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March 07, 2021, 01:18:00 PM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
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2018 Senatorial Election Polls
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Brittain33
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TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
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Topic: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8 (Read 4278 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
Posts: 761
TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
on:
October 07, 2018, 09:45:07 AM »
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/senate-races-gop-up-in-texas-tennessee-dems-up-in-arizona-new-jersey-cbs-news-poll/
Blackburn 50
Bredesen 42
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,344
Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #1 on:
October 07, 2018, 09:47:42 AM »
looks right
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,561
Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #2 on:
October 07, 2018, 09:47:49 AM »
lol at people who still believe this is a complete toss-up.
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Lean Branson
Doctor Imperialism
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,035
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #3 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:07:07 AM »
Taking a position on Kavanaugh was a mistake.
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KingSweden
Atlas Icon
Posts: 11,246
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #4 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:10:19 AM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on October 07, 2018, 10:07:07 AM
Taking a position on Kavanaugh was a mistake.
Possibly. We have all been predicting Rs would come home in Tennessee in the end for months, though.
Logged
Xing: Tanned, Vaccinated, and Ready
xingkerui
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,881
Political Matrix
E: -6.26, S: -4.96
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #5 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:16:19 AM »
This is exactly what many of us were afraid of, and looks like we were right.
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Frenchy
Gabor
Jr. Member
Posts: 615
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #6 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:18:28 AM »
About time to move this to Lean R IMO.
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Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
Posts: 4,373
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #7 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:21:38 AM »
It's like TN is just too red?
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DTC
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
Posts: 4,204
Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #8 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:22:38 AM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on October 07, 2018, 10:21:38 AM
It's like TN is just too red?
Yep. Trump approval in this poll is 61-39. While Bredesen is getting a decent amount of Trump approvers, he isn't getting enough.
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2016
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,384
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #9 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:24:54 AM »
Quote from: Reasonable™ Moderate Republican on October 07, 2018, 10:16:19 AM
This is exactly what many of us were afraid of, and looks like we were right.
This is excatly what I was hoping for. Kavanaugh saved the Senate for Republicans.
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President Biden
Politician
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,039
Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #10 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:37:15 AM »
inb4 IceSpear
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Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,961
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #11 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:38:42 AM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on October 07, 2018, 10:07:07 AM
Taking a position on Kavanaugh was a mistake.
It's hard to see how it mattered. I wonder how many of these respondents even knew he said he's support Kavanaugh. I don't doubt the Kavanaugh nomination itself is moving these numbers to Blackburn (since effectively Rs would be voting for a R man, not a R woman, with their vote.)
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2016
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,384
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #12 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:43:51 AM »
Tennessee is a Republican State after all. I don't think Blackburn will win by 8 but she will win. It will be more like the Corker vs Ford Senate Race so she wins 51-48 or 52-47.
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Mr.Phips
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,789
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #13 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:57:13 AM »
As expected. I never actually thought that Bredesen would win here in the end.
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President Biden
Politician
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,039
Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #14 on:
October 07, 2018, 10:59:08 AM »
Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.
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RoboWop
AMB1996
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,438
Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #15 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:05:26 AM »
Quote from: Politician on October 07, 2018, 10:59:08 AM
Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.
Big difference being the Democrats in TN are mostly in the cemeteries, not the nursing homes.
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2016
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,384
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #16 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:05:33 AM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on October 07, 2018, 10:57:13 AM
As expected. I never actually thought that Bredesen would win here in the end.
Me neither. If I'm correct the last Democrat in the Senate from TN was former VP Gore.
I've to give Democrats credit though for finding a good Candidate similar like 2006 with Ford Jr. and making us to spent a lot of $$$ in TN, those $$$ would have gone to MO, IN, MT and ND.
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Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
Posts: 16,700
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #17 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:22:15 AM »
Quote from: Politician on October 07, 2018, 10:59:08 AM
Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 7,424
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #18 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:23:30 AM »
I expect this kavanaugh bump to die down a bit before day, but blackburn still wins by about 4
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2016
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,384
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #19 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:26:50 AM »
Quote from: Politician on October 07, 2018, 10:59:08 AM
Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.
Don't you find that a bit hilarious comparing Blackburn to Raese?
Logged
History505
Guest
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #20 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:32:45 AM »
Blackburn has the edge currently, but I think the margin could narrow down and the race could be closer on Election Day.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,250
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #21 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:39:55 AM »
Bayh-bayh. I’m sure Mike Beebe will make AR-SEN 2020 a Tossup, though.
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KingSweden
Atlas Icon
Posts: 11,246
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #22 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:40:40 AM »
Quote from: politicalmasta73 on October 07, 2018, 11:23:30 AM
I expect this kavanaugh bump to die down a bit before day, but blackburn still wins by about 4
Logged
jimmie
jamespol
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,729
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #23 on:
October 07, 2018, 11:49:00 AM »
I'm dumping astrology!
Logged
Cashew
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,250
Re: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
«
Reply #24 on:
October 07, 2018, 12:03:41 PM »
Quote from: History505 on October 07, 2018, 11:32:45 AM
Blackburn has the edge currently, but I think the margin could narrow down and the race could be closer on Election Day.
Expecting southern undecideds to rescue a Democrat is among the worst bets one can make.
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