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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8
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Author Topic: TN CBS/YouGov Tracker: Blackburn +8  (Read 3865 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 07, 2018, 09:45:07 am »

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/senate-races-gop-up-in-texas-tennessee-dems-up-in-arizona-new-jersey-cbs-news-poll/

Blackburn 50
Bredesen 42
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2018, 09:47:42 am »

looks right
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2018, 09:47:49 am »

lol at people who still believe this is a complete toss-up.
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2018, 10:07:07 am »

Taking a position on Kavanaugh was a mistake.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2018, 10:10:19 am »

Taking a position on Kavanaugh was a mistake.

Possibly. We have all been predicting Rs would come home in Tennessee in the end for months, though.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2018, 10:16:19 am »

This is exactly what many of us were afraid of, and looks like we were right.
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Frenchy
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« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2018, 10:18:28 am »

About time to move this to Lean R IMO.
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2018, 10:21:38 am »

It's like TN is just too red?
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DTC
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2018, 10:22:38 am »


Yep. Trump approval in this poll is 61-39. While Bredesen is getting a decent amount of Trump approvers, he isn't getting enough.
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2016
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2018, 10:24:54 am »

This is exactly what many of us were afraid of, and looks like we were right.

This is excatly what I was hoping for. Kavanaugh saved the Senate for Republicans.
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President Biden
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2018, 10:37:15 am »

inb4 IceSpear
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Brittain33
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2018, 10:38:42 am »

Taking a position on Kavanaugh was a mistake.

It's hard to see how it mattered. I wonder how many of these respondents even knew he said he's support Kavanaugh. I don't doubt the Kavanaugh nomination itself is moving these numbers to Blackburn (since effectively Rs would be voting for a R man, not a R woman, with their vote.)
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2016
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« Reply #12 on: October 07, 2018, 10:43:51 am »

Tennessee is a Republican State after all. I don't think Blackburn will win by 8 but she will win. It will be more like the Corker vs Ford Senate Race so she wins 51-48 or 52-47.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2018, 10:57:13 am »

As expected.  I never actually thought that Bredesen would win here in the end.
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President Biden
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« Reply #14 on: October 07, 2018, 10:59:08 am »

Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.
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RoboWop
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« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2018, 11:05:26 am »

Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.

Big difference being the Democrats in TN are mostly in the cemeteries, not the nursing homes.
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2016
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2018, 11:05:33 am »

As expected.  I never actually thought that Bredesen would win here in the end.

Me neither. If I'm correct the last Democrat in the Senate from TN was former VP Gore.

I've to give Democrats credit though for finding a good Candidate similar like 2006 with Ford Jr. and making us to spent a lot of $$$ in TN, those $$$ would have gone to MO, IN, MT and ND.
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Southern Archivist Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2018, 11:22:15 am »

Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2018, 11:23:30 am »

I expect this kavanaugh bump to die down a bit before day, but blackburn still wins by about 4
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2016
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« Reply #19 on: October 07, 2018, 11:26:50 am »

Don't forget John Raese was leading in October 2010 only for Manchin to win by 10. This isn't over yet.

Don't you find that a bit hilarious comparing Blackburn to Raese?
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History505
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« Reply #20 on: October 07, 2018, 11:32:45 am »

Blackburn has the edge currently, but I think the margin could narrow down and the race could be closer on Election Day.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2018, 11:39:55 am »

Bayh-bayh. I’m sure Mike Beebe will make AR-SEN 2020 a Tossup, though.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #22 on: October 07, 2018, 11:40:40 am »

I expect this kavanaugh bump to die down a bit before day, but blackburn still wins by about 4

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jimmie
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« Reply #23 on: October 07, 2018, 11:49:00 am »

I'm dumping astrology!
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Cashew
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« Reply #24 on: October 07, 2018, 12:03:41 pm »

Blackburn has the edge currently, but I think the margin could narrow down and the race could be closer on Election Day.

Expecting southern undecideds to rescue a Democrat is among the worst bets one can make.
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