...wow. If you're a Braun supporter, these numbers are bad. Like...really bad.
If you compare those numbers to 2016...
Trump won rural voters 65%-30%, compared to this poll, which shows Braun winning that group by a mere 52-38%.
Trump won non-college whites 69%-26%, compared to Braun's 47%-42%.
Trump won white evangelicals 75%-22%, compared to 61%-32% for Braun.
Trump won the Indy suburbs 63-31%, compared to Braun's 54-40%.
Of course, we still have two months, which is like two years in politics. Anything can happen. However, these are horrifying numbers for a Republican in Indiana to start off with going into the post-Labor Day marathon (it's no longer a sprint)!
If Election Day was tomorrow, I'd bank all of my assets on a Donnelly victory.
A place like Hamilton County may be in the single digits for Braun.
Yeah, I think there is a decent chance that Braun in the suburbs turns out to be what we thought vs what happened for Gillespie in NOVA in 2017, myself included as well.
Maybe Pence could help out though, I guess we will see.
Pence could've lost Hamilton County if he ran for Governor in 2016. He wasn't going to win the state at all. This myth that Pence was a popular figure in Indiana who can save the INGOP needs to go away, especially in the suburbs, where he was most unpopular in comparison to a generic Indiana Republican (ala Eric Holcomb or Mitch Daniels)
