Incumbents you most want to see defeated
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  Incumbents you most want to see defeated
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Author Topic: Incumbents you most want to see defeated  (Read 1738 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: September 17, 2018, 06:24:34 PM »

Which current incumbents (up to 5) do you really, really want to lose, whether or not it's likely to happen?  My list:

1. Scott Walker
2. Dana Rohrabacher
3. Ted Cruz
4. Devin Nunes
5. Steve King
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2018, 07:05:02 PM »

Doing candidates in addition to incumbents.

House:
1. Steve King
2. Greg Gianforte
3. Rod Blum
4. Pete Sessions
5. Mimi Walters
6. Dana Rohrabacher
7. Don Young
8. Tim Walberg
9. Keith Rothfus
10. Donna Shalala

Governors:
1. Scott Walker
2. Ron DeSantis
3. Kevin Stitt
4. Kris Kobach
5. Brian Kemp

Senate:
1. Ted Cruz
2. Patrick Morrissey
3. Martha McSally
4. Matt Rosendale
5. Josh Hawley
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xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2018, 07:08:14 PM »

Only including ones that have a realistic chance of losing (i.e. not Steve King). In no particular order:

1. Ted Cruz
2. Scott Walker
3. Dana Rohrabacher
4. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (not likely, but possible)
5. Claudia Tenney
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2018, 07:09:36 PM »

These are strategic choices - I am assuming that any that I don't pick will have the same odds of losing as they currently have in reality.

I am not sure if that is really how you intended the question, but the candidates I would most like to lose have more to do with their office than them in particular. So, for example, I won't pick Bruce Rauner because he is going to lose anyway.

1) Greg Abbott (TX-GOV) - The veto would be huge for redistricting.
2) John Barrasso (WY-SEN) - Senate seat that Dems won't win otherwise.
3) Deb Fischer (NE-SEN) - Senate seat that Dems won't win otherwise.
4) Roger Wicker (MS-SEN) - Senate seat that Dems won't win otherwise.
5) Ted Cruz (TX-Sen) Senate seat that Dems won't winotherwise. I picked this rather than the other MS seat because the MS special election seat will be up again in 2020, so that would most likely only be a 2 year rental, whereas TX-SEN could be rented for 6 years.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2018, 07:12:01 PM »

Only including ones that have a realistic chance of losing (i.e. not Steve King). In no particular order:

1. Ted Cruz
2. Scott Walker
3. Dana Rohrabacher
4. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (not likely, but possible)
5. Claudia Tenney

Ted Cruz doesn't have a realistic chance of losing, lol. Joke list.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2018, 07:14:34 PM »

Devin Nunes

Scott Walker

Ted Cruz
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2018, 07:17:25 PM »

Only including ones that have a realistic chance of losing (i.e. not Steve King). In no particular order:

1. Ted Cruz
2. Scott Walker
3. Dana Rohrabacher
4. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (not likely, but possible)
5. Claudia Tenney

Ted Cruz doesn't have a realistic chance of losing, lol. Joke list.
He's up 3 f***ing points. Stop this stupid routine, you're like MT Treasurer with NH.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2018, 07:20:03 PM »

These are strategic choices - I am assuming that any that I don't pick will have the same odds of losing as they currently have in reality.

I am not sure if that is really how you intended the question, but the candidates I would most like to lose have more to do with their office than them in particular. So, for example, I won't pick Bruce Rauner because he is going to lose anyway.

1) Greg Abbott (TX-GOV) - The veto would be huge for redistricting.
2) John Barrasso (WY-SEN) - Senate seat that Dems won't win otherwise.
3) Deb Fischer (NE-SEN) - Senate seat that Dems won't win otherwise.
4) Roger Wicker (MS-SEN) - Senate seat that Dems won't win otherwise.
5) Ted Cruz (TX-Sen) Senate seat that Dems won't winotherwise. I picked this rather than the other MS seat because the MS special election seat will be up again in 2020, so that would most likely only be a 2 year rental, whereas TX-SEN could be rented for 6 years.

The intent was to see which incumbents people really, deep down in their hearts, wanted to see booted out, whether this was a sure thing, an impossibility, or anything in between.  But it's also interesting to see the different perspectives on the question.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #8 on: September 17, 2018, 07:42:31 PM »

He's up 3 f***ing points. Stop this stupid routine, you're like MT Treasurer with NH.

He is only up 3 in the polling averages if you take polls such as the Emerson poll that had Cruz up 39-38 seriously. 23% undecided? Seriously?

That is a reflection not of true support, but of the fact that the Dem base is comparatively fired up (and so is willing to say who they will vote for months before the election) and undecideds were not pushed.

We know that both Cruz and Beto will get at least 40% with room to spare, polls like that tell us nothing.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #9 on: September 17, 2018, 07:47:09 PM »

The intent was to see which incumbents people really, deep down in their hearts, wanted to see booted out, whether this was a sure thing, an impossibility, or anything in between.  But it's also interesting to see the different perspectives on the question.

OK, I'll make a non-strategic list as well then:

1) Devin Nunes
2) Dana Rohrabacher
3) Louie Gohmert
4) Steve King
5) Scott Walker
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2018, 08:07:28 PM »

People who I think have at least a very small shot of losing? Scott Walker, Steve King, Devin Nunes, Ted Cruz.

People who have no shot at losing? Jim Jordan, Mark Meadows, Matt Gaetz, Louie Gohmert, Paul Gosar, Andy Harris, Scott DesJarlais, Liz Cheney.
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Jalawest2
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2018, 08:09:12 PM »

He's up 3 f***ing points. Stop this stupid routine, you're like MT Treasurer with NH.

He is only up 3 in the polling averages if you take polls such as the Emerson poll that had Cruz up 39-38 seriously. 23% undecided? Seriously?

That is a reflection not of true support, but of the fact that the Dem base is comparatively fired up (and so is willing to say who they will vote for months before the election) and undecideds were not pushed.

We know that both Cruz and Beto will get at least 40% with room to spare, polls like that tell us nothing.
Recent polls
44-47
42-46
37-38
45-49
But it's definitely just one poll.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2018, 08:14:48 PM »



1) Greg Abbott (TX-GOV) - The veto would be huge for redistricting..
5) Ted Cruz (TX-Sen) Senate seat that Dems won't winotherwise. I picked this rather than the other MS seat because the MS special election seat will be up again in 2020, so that would most likely only be a 2 year rental, whereas TX-SEN could be rented for 6 years.


I wish both of these can be defeated, but only Cruz realistically can lose.

Greg Abbott is just as popular in Texas as Vladimir Putin is in Russia.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2018, 08:24:25 PM »

1. Steve King - actual Nazi
2. Ted Cruz - no explanation needed
3. Dana Rohrabacher - Russian stooge
4. Jason Lewis - although I barely knew who he was 2 months ago
5. Tom MacArthur - because of his health care town hall

That's really it. I guess I want to see Scott Walker lose, but to me he was just very efficient at being a certain ruthless kind of Republican, and I don't have the same feelings against that as I do for people who introduce gratuitous racism, nastiness, or incompetence. 
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« Reply #14 on: September 17, 2018, 10:15:19 PM »

Unlikely Losers for Ideological Reasons

1. Tim Kaine - Repulsive on every level. Hillary's sidekick.

2. Sheila Jackson-Lee. Just a terrible person all around.

3. Kyrsten Gillibrand - Panders to the worst elements of contemporary feminism. Invited Columbia Mattress girl to the State of the Union.

4. Eric Swalwell - Obnoxious deranged Russiagate shill

5. I was about to name Brian Schatz for Sarah Jeong support, but he's not up for re-election, so... Phil Scott because it would be advantageous to have someone like him lose to Christine Hallquist.

-

Lose for Strategic Reasons

1. Claire McCaskill

2. Joe Donnelly

3. Heidi Heitkamp

4. Bill Nelson

5. Jon Tester

(and more ideally - Sherrod Brown, Tammy Baldwin, Debbie Stabenow, Bob Casey)
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #15 on: September 17, 2018, 10:16:49 PM »

Skippy Scott.
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Joshua
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« Reply #16 on: September 17, 2018, 11:54:59 PM »

House - Mimi Walters
Senate - Dean Heller
Gov - Scott Walker
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2018, 12:17:21 AM »

Which current incumbents (up to 5) do you really, really want to lose, whether or not it's likely to happen?  My list:

1. Scott Walker
2. Dana Rohrabacher
3. Ted Cruz
4. Devin Nunes
5. Steve King

My too. Though my is not limited to 5
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Orser67
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« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2018, 01:10:56 AM »

1. Scott Walker
2. Dana Rohrabacher
3. Ted Cruz
4. Devin Nunes
5. Steve King

Yeah, that's pretty much it for me too. Aside from Walker, a lot of my least favorite governors are retiring this year, and there aren't many Senate Republicans who are up for election.

I'd also like to see Brian Fitzpatrick, Valadao, Curbelo, and Katko lose just because they seem like strong candidates for their district.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: September 18, 2018, 03:22:58 AM »

1. Heidi Heitkamp (If Cramer somehow wins this, I’ll have at least one reason to be cheerful on election night. The very definition of a fake moderate.)
2. Jon Tester (I wouldn’t mind having a progressive Senator from the state, but Tester's fake moderation/populism and his supporters are insufferable, and we don’t need more literal bullies with repulsive personalities in Congress. Too bad Montana doesn’t care.)
3. Claire McCaskill (Missouri absolutely deserves McCaskill, but America doesn’t.)

4. Joe Manchin (The fact that he keeps getting reelected tells you more about WV than it does about him, tbh.)
5. Joe Donnelly (Far from the worst Democrat, but nowhere near as moderate as he wants voters to believe.)

I’m not predicting that any of them will lose and certainly not getting my hopes up, though. And while people like Menendez, Cardin, Kaine or Gillibrand are fairly repulsive as well, at least they represent their states/party well.
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windjammer
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« Reply #20 on: September 18, 2018, 07:56:04 AM »

Ted Cruz.
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andjey
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« Reply #21 on: September 18, 2018, 09:02:19 AM »

House:
1. Steve King
2. Dana Rohrabacher
3. Rod Blum
4. Pete Sessions
5. Duncan Hunter

Governors:
1. Kris Kobach
2. Kevin Stitt
3. Scott Walker
4. Ron DeSantis
5. Brian Kemp

Senate:
1. Matt Rosendale
2. Patrick Morrissey
3. Ted Cruz
4. Bob Menendez
5. Rick Scott

Also, non-incumbent
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« Reply #22 on: September 18, 2018, 09:10:03 AM »

Above all Lyin Ted Cruz. It would be a unbelievable Blessing if he gets knocked out of Congress and never ever comes back for any Political Office. Horrible Senator.
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Ohioguy29
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« Reply #23 on: September 18, 2018, 02:35:49 PM »
« Edited: September 18, 2018, 02:53:10 PM by Ohioguy29 »

1. Steve King
2. Jim Jordan
3. Ted Cruz
4. Greg Gianforte
5. Scott Walker

Some of the incumbents I want to see defeated most are in the state legislature and the judiciary. I'll list the state leg. people below:

1. Bill Seitz
2. Niraj Antani
3. John Becker
4. Candice Keller
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #24 on: September 19, 2018, 07:36:15 PM »

House: Duncan Hunter, Dana Rohrabacher, Devin Nunes, Steve King, Louie Gohmert, Jim Jordan, Jason Lewis, Chris Collins, John Faso, Tom MacArthur, Bruce Poliquin, Don Bacon, Cathy McMorris Rodgers, Jaime Herrera-Beutler, Greg Gianforte.

Senate: Ted Cruz, Dean Heller.

Governor: Scott Walker, Chris Sununu, Larry Hogan, Doug Ducey, Greg Abbott, Kim Reynolds, Pete Ricketts, Bruce Rauner.
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