nah a Cat 3 hurricane is like taking 300 micrograms of LSD - it can be scary, but usually isn’t. I survived Wilma, I’ll get through this. We’re well supplied. The two weeks without power are gonna suck.

Not if you're in an evacuation zone. Cat 3's are nothing to scoff at and should be taken extremely seriously.

Katrina was a Cat 3 when it made landfall.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

My car broke down on evacuation day so I’m riding it out at a friends place.

Good luck...you are going to need it.

Nah a Cat 3 hurricane is like taking 300 micrograms of LSD - it can be scary, but usually isn’t. I survived Wilma, I’ll get through this. We’re well supplied. The two weeks without power are gonna suck.

Not if you're in an evacuation zone. Cat 3's are nothing to scoff at and should be taken extremely seriously.

Katrina was a Cat 3 when it made landfall.

My family never evacuated aside from Wilma. My brothers and I usually stayed with my Grandma, who lived about six miles inland, but my parents stayed home and never saw any serious damage besides some roof shingles blowing off.

Irma was pretty bad though. My dads boat was severely damaged.

[Confused Democrat]

My car broke down on evacuation day so I’m riding it out at a friends place.

Good luck...you are going to need it.

Nah a Cat 3 hurricane is like taking 300 micrograms of LSD - it can be scary, but usually isn’t. I survived Wilma, I’ll get through this. We’re well supplied. The two weeks without power are gonna suck.

Not if you're in an evacuation zone. Cat 3's are nothing to scoff at and should be taken extremely seriously.

Katrina was a Cat 3 when it made landfall.

My family never evacuated aside from Wilma. My brothers and I usually stayed with my Grandma, who lived about six miles inland, but my parents stayed home and never saw any serious damage besides some roof shingles blowing off.

Irma was pretty bad though. My dads boat was severely damaged.

That's all fine and dandy, but if you're in an evacuation zone LEAVE (if it's not already too late). If you're not in an evac zone, and you're adequately prepared  (plenty of supplies, boarded/shuttered up, etc.) then by all means stay put.

I'm just saying that no hurricane should be taken lightly if you're directly in its path, no matter what your experience with previous hurricanes are.

[Grassroots]

My car broke down on evacuation day so I’m riding it out at a friends place.

Good luck...you are going to need it.

Nah a Cat 3 hurricane is like taking 300 micrograms of LSD - it can be scary, but usually isn’t. I survived Wilma, I’ll get through this. We’re well supplied. The two weeks without power are gonna suck.

Not if you're in an evacuation zone. Cat 3's are nothing to scoff at and should be taken extremely seriously.

Katrina was a Cat 3 when it made landfall.

My family never evacuated aside from Wilma. My brothers and I usually stayed with my Grandma, who lived about six miles inland, but my parents stayed home and never saw any serious damage besides some roof shingles blowing off.

Irma was pretty bad though. My dads boat was severely damaged.

I'm not going to talk down to an experienced Floridan, but if you are near the center, it's basically a 5-10 mile wide F-2 Tornado on wind levels alone, not including storm surge (even more deadly).

Cat. 3's aren't as studied, as we rarely see landfalls of them, as opposed to Cat. 4's, which generally landfall more surprisingly.

Cyclocane maps say it will hold out at 125 until landfall, but that could very much change. Be careful, stay above ground and keep away from the windows.

The only Hurricane I have been in was Hurricane Arthur in 2014, on my friends daredevil senior group trip, and even then we probably saw about 70 MPH gusts, and that was REALLY powerful. Imagine 125 roof-ripping, trailer tossing, tree tipping, mile per hour winds.

[Grassroots]

CRITICAL UPDATE:

Hurricane Michael will be a Cat. 4 on arrival in Florida.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

This may cause more damage to where I love than Florence did (though tbh when Florence got here it was mostly thunderstorms and that was it)

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Cat 4 eh? Welp it was nice to know ya!

[Ban my account ffs!]

This hurricane is playing a role in causing the first heavier snowfall event in Minnesota.. with 8"+ in some areas of NW Minnesota.  That would be a record for early season snow.  The Tropics meets the Arctic!

[Alabama_Indy10]

I’m in North Alabama and we’re supposed to get some rain off of this hurricane tomorrow afternoon and night. Also, it has been over 90 degrees nearly everyday since April or May and a cold front is following (in my area) after this storm. Fall weather is supposed to begin here towards the end of this week.

[Reaganfan]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1EC5wnJzUkw

[Hammy]

Recon had to go around the NE quadrant (usually the strongest part) due to lightning, which normally occurs during rapid intensification. Should likely be a Cat 4 by the time the next plane gets out there.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I feel sorry for the meteorologists stuck following Leslie instead of Michael. Their irritation with that fish spinner is starting to show.

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[NewYorkExpress]

I feel sorry for the meteorologists stuck following Leslie instead of Michael. Their irritation with that fish spinner is starting to show.

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I think those forecasters have a hell of a sense of humor.

[Hammy]

I feel sorry for the meteorologists stuck following Leslie instead of Michael. Their irritation with that fish spinner is starting to show.

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I think those forecasters have a hell of a sense of humor.

I think Eric Blake is the forecaster for that advisory--his twitter feed is always filled with interesting (and often amusing) analysis

[JA]

The recon team found a minimum pressure of 942 mb, rainfall rates up to 3 in/h, and surface winds up to 140 mp/h.

This storm is an absolute monster and those in the Panhandle who couldn't or wouldn't leave should brace for a catastrophic storm unless it undergoes abrupt, rapid weakening (which, at this point, seems unlikely).

[JA]

Some of the estimates regarding Michael's pressure at landfall had it reaching 932mb. At this point, with the system as well organized and clearly showing signs of continued strengthening and a favorable structure for strengthening well into today, it isn't impossible for this storm to make landfall as a strong Cat 4 or even the worst case scenario (still unlikely, but far more likely than previously thought) - a Cat 5.

[JA]

https://twitter.com/clarkevanswx/status/1049850164800700417?s=21

Also, Michael is expected to continue strengthening throughout the day and reach 145mph winds by 2pm, just prior to landfall. Right now, it’s best to anticipate a storm at least that strong, if not stronger. At this point, even 150-160mph is within the realm of possibility upon landfall.

[JA]

Please, if any of you on Atlas live in this area and can do it - LEAVE NOW. If you have loved ones there, call or text them to leave immediately before it’s too late. And if they can’t leave the area and they’re under an evacuation order, urge them to head to a shelter. There are only a few hours remaining before an unprecedented, catastrophic hurricane strikes this area of Florida.