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November 28, 2020, 03:50:38 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TN-SSRS: Bredesen +5
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Author Topic: TN-SSRS: Bredesen +5  (Read 2199 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: September 17, 2018, 11:09:38 AM »

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/09/17/politics/cnn-polls-arizona-tennessee-senate/index.html

Bredi 50
Marsha B 45
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2018, 11:10:42 AM »

This race is a pure tossup, perhaps with a slight tilt towards Bredesen.
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2018, 11:11:31 AM »

538 rating: A- with a slight R bias
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2018, 11:12:07 AM »

Ahhhhhhhhhhh
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2018, 11:15:26 AM »

Yeet!
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2018, 11:15:53 AM »

Put it right in my veins
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2018, 11:16:04 AM »

Likely R -> Titanium D

In all seriousness, I hope people will drop the Bayh comparisons. If Bredesen were to tank to a double digit loss, I don't think we'd be seeing anything better for him than a 5-6 point deficit in the polls by now, since he's had plenty of time to lose popularity and be seen as a generic D. My gut still says Blackburn pulls out a narrow win, but no one should be calling this race a forgone conclusion right now.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2018, 11:16:38 AM »

I sincerely hope that Bredesen is able to keep this lead. I'm not very optimistic, but I'm feeling better about this race than I was earlier this summer.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #8 on: September 17, 2018, 11:17:03 AM »

This is really big not just because he has a decent lead, but because he is actually at 50. Bredesen may indeed actually be able to win this after all if that is about right, which would be a pretty amazing political feat.
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Ses
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« Reply #9 on: September 17, 2018, 11:17:38 AM »

YES! Come on Bredesen, hang in there!
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2018, 11:18:07 AM »

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2018, 11:21:07 AM »

YES! Not only is he ahead again, by 5 points no less, but he's at 50. Not saying Democrats should take this race for granted, but it's very encouraging to see that he's once more in the lead. Hopefully he leads in the only poll that matters, the actual vote count.
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2018, 11:23:06 AM »

TN is more likely to go Dem than FL

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We Made PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2018, 11:23:49 AM »

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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #14 on: September 17, 2018, 11:23:55 AM »


no
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Mondale
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« Reply #15 on: September 17, 2018, 11:26:24 AM »


Rotflmao

Scott is finished bruh
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Zaybay
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« Reply #16 on: September 17, 2018, 11:27:18 AM »


High Quality analysis here

/s
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President Biden
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« Reply #17 on: September 17, 2018, 11:39:15 AM »

I think it's fair to call this Tilt D. "But IceSpear told me Bredesen would collapse over time like Bayh!"
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Arch
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« Reply #18 on: September 17, 2018, 11:42:21 AM »

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Has a few screws loose
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #19 on: September 17, 2018, 11:43:56 AM »

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libertpaulian
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« Reply #20 on: September 17, 2018, 11:46:38 AM »

Tossup, closer to Tilt D than Pure Tossup.
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We Made PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #21 on: September 17, 2018, 11:47:31 AM »

The race is Bredesen +8 with RV

The GOP's strategy in this state was to try and dent Bredesen's favorables. That appears to be backfiring-

Bredesen 55/26% +29
Blackburn 45/43% +2
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #22 on: September 17, 2018, 11:52:13 AM »

Bredesen, Sinema, Manchin all doing better than Tester? Blasphemy.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #23 on: September 17, 2018, 11:58:12 AM »

Great news
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Skye
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« Reply #24 on: September 17, 2018, 12:03:08 PM »

Likely R -> Titanium D

In all seriousness, I hope people will drop the Bayh comparisons. If Bredesen were to tank to a double digit loss, I don't think we'd be seeing anything better for him than a 5-6 point deficit in the polls by now, since he's had plenty of time to lose popularity and be seen as a generic D. My gut still says Blackburn pulls out a narrow win, but no one should be calling this race a forgone conclusion right now.

Yeah, even if Bredesen ends up losing, he's probably not going to lose as badly as Bayh.
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