If Bredesen wins, will he run again in 2024?
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  If Bredesen wins, will he run again in 2024?
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Poll
Question: If Bredesen wins the TN Senate election, will he run for reelection in 2024?
#1
Yes
 
#2
Only if it looks like a good year for Democrats
 
#3
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: If Bredesen wins, will he run again in 2024?  (Read 1340 times)
Virginiá
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« on: September 19, 2018, 10:29:01 AM »

Since he'll be around 80 years old, I'm not sure. We've had Senators who stayed on into their 90s, and others who died in office but would have kept running if they lived, so it's not out of the question.
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andjey
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2018, 10:41:09 AM »

I think no
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DaWN
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2018, 10:44:01 AM »

Even for him it'll be a difficult job in a presidential year. I don't think he'll bother.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2018, 10:44:07 AM »

If Dems retake WH, clamoring for fresher blood, Karl Dean or someone younger can take his place or he can stay.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2018, 11:01:35 AM »

“He’ll run for president in 2024”

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2018, 11:08:16 AM »

Sure, why not? It’s not difficult for a Democrat like him to win a Senate race in a deep red state, and he’d probably be favored unless it’s a R wave.

The better question is: If Bredesen wins this year, will it put an end to the "Doug Jones is DOA in 2020" predictions?
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2018, 11:16:07 AM »

Sure, why not? It’s not difficult for a Democrat like him to win a Senate race in a deep red state, and he’d probably be favored unless it’s a R wave.

The better question is: If Bredesen wins this year, will it put an end to the "Doug Jones is DOA in 2020" predictions?

Bredesen is nothing like Jones, though. The former is a wildly popular former governor who has a long history in statewide politics, and a profoundly strong candidate. The latter isn't a very strong candidate, and lucked out by having the good fortune of running against an extremely weak candidate accused of sexual assault, winning narrowly and only because somewhere between 40% and half of the 2016 Republican electorate abstained.
Two very different and completely unrelated cases.
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2018, 02:49:20 PM »

Sure, why not? It’s not difficult for a Democrat like him to win a Senate race in a deep red state, and he’d probably be favored unless it’s a R wave.

The better question is: If Bredesen wins this year, will it put an end to the "Doug Jones is DOA in 2020" predictions?

Bredesen is nothing like Jones, though. The former is a wildly popular former governor who has a long history in statewide politics, and a profoundly strong candidate. The latter isn't a very strong candidate, and lucked out by having the good fortune of running against an extremely weak candidate accused of sexual assault, winning narrowly and only because somewhere between 40% and half of the 2016 Republican electorate abstained.
Two very different and completely unrelated cases.
Both have approval ratings in the low to mid 50s. Bredesen is currently a little bit more popular, but both are very popular in deep red states.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: September 19, 2018, 02:58:32 PM »

Sure, why not? It’s not difficult for a Democrat like him to win a Senate race in a deep red state, and he’d probably be favored unless it’s a R wave.

The better question is: If Bredesen wins this year, will it put an end to the "Doug Jones is DOA in 2020" predictions?

Bredesen is nothing like Jones, though. The former is a wildly popular former governor who has a long history in statewide politics, and a profoundly strong candidate. The latter isn't a very strong candidate, and lucked out by having the good fortune of running against an extremely weak candidate accused of sexual assault, winning narrowly and only because somewhere between 40% and half of the 2016 Republican electorate abstained.
Two very different and completely unrelated cases.
Both have approval ratings in the low to mid 50s. Bredesen is currently a little bit more popular, but both are very popular in deep red states.

I would also add that Trump is popular in both states right now, and it’s apparently not helping Blackburn at all if the polls are to be trusted. AL was barely more Republican than TN in 2016, and Jones will have the incumbency advantage in 2020. I have no doubt that he would win if he were up for reelection this November, and it probably wouldn’t be particularly close either. Of course 2020 is a different story (especially with what is guaranteed to be a more Republican-leaning electorate), but underestimating red state Democrats like him is foolish.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2018, 03:13:17 PM »

Probably not, since he'll be 80 and running in a difficult state. But you never know.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: September 19, 2018, 05:16:02 PM »

Probably not, since he'll be 80 and running in a difficult state. But you never know.

And it’s not a "difficult state" this year?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2018, 05:17:29 PM »

Karl Dean is waiting in the wings to take over for Bredesen
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2018, 07:11:21 PM »

Option 2.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2018, 07:19:59 PM »

Probably not, since he'll be 80 and running in a difficult state. But you never know.

And it’s not a "difficult state" this year?

True, but he'll be even older, and a presidential year will be more difficult for him to win in than a blue midterm. I think that if he wins, he'll hang it up after one term.
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Peanut
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« Reply #14 on: September 19, 2018, 09:01:35 PM »

He's a one-termer, probably. We should just thank him for making it winnable this year.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #15 on: September 20, 2018, 09:18:35 AM »

Don’t measure the drapes for Bredesen’s Senatorial office quite yet.

Former Governor Dunn issued a full throttled attack on him one Tennesseean on Tuesday:
    https://www.tennessean.com/story/opinion/2018/09/18/phil-bredesen-marsha-blackburn-winfield-dunn-chuck-schumer/1345347002/

That is the explanation for Bredesen’s break from the other Democrats yesterday, saying that if Ford did not appear Monday to testify, the Committee should proceed to vote on the nomination.

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KingSweden
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« Reply #16 on: September 20, 2018, 09:21:14 AM »

He's a one-termer, probably. We should just thank him for making it winnable this year.
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« Reply #17 on: September 20, 2018, 10:21:20 AM »

Sure, why not? It’s not difficult for a Democrat like him to win a Senate race in a deep red state, and he’d probably be favored unless it’s a R wave.

The better question is: If Bredesen wins this year, will it put an end to the "Doug Jones is DOA in 2020" predictions?


AL is way more Solidly GOP than TN
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: September 20, 2018, 10:42:47 AM »

Sure, why not? It’s not difficult for a Democrat like him to win a Senate race in a deep red state, and he’d probably be favored unless it’s a R wave.

The better question is: If Bredesen wins this year, will it put an end to the "Doug Jones is DOA in 2020" predictions?


AL is way more Solidly GOP than TN

It was only 2 points more Republican than TN in 2016, lol.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #19 on: September 20, 2018, 11:15:12 AM »

Sure, why not? It’s not difficult for a Democrat like him to win a Senate race in a deep red state, and he’d probably be favored unless it’s a R wave.

The better question is: If Bredesen wins this year, will it put an end to the "Doug Jones is DOA in 2020" predictions?

Elasticity remains a thing.

AL is way more Solidly GOP than TN

It was only 2 points more Republican than TN in 2016, lol.
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