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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  OK-Right Strategy Group: GOP sweep
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Author Topic: OK-Right Strategy Group: GOP sweep  (Read 1828 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: September 28, 2018, 10:46:29 am »
« edited: September 28, 2018, 10:55:59 am by MT Treasurer »

Governor
47% Kevin Stitt (R) (+6 since August)
43% Drew Edmondson (D) (+1)
2% Chris Powell (L)

Lieutenant Governor
50% Matt Pinnell (R)
34% Anastasia Pittman (D)
4% Ivan Holmes (I)

Attorney General
51% Mark Hunter (R)
32% Mark Myles (D)

State Superintendent
48% Joy Hofmeister (R)
32% John Cox (D)
7% Larry Huff (I)

Labor Commissioner
48% Leslie Osborn (R)
30% Fred Dorrell (D)
5% Brandt Dismukes (I)

Corporation Commissioner
53% Bob Anthony (R)
31% Ashley Nicole McCray (D)
4% Jackie Short (I)

State Auditor and Inspector
47% Cindy Byrd (R)
12% John Yeutter (L)

Insurance Commissioner
43% Glen Mulready (R)
32% Kimberly Fobbs (D)

Trump approval: 56/39 (+17)
Fallin approval: 14/73 (-59)

http://www.therightstrategygroup.com/september-26-2018-survey.html
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2018, 10:52:59 am »

Lean R, but it'll be fun seeing an OK map of a close race.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2018, 10:55:27 am »

Lean R, but it'll be fun seeing an OK map of a close race.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2018, 10:56:03 am »

So Oklahomans are voting for a Mary Fallin clone even though they hate her? Looks like IceSpear was right about Oklahoma voters being idiots all along
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2018, 11:15:41 am »

I still wouldn't completely rule out a Edmondson win, but it seems Republicans are coming around for Stitt.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2018, 11:17:04 am »

Plausible numbers. This is the state that gave us Update
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2018, 11:20:38 am »

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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2018, 11:28:36 am »

I knew Mary Fallin was really unpopular - but what has she done to make herself so unpopular?
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Blackacre
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2018, 11:35:33 am »

Judging by the name of the poll this seems like an internal? The numbers seem legit but I won't be having any takeaways until a public poll confirms this
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2018, 11:39:14 am »
« Edited: September 28, 2018, 11:44:19 am by ON Progressive »

Judging by the name of the poll this seems like an internal? The numbers seem legit but I won't be having any takeaways until a public poll confirms this

I don't think this is an internal. It is a GOP pollster, however.

I knew Mary Fallin was really unpopular - but what has she done to make herself so unpopular?

Severe budget problems, to the point of some schools not being able to afford 5 day weeks, Highway Patrol officiers needing mileage limits because the state couldn't afford paying for their gas, and other issues. Here's a good article on this: https://www.npr.org/2018/02/08/584064306/tax-cuts-put-oklahoma-in-a-bind-now-gov-fallin-wants-to-raise-taxes
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President Biden
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« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2018, 11:40:09 am »

The governor's race is still a tossup, as this is a Republican pollster.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2018, 11:48:34 am »

This ^^

I suspect that he will perform very well in the former Boren district. However, it is likely that the "toss up map" for the democrats would be more suburban (OKC,...) and less relying on these former blue dog territories.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2018, 02:13:49 pm »

LOL. RIP Politician and all the other posters who said Edmondson was inevitable.

Because when a Democrat is "ahead" 41-40 in Oklahoma of all places, clearly it is a total mystery which way the "undecideds" will break!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2018, 02:23:28 pm »

The governor's race is still a tossup, as this is a Republican pollster.

This is one of the two polls that showed Edmondson ahead months ago which led to the circlejerking about this race, both of which now show Stitt ahead.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2018, 02:32:55 pm »

LOL. RIP Politician and all the other posters who said Edmondson was inevitable.

Because when a Democrat is "ahead" 41-40 in Oklahoma of all places, clearly it is a total mystery which way the "undecideds" will break!
He is trailing by 4 points. In Oklahoma. The undecideds could still break his way, as they did with Larry Hogan in Maryland in 2014 (which speaking of, Jealous is still behind by 15 points. But I thought candidate quality didn't matter in wave years and that Hogan was DOA)

What made you think Hogan was DOA? Huh
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #15 on: September 28, 2018, 02:35:35 pm »

States don't vote the same way in presidential years v off year and OK, AZ, TN and KS had Dem govs in Dubya years
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: September 28, 2018, 08:29:36 pm »

I never really saw a Democrat being elected in Oklahoma but this is way more competitive than it should be, there's no denying that.
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henster
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« Reply #17 on: September 28, 2018, 09:35:53 pm »

Inverse of CT, outgoing is unpopular but the candidate has enough distance from the Governor.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #18 on: September 28, 2018, 09:43:24 pm »

Always bemusing to see the usual suspects jump on a poll from an unknown firm.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: September 28, 2018, 10:36:38 pm »

Always bemusing to see the usual suspects jump on a poll from an unknown firm.

It's one of two firms to ever poll this race, both of which had Edmondson ahead initially and now both have Stitt ahead. And nobody had a problem with either one when they had Edmondson ahead. Yet now suddenly you do? How convenient.

Of course, I wouldn't expect any less from the forum's resident Baghdad Bob. Remember when you insisted the Comey letter wouldn't matter and called me a concern troll for arguing otherwise? LOL. I also remember when you thought Hillary was going to win St. Charles County, MO. Good times...#throwback
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: September 28, 2018, 10:39:46 pm »

Inverse of CT, outgoing is unpopular but the candidate has enough distance from the Governor.

Yep.

Muhry Fallin = Muhloy confirmed.
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #21 on: September 29, 2018, 09:59:37 am »

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New Frontier
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« Reply #22 on: September 29, 2018, 10:11:14 am »

Oklahoma is gonna Oklahoma.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #23 on: September 29, 2018, 12:30:16 pm »

I'd like confirmation from a public poll before I move this race out of tossup, tbh
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fluffypanther19
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« Reply #24 on: September 30, 2018, 07:59:25 am »

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