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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  IN-Sen (FOX): Braun+2
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Author Topic: IN-Sen (FOX): Braun+2  (Read 2297 times)
Ebsy
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« on: September 12, 2018, 05:37:30 pm »
« edited: September 12, 2018, 05:45:47 pm by Ebsy »

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/09/12/fox-news-poll-republican-ahead-incumbent-democrat-in-indiana-senate-race.html

LV
Braun (GOP): 45
Donnely (Dem): 43
Brenton: 3
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Free Bird
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2018, 05:38:22 pm »

Before anyone goes "lol FOX," they're fairly ok with polling. But I'm still skeptical of this race having such a wide range of results. Something's going on.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2018, 05:38:54 pm »

And Donnelly +1 with RV.


But yes, FOX is a usually good pollster.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2018, 05:39:29 pm »

Before anyone goes "lol FOX," they're fairly ok with polling. But I'm still skeptical of this race having such a wide range of results. Something's going on.
yeah, this is definitely a tossup, with a slight d tilt due to incumbency
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2018, 05:40:16 pm »

Tossup with a slight Donnelly advantage.  The fact that Braun can't pull past the MOE post-Labor Day says a lot...
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2018, 05:41:10 pm »

FOX, can't you space out your polls a bit and maybe not release 50 senate polls in a single day?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2018, 05:42:11 pm »

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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2018, 05:42:27 pm »

It is strange to see the range of polling outcomes. Toss-Up, as it has always been, though I'll hope that we get a few more Indiana polls, so that we can have a better idea as to whether a slight Braun lead or a decent Donnelly lead is closer to the truth.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2018, 05:44:11 pm »

Told you guys Donnelly is as good as gone. Frightened GOPers are coming home just like in the last weeks of '06.

I would not go that far, thatís jumping way too far lmao, but yes, I can see Braun with the edge now.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2018, 05:44:33 pm »

Before anyone goes "lol FOX," they're fairly ok with polling. But I'm still skeptical of this race having such a wide range of results. Something's going on.
yeah, this is definitely a tossup, with a slight d tilt due to incumbency

I don't know how much incumbency here means considering how accidental Donnelly's Senate career is. Like I feel like his 2012 is comparable to Obama's own 2008 Indiana victory.
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hofoid
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« Reply #10 on: September 12, 2018, 05:44:59 pm »

Told you guys Donnelly is as good as gone. Frightened GOPers are coming home just like in the last weeks of '06.

I would not go that far, thatís jumping way too far lmao, but yes, I can see Braun with the edge now.
I've been saying that for weeks long before this poll, but no one would back me up or believe me.
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #11 on: September 12, 2018, 05:48:16 pm »

Worrisome.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #12 on: September 12, 2018, 05:48:25 pm »

Told you guys Donnelly is as good as gone. Frightened GOPers are coming home just like in the last weeks of '06.
Lugar didn't even have any significant opposition in '06.

And '06 is a pretty bad comparison given that Dems defied the pundits' odds and captured the Senate.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: September 12, 2018, 05:49:14 pm »

Told you guys Donnelly is as good as gone. Frightened GOPers are coming home just like in the last weeks of '06.

I would not go that far, thatís jumping way too far lmao, but yes, I can see Braun with the edge now.
I've been saying that for weeks long before this poll, but no one would back me up or believe me.

Look Braun may win (I think he even has the edge now) but calling it confidently safe d or safe r is stupid. This is a close battleground tossup race.
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UWS
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« Reply #14 on: September 12, 2018, 05:49:34 pm »

And Donnelly +1 with RV.


But yes, FOX is a usually good pollster.

Yes. I think that FOX is not biaised like many people could think. After all, Chris Wallace, the host of Fox News, is a Democrat.

So Braunís lead is accurate.
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #15 on: September 12, 2018, 05:50:40 pm »

Donnelly will win reelection.
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hofoid
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« Reply #16 on: September 12, 2018, 05:50:48 pm »
« Edited: September 13, 2018, 09:24:01 am by Brittain33 »

Told you guys Donnelly is as good as gone. Frightened GOPers are coming home just like in the last weeks of '06.

I would not go that far, thatís jumping way too far lmao, but yes, I can see Braun with the edge now.
I've been saying that for weeks long before this poll, but no one would back me up or believe me.

Look Braun may win (I think he even has the edge now) but calling it confidently safe d or safe r is stupid. This is a close battleground tossup race.
Nah, Braun defeated two lunatics by being less crazed as those two. He looks moderate to people in Indiana, which is why the natural lean of the state is defying the wave.
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#Klobmentum
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« Reply #17 on: September 12, 2018, 05:53:03 pm »

And Donnelly +1 with RV.


But yes, FOX is a usually good pollster.

Yes. I think that FOX is not biaised like many people could think. After all, Chris Wallace, the host of Fox News, is a Democrat.

So Braunís lead is accurate.

We've gotten two reputable polls for Indiana. Marist's Donnelly +6 and this Fox poll's Braun +2.
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hofoid
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« Reply #18 on: September 12, 2018, 05:54:31 pm »

And Donnelly +1 with RV.


But yes, FOX is a usually good pollster.

Yes. I think that FOX is not biaised like many people could think. After all, Chris Wallace, the host of Fox News, is a Democrat.

So Braunís lead is accurate.

We've gotten two reputable polls for Indiana. Marist's Donnelly +6 and this Fox poll's Braun +2.
Yeah, but this is reminding me of Bayh's collapse in the home stretch.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #19 on: September 12, 2018, 05:55:30 pm »

Told you guys Donnelly is as good as gone. Frightened GOPers are coming home just like in the last weeks of '06.

I would not go that far, thatís jumping way too far lmao, but yes, I can see Braun with the edge now.
I've been saying that for weeks long before this poll, but no one would back me up or believe me.

Look Braun may win (I think he even has the edge now) but calling it confidently safe d or safe r is stupid. This is a close battleground tossup race.
Nah, Braun defeated two lunatics by being less crazed as those two. He looks moderate to people in Indiana, which is why the natural lean of the state is defying the so-called wave.

How would even be defying a wave even *if* Braun won by 3-5 points? That is a vast underperformance for the GOP in such a state.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #20 on: September 12, 2018, 05:56:45 pm »

A tossup remains a tossup.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #21 on: September 12, 2018, 05:58:16 pm »

Don't feed the concern troll, guys. There's a reason he strangely had nothing to say about the MO/AZ polls (though he'd probably still try to argue that Sinema/McCaskill are underdogs at best, thanks to the Democrats becoming an anti-WWC rural hate group, or something like that.)
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #22 on: September 12, 2018, 05:59:11 pm »

Don't feed the concern troll, guys. There's a reason he strangely had nothing to say about the MO/AZ polls (though he'd probably still try to argue that Sinema/McCaskill are underdogs at best, thanks to the Democrats becoming an anti-WWC rural hate group, or something like that.)

Concern trolls pretend to be on the side of those they are trolling, Hofoid is a Trumpist so that does not work.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #23 on: September 12, 2018, 05:59:42 pm »

Told you guys Donnelly is as good as gone. Frightened GOPers are coming home just like in the last weeks of '06.

There were no frightened GOPers coming home in 2006. Republican lost the House and Senate. In Indiana alone they lost three House seats.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #24 on: September 12, 2018, 06:03:05 pm »

Bizarre result vs the other fox results
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