Sen Menendez D NJ in tough fight for reelection
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  Sen Menendez D NJ in tough fight for reelection
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Author Topic: Sen Menendez D NJ in tough fight for reelection  (Read 927 times)
jman123
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« on: September 17, 2018, 10:12:23 AM »

https://www.politico.com/states/new-jersey/story/2018/09/16/bob-menendezs-political-fight-for-survival-609491

Is Menendez in danger of losing?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2018, 10:15:27 AM »

I don’t think he loses, but it’ll be closer than it would be otherwise
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politicallefty
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« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2018, 10:17:36 AM »

No, it's NJ in a Democratic year. Right now, it looks like Republicans may only end up with a single Congressman from NJ.

I can't stand Menendez, but I'd still hold my nose to make sure we get a Democratic Senate. And I'd really have to hold it tight too.
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Doimper
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2018, 10:36:34 AM »

Is the DSCC really dropping money here? Ugh.
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AMB1996
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2018, 10:37:47 AM »

I'll believe it when we get a post-Labor Day poll that says so.

And even then, I think it's more likely Menendez is forced to dropped out than that Hugin is actually the next Senator from New Jersey.
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Blair
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2018, 11:36:08 AM »

I still for the life of me can’t understand how Menendez didn’t face a serious primary- he’s by far the worst parody of a senator
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2018, 11:49:57 AM »

Menendez will win no matter what he does, lol. Safe D.
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2018, 12:01:42 PM »

It would have been a though fight in 2014, not this year. Fool's gold.
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Politician
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« Reply #8 on: September 17, 2018, 12:05:50 PM »

This is Likely D, the GOP ain't winning a Senate race in a blue state with Trump in the White House.

In a Clinton midterm, with Tom Kean as the Republican nominee? This would be one of the main battlegrounds of the Senate.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #9 on: September 17, 2018, 12:08:50 PM »

Menendez wins by 10 points. If not, maybe by 6.

But he is not losing in a Trump midterm.

Menendez should keep a low profile in the Senate and retire in 2024.
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AMB1996
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« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2018, 01:34:39 PM »

I still for the life of me can’t understand how Menendez didn’t face a serious primary- he’s by far the worst parody of a senator

New Jersey might be the most difficult state to primary an incumbent in, thanks to the county-party system and its on-ballot endorsements.

Menendez will win no matter what he does, lol. Safe D.

Seems unlikely if he drops out (or dies).
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jman123
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2018, 02:50:17 PM »

I still for the life of me can’t understand how Menendez didn’t face a serious primary- he’s by far the worst parody of a senator

New Jersey might be the most difficult state to primary an incumbent in, thanks to the county-party system and its on-ballot endorsements.

Menendez will win no matter what he does, lol. Safe D.

Seems unlikely if he drops out (or dies).

What is it about the county party system that makes it difficult to primary someone? Lisa McCormick  primaried Menendez and got close to 40 percent
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AMB1996
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« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2018, 04:07:04 PM »

I still for the life of me can’t understand how Menendez didn’t face a serious primary- he’s by far the worst parody of a senator

New Jersey might be the most difficult state to primary an incumbent in, thanks to the county-party system and its on-ballot endorsements.

Menendez will win no matter what he does, lol. Safe D.

Seems unlikely if he drops out (or dies).

What is it about the county party system that makes it difficult to primary someone? Lisa McCormick  primaried Menendez and got close to 40 percent

The county parties endorse candidates and those candidates get first billing on the ballot. Check out the House races – literally every candidate whose endorsements accounted for a majority of their district's votes won. In fact, I think only one or two portions of counties even voted for non-endorsed candidates.

It matters less in races with high name ID, but McCormick probably could've gotten the race down to low double digits at worst if Menendez didn't have "Democratic Party Organization" next to his name on every ballot.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2018, 06:28:12 PM »

I will literally laugh out loud if the reason Democrats don't take the Senate is solely because this crooked stooge gets kicked to the kerb. What an indictment of the democratic party that this little rat wasn't ousted in the primary.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: September 19, 2018, 07:48:48 PM »

Menendez will be fine. Though he is sleepwalking through the campaign. I haven't seen a single ad, sign, or anything from his campaign.
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Roblox
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« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2018, 07:56:23 PM »

There will be some polls showing a "tight race" or whatever, but undecideds will break for Menendez he'll win 53-44 or something along those lines.
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