IN SEN (NBC/Marist): Donnelly+6
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  IN SEN (NBC/Marist): Donnelly+6
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Author Topic: IN SEN (NBC/Marist): Donnelly+6  (Read 15402 times)
Ebsy
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« on: September 05, 2018, 04:00:38 PM »
« edited: September 05, 2018, 04:20:58 PM by Ebsy »

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-marist-poll-democrat-joe-donnelly-has-slight-edge-indiana-n906851

LV
Donnelly (Dem): 49
Braun (GOP): 43

Trump
Favorable: 48
Unfavorable: 46
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2018, 04:01:16 PM »

Senate gonna flip y'all
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No War, but the War on Christmas
iBizzBee
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« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2018, 04:02:09 PM »



No but seriously though, great poll.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2018, 04:03:09 PM »

OH SH**! Looks like we only have one seat to really worry about boys!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #4 on: September 05, 2018, 04:03:17 PM »

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2018, 04:03:37 PM »

This is NBC/Marist, so Iím going to guess Donnelly +8.

Almost.

So much for Donnelly being much more vulnerable than McCaskill, though.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: September 05, 2018, 04:06:52 PM »

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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #7 on: September 05, 2018, 04:07:04 PM »

Yay!

An IN poll (something of a rarity).

And one showing a result that I definitely like.

It (somewhat) confirms that other somewhat junky seeming Trafalgar IN poll we had a while back which showed Donnell up by 12. At the time there was some doubt as to whether Donnelly was really ahead, much less by anything close to 12.

But this means that while Donnelly is probably not up by 12 (which was never likely), it is fairly likely that Donnelly is indeed reasonably well ahead.

Other than maybe an ND poll showing Heitkamp with a healthy lead, this is about the best Senate poll Dems could hope to see at the moment.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #8 on: September 05, 2018, 04:07:41 PM »

People are really underestimating Democrats chance at flipping the senate.
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Florida Man for Crime
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« Reply #9 on: September 05, 2018, 04:08:30 PM »

OH SH**! Looks like we only have one seat to really worry about boys!

I'd say in addition to ND, MO still deserves some worry. FL I suspect will be carried over to Nelson, but isn't exactly safe Dem...
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #10 on: September 05, 2018, 04:08:47 PM »

NUT

Dems need one of ND/TN/TX. I think we can do it.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: September 05, 2018, 04:09:37 PM »

I guess driving through potholes while awkwardly talking about how much you love Trump was a decent strategy after all, lol.

Still a toss up though. There's a long way to go, and it's still Indiana.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #12 on: September 05, 2018, 04:10:10 PM »

YAAAASSSSSS KWEEEEN

GO JOE GO!

Donnelly's been underestimated before.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: September 05, 2018, 04:11:40 PM »


Don't show RINO Tom those white college grad numbers or those suburban numbers.

That burbstomping number looks really unbelievable. Would Donnelly be winning Hamilton County with that margin?
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Rhenna
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« Reply #14 on: September 05, 2018, 04:12:09 PM »

Still keeping an eye on this race. I would say Tilt D but closer to Lean than Toss up now.
If we can lock up IN, I think our chances of taking the Senate exponentially increase. Hawley, Cramer, and Scott are really the only immediate threats to a Democratic Senate majority right now.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #15 on: September 05, 2018, 04:12:47 PM »

People are really underestimating Democrats chance at flipping the senate.

The only tossups this year are TN, TX, and ND

The rest....at least under this environment...are a foregone conclusion.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #16 on: September 05, 2018, 04:13:55 PM »

This is NBC/Marist, so Iím going to guess Donnelly +8.

Almost.

So much for Donnelly being much more vulnerable than McCaskill, though.

Both Donnelly and McCaskill have been under estimated before. At the end I think both finish fairly closely.

And IceSpear yes I do believe Donnelly could win over 60% in Hamilton County.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #17 on: September 05, 2018, 04:14:46 PM »

People are really underestimating Democrats chance at flipping the senate.

The only tossups this year are TN, TX, and ND

The rest....at least under this environment...are a foregone conclusion.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: September 05, 2018, 04:16:56 PM »

IN, MO and FL definitely arenít safe D, lol. ND is probably the best pick-up opportunity for the GOP at this point, though.
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adrac
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« Reply #19 on: September 05, 2018, 04:17:44 PM »

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Politician
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« Reply #20 on: September 05, 2018, 04:18:04 PM »

Donnelly's been doing very well recently, Tossup->Tilt D.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #21 on: September 05, 2018, 04:18:23 PM »

People are really underestimating Democrats chance at flipping the senate.

The only tossups this year are TN, TX, and ND

The rest....at least under this environment...are a foregone conclusion.

TN, TX are lean R IMO. ND is lean D.

FL and MO are the only true toss ups.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: September 05, 2018, 04:18:54 PM »

This is NBC/Marist, so Iím going to guess Donnelly +8.

Almost.

So much for Donnelly being much more vulnerable than McCaskill, though.

Both Donnelly and McCaskill have been under estimated before. At the end I think both finish fairly closely.

And IceSpear yes I do believe Donnelly could win over 60% in Hamilton County.

But several posters told me that Perfect Fit For The Suburbsô Hillary Clinton already hit the Democratic ceiling in the suburbs, and that Trump (or ESPECIALLY a "normal" Republican) would do far better there even though basically every Republican candidate since 2016 has done worse than him in the suburbs, and sometimes significantly worse!
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Politician
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« Reply #23 on: September 05, 2018, 04:21:23 PM »

This is NBC/Marist, so Iím going to guess Donnelly +8.

Almost.

So much for Donnelly being much more vulnerable than McCaskill, though.

Both Donnelly and McCaskill have been under estimated before. At the end I think both finish fairly closely.

And IceSpear yes I do believe Donnelly could win over 60% in Hamilton County.

But several posters told me that Perfect Fit For The Suburbsô Hillary Clinton already hit the Democratic ceiling in the suburbs, and that Trump (or ESPECIALLY a "normal" Republican) would do far better there even though basically every Republican candidate since 2016 has done worse than him in the suburbs, and sometimes significantly worse!
Democrats have been over performing far more in rural areas than in suburbs.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #24 on: September 05, 2018, 04:22:23 PM »

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