More likely to win: Heitkamp or Bredesen?

[😥]

Your opinion

[😥]

For me,
Bredesen 50% chance
Heitkamp 43% chance. So, Bredesen

[MT Treasurer]

Probably still Heitkamp narrowly, but both will almost certainly lose.

[Pyro]

Heitkamp has incumbency, but Bredesen has led more than a single poll.
I'd go with Bredesen, though I would not be surprised if both end up winning by 1%.

[Pericles]

Probably Bredesen at this stage.

[Roronoa D. Law]

North Dakota is elastic and Heitkamp still the incumbent but I pick Bredesen. He's a tier 1 candidate and Blackburn isn't all that great of a candidate either. Plus he got Davidson and Shelby going for him with outside chance of winning Hamilton, Knox, and Montgomery so his floor is a little higher than Heitkamp.

[SnowLabrador]

Bredesen. I have moved North Dakota to Safe R flip after Heitkamp announced she was voting no on Kavanaugh.

[Politician]

Probably still Heitkamp narrowly, but both will almost certainly lose.

Anyway, Bredesen has a 40% chance of winning while Heitkamp has a 20% chance. So Bredesen.

[Xing]

I'd say Heitkamp, since I could sooner see the race trending back in her favor, whereas Bredesen pretty much has nowhere to go but down. While my current guess is that Bredesen does better than Heitkamp, a late shift in favor of the Democrats would probably benefit Heitkamp more.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Heitkamp is still the favorite.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Bredesen.

[SN2903]

Bredesen but both are done

[Alabama_Indy10]

I'm gonna say Heitkamp.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Heitkamp is still the favorite.

What, on God's green earth, are you basing that on?

[IceSpear]

Bredesen but both are done

[ElectionsGuy]

Heitkamp

[Virginiá]

Bredesen has, so far, been holding up fairly well, and his polling is consistent with a tossup race. So I think he has the edge right now (for this question), given that Heidi is slipping (although I'm not ruling her out yet).

People's attitudes towards TN seem to be to just add a giant penalty for Bredesen due to TN's heavy Republican lean, but I dunno if that is the right way to view this race.

[Xing]

People's attitudes towards TN seem to be to just add a giant penalty for Bredesen due to TN's heavy Republican lean, but I dunno if that is the right way to view this race.

In my case, it's because polling in TN has often had a Democratic bias, and due to Bredesen's high name recognition, I think the undecideds are more likely to break for Blackburn.