North Dakota AARP poll of those 50 and over: Cramer 46 and Heitkamp 43

[Antonio the Sixth]

That seems like good news.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Does anyone know if there's an age group breakdown for ND for 2016 or any previous years anywhere?

I looked for exit polls for the Dakotas in recent elections. There are none. Though IIRC, Prop 6 in South Dakota flopped amongst the younger voters and was neck and neck with older ones. This was in 2006.

Getting old now, but 2008 exit poll: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#val=NDP00p1

18-29: Obama +4
30-44: McCain +16
45-64: McCain +13
65+: Too low to sample

18-24: Obama +12
24-29: Too low to sample
30-39: McCain +16
40-49: McCain +20
50-64: McCain +9
65+: Too low to sample

White 18-29: TIE
White 30-44: McCain +19
White 45-64: McCain +14

McCain won ND by 9.

Well, this was 10 years ago, so today's over 50s were most likely in the 40-65 range at the time. So that looks like a strongly Republican demographic.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Yeah, I'm really not sure what to make of this. It could plausibly be interpreted as good news for either candidate. Single demographic polls suck anyway.

I actually disagree. I'd much rather look at a poll with a decent sample size that's focused on one demographic than go through the crosstabs of regular polls like Atlas loves to do, where the subsamples are so small as to become meaningless.