IN-Sen (FOX): Braun+2

[Politician]

Hofoid's autistic screeching is pretty hilarious.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Hofoid's autistic screeching is pretty hilarious.

It’s not. He is on the verge of replacing Limo as the worst concern troll

[Skye]

Still a tossup, I see.

[IceSpear]

FOX, can't you space out your polls a bit and maybe not release 50 senate polls in a single day?

Personally, I'm loving the chaos of it all.

[wbrocks67]

The RV result (Donnelly +1) is not wildly off of Marist (Donnelly +6). LV screen helps out Braun, interestingly, despite the fact that Donnelly has a better % on "extremely interested to vote" and Trump's approval is not very good (52/46) for a state he won by 20 points.

This is the only poll in the last few months to have Braun up, and in RV he's not even up. So this is pretty clearly still Tossup/Tilt D.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

And Donnelly +1 with RV.


But yes, FOX is a usually good pollster.

Yes. I think that FOX is not biaised like many people could think. After all, Chris Wallace, the host of Fox News, is a Democrat.

So Braun’s lead is accurate.

Fox is actually a very good pollster, and their polling is independent of their news. The last Fox news GCB poll had Democrats up by 11, so it is hardly as though Fox has not had good results for Dems recently.

[Antonio the Sixth]

So what we've learned with all these polls today is that there are 6 pure tossups that could go either way.

This is gonna be a stressful 2 months.

[junior chįmp]

Donelley needs to get back in that RV pronto

[Pollster]

I find it hard to believe that in the current political climate the Republican is leading among women in a highly competitive race.

[Progressive Pessimist]

A tossup remains a tossup.

[Zaybay]

Those who are taking this one poll and declaring Joe dead forget his average is positive because of another poll done by an equal company. Overall, tossup, but Joe has a slight edge. Its bad for Braun to see him with such a small lead before the undecided swing.

[MT Treasurer]

Likely D  -> Lean R

[Antonio the Sixth]

A tossup remains a tossup.

[2016]

Those who are taking this one poll and declaring Joe dead forget his average is positive because of another poll done by an equal company. Overall, tossup, but Joe has a slight edge. Its bad for Braun to see him with such a small lead before the undecided swing.

This isn't just one Poll. Marist was big garbarge on their Poll showing Donnelly up 6 I think. Indiana is Lean R the entire Campaign. This is Mike Pence's home State after. Bayh had a similar lead (maybe even bigger) and still lost the Race.

If IN flips to Red early on in Election Night 2018 you can say sayonara to the D Chances winning the Senate.

[Zaybay]

Those who are taking this one poll and declaring Joe dead forget his average is positive because of another poll done by an equal company. Overall, tossup, but Joe has a slight edge. Its bad for Braun to see him with such a small lead before the undecided swing.

This isn't just one Poll. Marist was big garbarge on their Poll showing Donnelly up 6 I think. Indiana is Lean R the entire Campaign. This is Mike Pence's home State after. Bayh had a similar lead (maybe even bigger) and still lost the Race.

If IN flips to Red early on in Election Night 2018 you can say sayonara to the D Chances winning the Senate.

You cant just dismiss a poll you dont like, especially one that is rather good at its job. The average favours Joe still.

Also, fun fact, Pence was one of the most unpopular governors of IN, and he was actually likely to lose the state. Him being chosen as VP saved him.

[2016]

Those who are taking this one poll and declaring Joe dead forget his average is positive because of another poll done by an equal company. Overall, tossup, but Joe has a slight edge. Its bad for Braun to see him with such a small lead before the undecided swing.

This isn't just one Poll. Marist was big garbarge on their Poll showing Donnelly up 6 I think. Indiana is Lean R the entire Campaign. This is Mike Pence's home State after. Bayh had a similar lead (maybe even bigger) and still lost the Race.

If IN flips to Red early on in Election Night 2018 you can say sayonara to the D Chances winning the Senate.

You cant just dismiss a poll you dont like, especially one that is rather good at its job. The average favours Joe still.

Also, fun fact, Pence was one of the most unpopular governors of IN, and he was actually likely to lose the state. Him being chosen as VP saved him.

Well, if Pence was that unpopular Young & Holcomb wouldn't have won their Races in 2016. Pence helped a great deal securing those two Races among others when he embarked on that "Please come Home Tour" trying to convince GOP Voters to come home to the Republican Ticket. Before that IN was Dead Even on the Presidential Level, the Governor Race was about even and Bayh was up anywhere between 5-8 Points.

Indiana is a Republican State and Donnelly is an accidential Senator.

[Skye]

Those who are taking this one poll and declaring Joe dead forget his average is positive because of another poll done by an equal company. Overall, tossup, but Joe has a slight edge. Its bad for Braun to see him with such a small lead before the undecided swing.

This isn't just one Poll. Marist was big garbarge on their Poll showing Donnelly up 6 I think. Indiana is Lean R the entire Campaign. This is Mike Pence's home State after. Bayh had a similar lead (maybe even bigger) and still lost the Race.

If IN flips to Red early on in Election Night 2018 you can say sayonara to the D Chances winning the Senate.

You cant just dismiss a poll you dont like, especially one that is rather good at its job. The average favours Joe still.

Also, fun fact, Pence was one of the most unpopular governors of IN, and he was actually likely to lose the state. Him being chosen as VP saved him.

Pence likely to lose? The race was shaping up to be competitive, but he certainly wasn't the underdog. In fact, Holcomb was actually polling far worse and he ended up winning by a larger margin than expected.

That said, I don't think it's fair to compare Bayh's absolutely disastrous campaign to this.

[Zaybay]

Those who are taking this one poll and declaring Joe dead forget his average is positive because of another poll done by an equal company. Overall, tossup, but Joe has a slight edge. Its bad for Braun to see him with such a small lead before the undecided swing.

This isn't just one Poll. Marist was big garbarge on their Poll showing Donnelly up 6 I think. Indiana is Lean R the entire Campaign. This is Mike Pence's home State after. Bayh had a similar lead (maybe even bigger) and still lost the Race.

If IN flips to Red early on in Election Night 2018 you can say sayonara to the D Chances winning the Senate.

You cant just dismiss a poll you dont like, especially one that is rather good at its job. The average favours Joe still.

Also, fun fact, Pence was one of the most unpopular governors of IN, and he was actually likely to lose the state. Him being chosen as VP saved him.

Pence likely to lose? The race was shaping up to be competitive, but he certainly wasn't the underdog. In fact, Holcomb was actually polling far worse and he ended up winning by a larger margin than expected.

That said, I don't think it's fair to compare Bayh's absolutely disastrous campaign to this.

True, but it would have certainly been a tossup, but Trump would have probably carried him.

[Ljube]

Before anyone goes "lol FOX," they're fairly ok with polling. But I'm still skeptical of this race having such a wide range of results. Something's going on.

yeah, this is definitely a tossup, with a slight d tilt due to incumbency

No, this is most certainly not a tossup.
The race is likely R based on the state fundamentals.

Indiana polls are unreliable.

[libertpaulian]

Before anyone goes "lol FOX," they're fairly ok with polling. But I'm still skeptical of this race having such a wide range of results. Something's going on.

yeah, this is definitely a tossup, with a slight d tilt due to incumbency

No, this is most certainly not a tossup.
The race is likely R based on the state fundamentals.

Indiana polls are unreliable.

And what "fundamentals" are those?  Do you even live here?