All safe senate candidates get a Roy Moore-like scandal. Who still survives?
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  All safe senate candidates get a Roy Moore-like scandal. Who still survives?
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Poll
Question: Which currently safe candidates would be able to survive a Roy Moore-like scandal?
#1
Angus King (I-ME)
 
#2
Bernie Sanders (I-VT)
 
#3
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
 
#4
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
 
#5
Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)
 
#6
Christopher Murphy (D-CT)
 
#7
Tim Kaine (D-VA)
 
#8
Robert Casey Jr. (D-PA)
 
#9
Thomas Carper (D-DE)
 
#10
Benjamin Cardin (D-MD)
 
#11
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
 
#12
Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)
 
#13
Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)
 
#14
Tammy Baldwin (D-WI)
 
#15
Roger Wicker (R-MS)
 
#16
Deb Fischer (R-NE)
 
#17
Martin Heinrich (D-NM)
 
#18
John Barrasso (R-WY)
 
#19
Mitt Romney (R-UT)
 
#20
Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
 
#21
Dianne Feinstein (D-CA)
 
#22
Mazie Hirono (D-HI)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 22

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Author Topic: All safe senate candidates get a Roy Moore-like scandal. Who still survives?  (Read 411 times)
Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: October 03, 2018, 05:30:30 PM »

Pretty much what says there.

Which candidates running in safe seats would be able to survive a Roy Moore-like tier scandal? I'm going by 538's ratings here, but maybe other candidates who aren't rated as safe would survive anyways?
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2018, 05:58:14 PM »

None. They all lose or they all drop out and are replaced on the ballot.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2018, 05:58:47 PM »

None. Lankford or Inhofe probably would though.
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morgieb
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2018, 07:08:43 PM »

Barrasso would be the best chance, perhaps. Maybe Wicker.

Pretty sure all the Dems would be forced off the ballot if this happens.
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2018, 07:12:41 PM »

Barrasso would be the best chance, perhaps. Maybe Wicker.

Pretty sure all the Dems would be forced off the ballot if this happens.

Fair enough, though I was also assuming no one dropping out (say the respective deadlines have passed). Probably should have mentioned that
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mencken
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2018, 07:16:39 PM »

None of the Democrats have to fear since the media will just ignore it (see Brown, Carper, and Menendez's issues)

I doubt the Republicans would really have to worry either; I don't really think the Moore-stuff had as much effect as people think in the end. Moore being a crappy candidate with extreme views running in a Trump midterm environment brought the race from the 20-something romping it should have been to a low-to-mid single digit race; the allegations against him merely gave Jones those critical last few percentage points.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2018, 07:34:08 PM »

None of the Democrats have to fear since the media will just ignore it (see Brown, Carper, and Menendez's issues)

I doubt the Republicans would really have to worry either; I don't really think the Moore-stuff had as much effect as people think in the end. Moore being a crappy candidate with extreme views running in a Trump midterm environment brought the race from the 20-something romping it should have been to a low-to-mid single digit race; the allegations against him merely gave Jones those critical last few percentage points.

Uh, Menendez's scandal got tons of press coverage. Brown doesn't even have a real scandal. And you're really comparing Carper's to Moore's nearly a dozen accusers with pedophilia thrown in for good measure? Roll Eyes
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mencken
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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2018, 08:57:50 PM »

None of the Democrats have to fear since the media will just ignore it (see Brown, Carper, and Menendez's issues)

I doubt the Republicans would really have to worry either; I don't really think the Moore-stuff had as much effect as people think in the end. Moore being a crappy candidate with extreme views running in a Trump midterm environment brought the race from the 20-something romping it should have been to a low-to-mid single digit race; the allegations against him merely gave Jones those critical last few percentage points.

Uh, Menendez's scandal got tons of press coverage. Brown doesn't even have a real scandal. And you're really comparing Carper's to Moore's nearly a dozen accusers with pedophilia thrown in for good measure? Roll Eyes

Beating your wife isn't a scandal?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2018, 09:10:16 PM »

None of the Democrats have to fear since the media will just ignore it (see Brown, Carper, and Menendez's issues)

I doubt the Republicans would really have to worry either; I don't really think the Moore-stuff had as much effect as people think in the end. Moore being a crappy candidate with extreme views running in a Trump midterm environment brought the race from the 20-something romping it should have been to a low-to-mid single digit race; the allegations against him merely gave Jones those critical last few percentage points.

Uh, Menendez's scandal got tons of press coverage. Brown doesn't even have a real scandal. And you're really comparing Carper's to Moore's nearly a dozen accusers with pedophilia thrown in for good measure? Roll Eyes

Beating your wife isn't a scandal?

Don't be deliberately obtuse. As I'm certain you already know, his ex wife refuted this claim.
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