OK-Right Strategy Group: GOP sweep
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 26, 2023, 10:22:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  OK-Right Strategy Group: GOP sweep
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: OK-Right Strategy Group: GOP sweep  (Read 2918 times)
MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,512
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 28, 2018, 10:46:29 AM »
« edited: September 28, 2018, 10:55:59 AM by MT Treasurer »

Governor
47% Kevin Stitt (R) (+6 since August)
43% Drew Edmondson (D) (+1)
2% Chris Powell (L)

Lieutenant Governor
50% Matt Pinnell (R)
34% Anastasia Pittman (D)
4% Ivan Holmes (I)

Attorney General
51% Mark Hunter (R)
32% Mark Myles (D)

State Superintendent
48% Joy Hofmeister (R)
32% John Cox (D)
7% Larry Huff (I)

Labor Commissioner
48% Leslie Osborn (R)
30% Fred Dorrell (D)
5% Brandt Dismukes (I)

Corporation Commissioner
53% Bob Anthony (R)
31% Ashley Nicole McCray (D)
4% Jackie Short (I)

State Auditor and Inspector
47% Cindy Byrd (R)
12% John Yeutter (L)

Insurance Commissioner
43% Glen Mulready (R)
32% Kimberly Fobbs (D)

Trump approval: 56/39 (+17)
Fallin approval: 14/73 (-59)

http://www.therightstrategygroup.com/september-26-2018-survey.html
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,570
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2018, 10:52:59 AM »

Lean R, but it'll be fun seeing an OK map of a close race.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,232
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2018, 10:55:27 AM »

Lean R, but it'll be fun seeing an OK map of a close race.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,109
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2018, 10:56:03 AM »

So Oklahomans are voting for a Mary Fallin clone even though they hate her? Looks like IceSpear was right about Oklahoma voters being idiots all along
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,176
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2018, 11:15:41 AM »

I still wouldn't completely rule out a Edmondson win, but it seems Republicans are coming around for Stitt.
Logged
Devout Centrist
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,719
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2018, 11:17:04 AM »

Plausible numbers. This is the state that gave us Update
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,929
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2018, 11:20:38 AM »

Logged
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,010


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2018, 11:28:36 AM »

I knew Mary Fallin was really unpopular - but what has she done to make herself so unpopular?
Logged
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,177
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2018, 11:35:33 AM »

Judging by the name of the poll this seems like an internal? The numbers seem legit but I won't be having any takeaways until a public poll confirms this
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,109
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2018, 11:39:14 AM »
« Edited: September 28, 2018, 11:44:19 AM by ON Progressive »

Judging by the name of the poll this seems like an internal? The numbers seem legit but I won't be having any takeaways until a public poll confirms this

I don't think this is an internal. It is a GOP pollster, however.

I knew Mary Fallin was really unpopular - but what has she done to make herself so unpopular?

Severe budget problems, to the point of some schools not being able to afford 5 day weeks, Highway Patrol officiers needing mileage limits because the state couldn't afford paying for their gas, and other issues. Here's a good article on this: https://www.npr.org/2018/02/08/584064306/tax-cuts-put-oklahoma-in-a-bind-now-gov-fallin-wants-to-raise-taxes
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2018, 11:40:09 AM »

The governor's race is still a tossup, as this is a Republican pollster.
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,212
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2018, 11:48:34 AM »

This ^^

I suspect that he will perform very well in the former Boren district. However, it is likely that the "toss up map" for the democrats would be more suburban (OKC,...) and less relying on these former blue dog territories.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,848
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2018, 02:13:49 PM »

LOL. RIP Politician and all the other posters who said Edmondson was inevitable.

Because when a Democrat is "ahead" 41-40 in Oklahoma of all places, clearly it is a total mystery which way the "undecideds" will break!
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,848
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2018, 02:23:28 PM »

The governor's race is still a tossup, as this is a Republican pollster.

This is one of the two polls that showed Edmondson ahead months ago which led to the circlejerking about this race, both of which now show Stitt ahead.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,848
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2018, 02:32:55 PM »

LOL. RIP Politician and all the other posters who said Edmondson was inevitable.

Because when a Democrat is "ahead" 41-40 in Oklahoma of all places, clearly it is a total mystery which way the "undecideds" will break!
He is trailing by 4 points. In Oklahoma. The undecideds could still break his way, as they did with Larry Hogan in Maryland in 2014 (which speaking of, Jealous is still behind by 15 points. But I thought candidate quality didn't matter in wave years and that Hogan was DOA)

What made you think Hogan was DOA? Huh
Logged
Mr.Barkari Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 76,223
Jamaica

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 28, 2018, 02:35:35 PM »

States don't vote the same way in presidential years v off year and OK, AZ, TN and KS had Dem govs in Dubya years
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,060
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 28, 2018, 08:29:36 PM »

I never really saw a Democrat being elected in Oklahoma but this is way more competitive than it should be, there's no denying that.
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,824


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 28, 2018, 09:35:53 PM »

Inverse of CT, outgoing is unpopular but the candidate has enough distance from the Governor.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 28, 2018, 09:43:24 PM »

Always bemusing to see the usual suspects jump on a poll from an unknown firm.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,848
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 28, 2018, 10:36:38 PM »

Always bemusing to see the usual suspects jump on a poll from an unknown firm.

It's one of two firms to ever poll this race, both of which had Edmondson ahead initially and now both have Stitt ahead. And nobody had a problem with either one when they had Edmondson ahead. Yet now suddenly you do? How convenient.

Of course, I wouldn't expect any less from the forum's resident Baghdad Bob. Remember when you insisted the Comey letter wouldn't matter and called me a concern troll for arguing otherwise? LOL. I also remember when you thought Hillary was going to win St. Charles County, MO. Good times...#throwback
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,848
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 28, 2018, 10:39:46 PM »

Inverse of CT, outgoing is unpopular but the candidate has enough distance from the Governor.

Yep.

Muhry Fallin = Muhloy confirmed.
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,518
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 29, 2018, 09:59:37 AM »

Logged
ηєω Éяσηтιєя
New Frontier
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,074
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -1.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 29, 2018, 10:11:14 AM »

Oklahoma is gonna Oklahoma.
Logged
Blackacre
Spenstar3D
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,177
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 29, 2018, 12:30:16 PM »

I'd like confirmation from a public poll before I move this race out of tossup, tbh
Logged
fluffypanther19
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 30, 2018, 07:59:25 AM »

Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.055 seconds with 13 queries.