NH: ARG: Sununu +5
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 21, 2024, 03:00:05 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  NH: ARG: Sununu +5
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: NH: ARG: Sununu +5  (Read 2704 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 28, 2018, 05:52:41 PM »

New Poll: New Hampshire Governor by ARG on 2018-09-26

Summary: D: 44%, R: 49%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2018, 05:53:17 PM »

But Atlas told me Sununu was guaranteed to win by 30+ points because of muh April polls. Told you guys it was gonna close at the end just like it did in 2010 and 2014.

Looks like some people owe me and MT Treasurer an apology..
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,066
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2018, 05:56:04 PM »
« Edited: September 28, 2018, 06:20:09 PM by Zaybay »

Wow, the trend was faster than I thought!

Edit: Just realized this is ARG..... NVM
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,328
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2018, 05:56:45 PM »

Would like to see another pollster confirming this, but it's plausible that this could be close. However, Sununu is at 49%
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2018, 06:03:46 PM »

Would like to see another pollster confirming this, but it's plausible that this could be close. However, Sununu is at 49%

Yeah, I think he'll end up as Lynch/Hassan 2.0. Very popular, everyone expects them to win in a massive landslide early on, then at the very end the political climate drags them down, but they still win by a modest margin. Of course, I'm sure our Montanan friend has a different theory. Wink

I'll accept my accolades though.

Polls with this many undecideds are worthless.

But it is interesting that despite a 61% approval rating he's stuck at 41-42%. Even if Sununu wins re-election, it's very possible he could be like Hassan in 2014, who was super popular and was expected to cruise to re-election, but the political environment got a some dude relatively close.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2018, 06:09:33 PM »

The "trend" of this race was a foregone conclusion. White NH women will see to it that the member of the anti-women hate group is brought to justice, especially now that NH Dems nominated the "right" candidate. Chris (R) can start packing his bags already.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2018, 06:10:43 PM »

Likely R.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,545
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2018, 06:15:46 PM »

ARG is garbage
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2018, 06:19:26 PM »

Are we unironically taking ARG seriously?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2018, 06:22:59 PM »

Are we unironically taking ARG seriously?

UNH (which is also a terrible pollster, FWIW) had it closing to Sununu +15 even before the primary and with Kelly having super low name recognition, so this result is completely believable.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,086


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2018, 06:37:26 PM »

> ARG
Logged
Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,546
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2018, 06:37:45 PM »

gARbaGe
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2018, 06:45:20 PM »

IceSpear and Mt Treasurer are so desperate to "prove" Sununu is highly vulnerable they're using a trash poll. What else is new?

Stage 1: Denial

The trend of this race is clear.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,594
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2018, 06:48:11 PM »

Would be nice to have a better pollster confirm this.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2018, 07:24:17 PM »

Would be nice to have a better pollster confirm this.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,610
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 28, 2018, 08:07:00 PM »

Sununu is probably gone. Just like Bro, John, in 2008, who lost a close election to Shaheen
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,662
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 28, 2018, 08:11:56 PM »

Wait, ARG still exists?
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,577
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 28, 2018, 08:34:10 PM »

If only...
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 29, 2018, 02:28:23 AM »

ARG isn't the greatest pollster, but I have no idea why you guys think UNH is more credible.

Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,610
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 29, 2018, 03:07:47 AM »

Big time coming home effect😁
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,629
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 29, 2018, 10:59:21 AM »

Angry NH women come home Tongue
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,408
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 29, 2018, 12:10:12 PM »

Sununu will still win due to his popularity, but it will be closer then we initially thought, same with Maryland. But enough of "NH is solid D". It could easily vote R in 2020.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,581
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 29, 2018, 12:11:02 PM »

ARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRG
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 29, 2018, 02:07:00 PM »

Sununu will still win due to his popularity, but it will be closer then we initially thought, same with Maryland. But enough of "NH is solid D". It could easily vote R in 2020.

If NH is even close in 2020, it will mean that Trump has already won the election bigly.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 29, 2018, 02:55:02 PM »

Sununu will still win due to his popularity, but it will be closer then we initially thought, same with Maryland. But enough of "NH is solid D". It could easily vote R in 2020.

The craziest part of this poll is that it shows him only up 5 despite having a +28 approval rating (56-28).
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 12 queries.