Closest gubernatorial races by percentage?

[SnowLabrador]

I think Florida. Because it's Florida.

[President Johnson]

I think Nevada will be closer. 49-48% or so. But I'm not sure who gets elected there, could go either way. Gillum will win Florida; I predict a 50-48% victory.

[Alabama_Indy10]

I agree. Nevada will be very close.

[Politician]

Georgia, Kansas or Ohio.

[wesmoorenerd]

Bold prediction: Arizona

[Suburbia]

I agree. Nevada will be very close.

I think Laxalt wins by 3. He'll be on GOP presidential lists in the 2020s.

[MT Treasurer]

BOLD prediction: Democrats will outperform the polls in NV and both NV-SEN and NV-GOV will end up being relatively comfortable Democratic wins. I think FL, WI and AZ are all better candidates here, maybe ME or OH as well. I’d say FL, though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fl, A.Gillum will win by a fraction😁

[IceSpear]

BOLD prediction: Democrats will outperform the polls in NV and both NV-SEN and NV-GOV will end up being relatively comfortable Democratic wins. I think FL, WI and AZ are all better candidates here, maybe ME or OH as well. I’d say FL, though.

Wow, so bold. Democrats have never outperformed the polls in Nevada before!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

BOLD prediction: Democrats will outperform the polls in NV and both NV-SEN and NV-GOV will end up being relatively comfortable Democratic wins. I think FL, WI and AZ are all better candidates here, maybe ME or OH as well. I’d say FL, though.

You still have Walker winning.

SUMMER polls overstate Dem support and now the real election begins

[BBD]

South Dakota may be up there. Billie Sutton seems like the perfect dark horse candidate for this environment, despite the headwinds of trying to get elected with a (D) next to his name in a state that's continuously voted (R) for gubernatorial elections since the 80s. He is underrated as hell, if the lack of overflowing fawning media articles signifies anything. Remember Ojeda - different circumstances, definitely, but he barely got any attention in 2017, despite his fair chance of winning being known since he announced, and the articles only started flooding in once the national media zeroed in on the teacher/service personnel strikes and his role in it. So, a similar situation being unlikely in South Dakota, Billie Sutton will likely remain under the radar till November, when we get the final results.

[Very Legal & Very Cool]

South Dakota may be up there. Billie Sutton seems like the perfect dark horse candidate for this environment, despite the headwinds of trying to get elected with a (D) next to his name in a state that's continuously voted (R) for gubernatorial elections since the 80s. He is underrated as hell, if the lack of overflowing fawning media articles signifies anything. Remember Ojeda - different circumstances, definitely, but he barely got any attention in 2017, despite his fair chance of winning being known since he announced, and the articles only started flooding in once the national media zeroed in on the teacher/service personnel strikes and his role in it. So, a similar situation being unlikely in South Dakota, Billie Sutton will likely remain under the radar till November, when we get the final results.

An actual good post, but, I still disagree. I hope you're right though!

[Xing]

BOLD prediction: Democrats will outperform the polls in NV and both NV-SEN and NV-GOV will end up being relatively comfortable Democratic wins.

WHAT!? You think NEVADA polls will underestimate Democrats!!?? When has that ever happened? And even if it did, surely they won't underestimate Democrats this time.

Anyway, we'll have a better idea in October, but right now I'd say that Florida, Kansas, Ohio, and Wisconsin seem like good bets. Maybe Iowa, but we definitely need more polls of that race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

BOLD prediction: Democrats will outperform the polls in NV and both NV-SEN and NV-GOV will end up being relatively comfortable Democratic wins.

WHAT!? You think NEVADA polls will underestimate Democrats!!?? When has that ever happened? And even if it did, surely they won't underestimate Democrats this time.

Anyway, we'll have a better idea in October, but right now I'd say that Florida, Kansas, Ohio, and Wisconsin seem like good bets. Maybe Iowa, but we definitely need more polls of that race.

MT Treasurer thinks Walker will win.  But, NV has a dominant progressive female delegation and a weak male delegation since Reid has left office, Laxalt can beat win while Rosen beat Heller. Garcia is a better candidate than Sisolak.

[Roblox]

I'm thinking Florida, Ohio, and possibly Wisconsin. I think all of those races will be within 4 points either way.

[MT Treasurer]

BOLD prediction: Democrats will outperform the polls in NV and both NV-SEN and NV-GOV will end up being relatively comfortable Democratic wins.

WHAT!? You think NEVADA polls will underestimate Democrats!!?? When has that ever happened? And even if it did, surely they won't underestimate Democrats this time.

I know, right? Atlas taught me that NV polls are much more reliable than AK or FL polling.

[Torrain]

If I had to take a shot in the dark? Maine. Split field and Mills’ unpopularity leads to a razor thin margin. The race is underpolled, and what little there is suggests a close race.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Bold prediction: Oklahoma

[Progressive Pessimist]

I could see Florida, Georgia, and Ohio being decided by <1%.

[MAINEiac4434]

Maine, because of Mills’s low floor and Moody’s high ceiling.