IN SEN (NBC/Marist): Donnelly+6

[jamestroll]

This is NBC/Marist, so I’m going to guess Donnelly +8.

Almost.

So much for Donnelly being much more vulnerable than McCaskill, though.

Both Donnelly and McCaskill have been under estimated before. At the end I think both finish fairly closely.

And IceSpear yes I do believe Donnelly could win over 60% in Hamilton County.

[jamestroll]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1037717003660943360

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1037718280507727873?s=19

I’ve never understood why people were so convinced that Donnelly is more vulnerable than McCaskill.

I never understand why people had both Donnelly and McCaskill going down by larger margins than Blanche Lincoln did.

[jamestroll]

I am the only one who has ever always had MO-Sen 2018 as a toss up. Right now a majority of predictions, by a laughably wide margin, have McCaskill wining.

I only have FL and MO shifting from D to R right now.