Heitkamp vs Cramer prediction

[History505]

Post your current number prediction for the North Dakota Senate race.

[ON Progressive]

I'm going to say Cramer 53-45.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Heitkamp 53-47.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I have changed my prediction like over a dozen times since the midterm season started, but for now 53-47 Cramer.

[Bidenworth2020]

51-49 heidi for now.

[KingSweden]

Cramer +3.5

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

52-48 heitkamp

[TML]

Heitkamp +0.0

[Xing]

We're going to have a thread on all of the Senate races eventually, but for now, I'll say Cramer wins by about 5.

[IceSpear]

54-46 Cramer

[Strudelcutie4427]

Cramer 54-46 (2 party vote, ignoring 3rd parties)

[MT Treasurer]

Ask me again in two or three weeks. I definitely find it hard to believe that Heitkamp’s going to lose in a landslide while Donnelly and McCaskill are in Toss-up/Tilt D races, though (yes, yes, I know, both states are more Democratic, more suburban, etc., but still). Gun to my head, Republicans win ND, IN, MO (with undecideds breaking towards the GOP in those states) while losing NV and AZ. So R+1 overall, but I’d argue there’s still a lot of uncertainty in all of those states and potentially TN/MT/AZ/FL as well.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Cramer 54-46 (2 party vote, ignoring 3rd parties)

Heitkamp and Cramer are the only candidates on the ballot.

[Pericles]

Cramer 52%, Heitkamp 47%.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Ask me again in two or three weeks. I definitely find it hard to believe that Heitkamp’s going to lose in a landslide while Donnelly and McCaskill are in Toss-up/Tilt D races, though (yes, yes, I know, both states are more Democratic, more suburban, etc., but still). Gun to my head, Republicans win ND, IN, MO (with undecideds breaking towards the GOP in those states) while losing NV and AZ. So R+1 overall, but I’d argue there’s still a lot of uncertainty in all of those states and potentially TN/MT/AZ/FL as well.

https://www.grandforksherald.com/opinion/columns/4508338-commentary-cramer-10-not-so-fast-pollster-suggests
thoughts on this article?

[Mr. Smith]

Ron John was finished at this point, Blunt was leading by healthy margin, Bayh was still ahead by double digits, Richard Burr was behind.

Forgive me for skepticism of anything after all that.

Methinks I'll wait until the end of the month and see how it pans out. I'd still give the edge to Heitkamp.

[MycroftCZ]

Ask me again in two or three weeks. I definitely find it hard to believe that Heitkamp’s going to lose in a landslide while Donnelly and McCaskill are in Toss-up/Tilt D races, though (yes, yes, I know, both states are more Democratic, more suburban, etc., but still). Gun to my head, Republicans win ND, IN, MO (with undecideds breaking towards the GOP in those states) while losing NV and AZ. So R+1 overall, but I’d argue there’s still a lot of uncertainty in all of those states and potentially TN/MT/AZ/FL as well.

https://www.grandforksherald.com/opinion/columns/4508338-commentary-cramer-10-not-so-fast-pollster-suggests
thoughts on this article?

He made some good points and I hope that we can get a poll soon, just to see if this double-digit lead for Cramer holds... my current prediction, because my gut tells me Heitkamp is an unbeatable, retail-politics GOD is HH 51%, Crap-mer 49%.

[brucejoel99]

Heitkamp 50.3-49.7

[smoltchanov]

Cramer +3.5

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Looks like Cramer wins at this point, but I am not ready to commit to a particular #.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Heitkamp - 52%
Cramer - 48%

[😥]

Cramer 52-48

[SnowLabrador]

Cramer 54-46.

[Politician]

Cramer: 52%
Heitkamp: 48%

[SN2903]

Cramer- 55 Heitkamp - 45