Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal

[ajc0918]

First twitter turnout report from VA:

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/s

[ajc0918]

Day 1 early Voting in Broward County - 16,202 voters. Day 1 in 2014,  6,459 voters.

https://www.browardsoe.org/Portals/Broward/Images/EVGeneral2018Day.pdf


https://www.browardsoe.org/Portals/Broward/Documents/ElectionInformation/2014_General_Election_E205__Early_Voting_Totals.pdf

Pinellas County saw 2,707 early voters compared to 984 on Day 1 of 2014.

[ajc0918]

African American voters are 13.3% of active voters in Florida but are 15.5% if the in-person early voting so far. Good news for Gillum.

[ajc0918]

Democrats are starting to push for folks with absentee ballots to get theirs in:

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1055529074355916800

I'm use to seeing huge FL numbers. Is a lead of 3500 good?

[ajc0918]

You folks realize that the incumbent governor only won by a point in 2014, right?

Every recent election has been close in Florida. Obama who had a superior GOTV campaign won by 2.81% in 2008 and by only .88% in 2012.

Scott won governor in 2010 by 1.2% and in 2014 by 1%. This is a very close state. What people don't understand is that a lot of the population growth here has actually been white and conservative because of retirees and the suburban housing boom. And that they are reliable voters for the GOP who turn out.

 It seems that many people feel confident that Democrats will win with independants, great. But Democrats should do a better job of turning out their base and groups that will be reliable Democratic voters, instead of hoping they convince swing voters.

That is what Dems are doing. Look at the democratic margins in the big counties compared to 2014. Read as 2014 / 2018 (2014 D-R margin / 2018 D-R margin)

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Source: http://steveschale.com/

[ajc0918]

Democrats won early vote yesterday in Florida, took almost a half a point off the Republican lead:

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/1058335787807326208

With the big, blue counties continuing early vote over the weekend, this gap may get under a point...impressive in a midterm

Everyone is open on Saturday, but Sunday is optional.

I'm going to guess Dems win the weekend by 30k and bring the margin to GOP+25k

[ajc0918]

Ralston reports DEM lead in Nevada was 100 votes short of 38,000 going into today.

[ajc0918]

I read on twitter, some polling stations in parts of Florida panhandle are open today, is that true ?

Untrue. Early voting is over.

You're wrong. They extended early voting in certain Panhandle counties due to the hurricane and the delay in being able to send in absentee ballots.

http://floridapolitics.com/archives/280094-six-storm-struck-counties