Cruz vs O'Rourke prediction
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Author Topic: Cruz vs O'Rourke prediction  (Read 3646 times)
History505
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« on: October 03, 2018, 09:59:44 PM »
Post your current number prediction for the Texas Senate race.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2018, 10:00:01 PM »
Cruz by a 50-45 margin.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2018, 10:02:46 PM »
52-45 Cruz
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2018, 10:06:30 PM »
52-46 Cruz.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2018, 10:09:19 PM »
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2018, 10:12:25 PM »
51-48 Cruz
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2018, 10:15:19 PM »
My brain says 50-48 Cruz

My heart says 50-48 O'Rourke
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2018, 10:18:27 PM »
NJ: Menendez + 7
NV: Rosen + 5
FL: Nelson + 5
AZ: Sinema + 4
WV: Manchin + 3
MT: Tester + 2
MO: Mccaskill + 1
TX: Beto + 1
IN: Braun + 1
TN: Blackburn + 4
ND: Cramer + 6

All other races are double digit wins for either side.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2018, 10:23:00 PM »
Quote from: Holy Unifying Centrist on October 03, 2018, 10:18:27 PM
NJ: Menendez + 7
NV: Rosen + 5
FL: Nelson + 5
AZ: Sinema + 4
WV: Manchin + 3
MT: Tester + 2
MO: Mccaskill + 1
TX: Beto + 1
IN: Braun + 1
TN: Blackburn + 4
ND: Cramer + 6

All other races are double digit wins for either side.

Braun and Beto both winning at the same time hahahahahahaha
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2018, 10:25:50 PM »
Cruz 55-44
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Pericles
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2018, 10:26:48 PM »
Cruz-51%
O'Rourke-47%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2018, 10:47:28 PM »
Cruz @ 49
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2018, 11:57:30 PM »
Quote from: cookiedamage on October 03, 2018, 10:15:19 PM
My brain says 50-48 51-47 Cruz

My heart says 50-48 O'Rourke
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2018, 12:10:48 AM »
Man, the first couple of responses to this thread were pretty reasonable. I was thinking that possibly my work here was about done - mission accomplished.

But then I got to these responses:


Quote from: cookiedamage on October 03, 2018, 10:15:19 PM
My brain says 50-48 Cruz

My heart says 50-48 O'Rourke


You people aren't actually taken in by reuters and Vox Populli junk, are you? Say it ain't so.

Anyway, a reasonable current guess at realistic numbers would be about in the range of a 6 point Cruz lead. Libertarians should get 2, and there is no Green on the ballot to take votes from Beto.

So:

Cruz: 52
Beto: 46
Libertarian: 2
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2018, 12:11:14 AM »
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2018, 12:13:15 AM »

That is probably on the high side, but there is a better chance of something this than the posts that have the race close or even Beto ahead.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2018, 12:39:50 AM »
Beto O'Rourke - 49.5%
Ted Cruz - 48.9%
Neal Dikeman and Write Ins - 1.6%
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2018, 12:54:54 AM »
Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on October 04, 2018, 12:39:50 AM
Beto O'Rourke - 49.5%
Ted Cruz - 48.9%
Neal Dikeman and Write Ins - 1.6%
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2018, 12:56:35 AM »
Cruz 51-46 or so.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2018, 01:05:52 AM »
« Edited: October 04, 2018, 01:10:54 AM by Interlocutor »
Quote from: History505 on October 03, 2018, 09:59:44 PM
Post your current number prediction for the Texas Senate race.

"...Unless it's anything less than a +3 Cruz win. Then your prediction is idiotic and you will be shamed by 'Cruz Will Win'"
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2018, 01:10:42 AM »

This forum is starting to remind me of all the Republican forums I browsed in October 2008 that were convinced McCain was a shoo in, lol.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2018, 01:25:26 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 04, 2018, 01:10:42 AM

This forum is starting to remind me of all the Republican forums I browsed in October 2008 that were convinced McCain was a shoo in, lol.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: October 04, 2018, 01:42:00 AM »
Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on October 04, 2018, 01:25:26 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on October 04, 2018, 01:10:42 AM

This forum is starting to remind me of all the Republican forums I browsed in October 2008 that were convinced McCain was a shoo in, lol.

Nice one. Two can play at that game. Wink

Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on November 06, 2017, 03:23:36 PM
Narrow (somewhere between 0.1 and 2 points) win for Gillespie
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2018, 01:44:08 AM »

FWIW DFW and I use to argue about Texas senate and he was pretty convinced months ago Beto had no path to victory. He’s not some cheerleading hack.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2018, 01:51:45 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 04, 2018, 01:42:00 AM
Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on October 04, 2018, 01:25:26 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on October 04, 2018, 01:10:42 AM

This forum is starting to remind me of all the Republican forums I browsed in October 2008 that were convinced McCain was a shoo in, lol.

Nice one. Two can play at that game. Wink

Quote from: Vice President dfwlibertylover on November 06, 2017, 03:23:36 PM
Narrow (somewhere between 0.1 and 2 points) win for Gillespie

oh yeah, well

Quote from: IceSpear on November 01, 2016, 07:28:32 PM
Quote from: tmthforu94 on November 01, 2016, 07:24:54 PM
I'm surprised Cole hasn't tried to utilize Trump more. Considering Trump will likely win by over 30 points here, he should have cut a quick ad on behalf of Cole. Probably would have swayed some voters.

This poll is old, I just bumped it to gloat. Gov. Cole has won.

Tongue
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