PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +18 (user search)
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  PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +18 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Casey +18  (Read 2274 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,842
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: September 21, 2018, 05:42:21 PM »

Barletta has been one of the biggest candidate flameouts of the cycle. He was supposed to be a strong candidate who could re-create the Trump coalition and potentially make this race a toss up, LOL.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,842
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2018, 03:08:07 PM »

I fail to see how Fitzpatrick survives with the top ticket being this lopsided

Gerlach survived a similarly lopsided top of the ticket in 2006, and Fitzpatrick's brother almost did. But yeah, it ain't 2006 anymore.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,842
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2018, 07:11:29 PM »

I wonder what a county map would look like with a Dem winning PA by 18 points. I worry that that Dems would just be getting North Korean like levels of support in Philly and Pittsburgh, and getting slaughtered less badly in the center and southwest. Seeing Hillary losing Erie and even almost losing Scranton was scary to see.

Casey actually won by 18 points in 2006, so it would be pretty cool to see a 2006-2018 swing map if he had a similar margin this time. It might even be sig worthy. Smiley

I don't think he actually wins by 18 though. Barletta's numbers will probably improve a bit as we get closer to election day and his name recognition goes up. But the prospect of him even getting it within single digits is starting to look like a stretch.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,842
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2018, 01:55:10 AM »


The fact that Barletta still has a name recognition problem in late September says a lot about the state of his campaign.
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