Im still predicting Edmondson wins. There's only so much people can take. And besides, it's an INTERNAL. The state is not going to vote for someone who doesn't want to vaccinate their children(he needs to be in an insane asylum)' in a democratic wave year when schools are so ripped of money they are only open 4 days a week!
He has the (R) you see, so none of that matters. The Deplorables in Jokelahoma would prefer a 0 day school week over the idea of voting for a Demoncrat. Actually, they'd probably prefer a 0 day school week regardless. Education is for liberals and coastal elitists.
It doesn't matter! Yes the deplorable rural areas will vote solid R as usual but you can't convince me the college educated suburban areas aren't going to overwhelmingly rejct Stitt. OK County will be 60-39 Edmondson or something like that. Cleveland and Comanche will be strong D too.
Something like this:
He'd need 59% in OKC & Comanche, 57% in Cleveland, 53% in Muskogee, 52% in Tulsa, 42% in Wagoner and Pottawatomie, and 41% in Canadian and Rogers. A lot of smaller counties in Little Dixie and its periphery come down to sheer coin flips here.
He'd need 25-30 point swings in the most populated counties; there'd be no improvement in the Panhandle and the most western portions of the state; from there, the swings would grow in strength as you move east until you reach the most Democratic-friendly portions of Little Dixie, where swings in his favor would exist, but would be tapered compared to some other regions.
