Bold Predictions: September Edition (user search)
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April 29, 2024, 02:29:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Bold Predictions: September Edition (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bold Predictions: September Edition  (Read 3637 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,738


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

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« on: September 29, 2018, 10:50:02 AM »

Senate

Democrats take a razor thin 51-49 majority, flipping Nevada and Arizona, while losing none of their own seats.
The 2 closest races are Tennessee and Texas, both of which will be won by Republicans by less than 5%.
All other races will be decided by more than 5%, with the possible exception of California where there are 2 Democrats.
Dianne Feinstein is the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in the Country.
Bill Nelson wins in 2018 by a larger margin than he won in 2012.
Not only does Tim Kaine win big, but he also wins the White people vote.
Ben Cardin, Bob Menendez, and Jenny Wilson slightly underperform Hillary Clinton 2016 margins, while all other Senate Democratic candidates who are facing a Republican opponent races outperform her.
Angus King will not win on the 1st Count, but will break 60% on the 2nd Count.
Gary Johnson comes in 3rd place in New Mexico, and gets a lower percentage of the vote than he got in his 2016 performance in the state.

Governor

Charlie Baker will have the largest winning margin out of any winning Republican, and be the only one to break 60% of the vote.
Ben Jealous will win.
Gretchen Whitmer will have the largest winning margin out of every candidate to flip a state.
Kate Brown will break 60% of the vote.
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