TX Reuters/Ipsos: O'Rourke +2
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Author Topic: TX Reuters/Ipsos: O'Rourke +2  (Read 2183 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: September 19, 2018, 07:08:51 AM »
« edited: September 19, 2018, 07:11:59 AM by TheRocketRaccoon »
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-statepolls/tightening-texas-race-boosts-democrats-hopes-of-taking-senate-reuters-poll-idUSKCN1LZ18B

O'Rourke 47
Cruz 45
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2018, 07:12:07 AM »
Would feel better if Reuters didn't have Heller leading Rosen lol
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2018, 07:13:37 AM »
Yeah, clearly he’s going to do five points better than Jacky Rosen. Sure.
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2018, 07:13:50 AM »
Wow O'Rourke is finally leading a poll. I'm treating it with some healthy skepticism for now, but it's an important piece of data to throw in the averages for later. If we get a few more of these I think this race could reasonably be called a tossup.
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windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2018, 07:14:15 AM »
...
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2018, 07:15:20 AM »
Wasn’t he losing by 9?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2018, 07:16:53 AM »

Well, Ipsos isn't the most reliable pollster. Just look at their Nevada poll too.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2018, 07:24:59 AM »

Still I bet this will be circulated and be used to highlight the Senate race will be a tossup. 
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #8 on: September 19, 2018, 07:46:42 AM »
It's nice to look at, but that's about it.
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2018, 07:53:19 AM »
Color me VERY skeptical. Then again, whose to say that some people will get out off their fannies and others will simply say  "Darn! I now there was something I was supposed to today!" on election day? You never know.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #10 on: September 19, 2018, 08:11:30 AM »
Taken in conjunction with QPac suggests a 4-5 Cruz lead, which fits the general vibe of the race
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😥
andjey
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« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2018, 08:12:15 AM »
Quote from: McGovernForPrez on September 19, 2018, 07:13:50 AM
Wow O'Rourke is finally leading a poll. I'm treating it with some healthy skepticism for now, but it's an important piece of data to throw in the averages for later. If we get a few more of these I think this race could reasonably be called a tossup.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2018, 08:14:37 AM »
I'm skeptical, but I may consider this a Tossup if another poll comes showing O'Rourke leading.
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SPQR
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« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2018, 08:15:08 AM »
With Cruz at +4/5 you'll get a poll showing Cruz +9 and a poll showing Beto +2, nothing unusual...
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Brittain33
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« Reply #14 on: September 19, 2018, 08:20:58 AM »
What a week.

We're in terra incognita with Texas having a competitive Senate election for the first time since 2002 (and even that was wishful thinking by Dems) and with the party coalitions turned halfway upside down, so this much volatility in results makes sense. It wouldn't surprise me to see Cruz win by 9 OR lose by 2.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2018, 08:30:48 AM »
This poll also comes to show that whoever has the most money, usually wins.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #16 on: September 19, 2018, 08:34:19 AM »
Quote from: BaldEagle1991 on September 19, 2018, 08:30:48 AM
This poll also comes to show that whoever has the most money, usually wins.

Linda McMahon and George Allen say hi.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: September 19, 2018, 08:34:50 AM »
Great news😁
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Pollster
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« Reply #18 on: September 19, 2018, 08:35:45 AM »
Sampling period way too long. Unreliable data.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2018, 08:39:06 AM »
Pretty garbage methodology on these Reuters/Ipsos Senate polls; not surprising given what we see from their GCB polling. 
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #20 on: September 19, 2018, 08:45:41 AM »
The gold standard has spoken
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #21 on: September 19, 2018, 08:49:06 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on September 19, 2018, 08:11:30 AM
Taken in conjunction with QPac suggests a 4-5 Cruz lead, which fits the general vibe of the race
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: September 19, 2018, 09:09:55 AM »
Ethics have a lagging effect and the Kavanaugh ethics has caused even Cruz to be in a competitive race
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Beet
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« Reply #23 on: September 19, 2018, 09:21:24 AM »
Well O'Rouke isn't Wendy Davis in one sense: Davis never led in a single poll. That this is a likely voter poll is more good news for O'Rourke.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #24 on: September 19, 2018, 09:34:33 AM »
The ONLY poll that matters is the poll on November 6th.

If Beto wins, I'll believe it IF I see it
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