McCain/Bush vs Gore/Lieberman 2000

[UWS]

In my opinion, had McCain won the GOP nomination in 2000, he would have been willing to unite all the factions of the Republican Party, which would have required selecting George W. Bush as his running mate, thus uniting the right-wing and the establishment wing of the party that was strongly in favor of Bush during the primaries.

How would a McCain/Bush ticket have performed against the Gore/Lieberman ticket in 2000?

[DPKdebator]

Unless the South Carolina primary incident doesn't happen, I can't see McCain picking Bush as his running mate. Gore might end up doing a little better in the South, but still loses there because of his liberalism and the fallout of the Lewinsky scandal, and Bush's religious conservatism helps keep evangelicals wary of McCain from defecting. McCain's moderate Republicanism and maverick status plays really well in the Northeast and Midwest, leading him to overperform the real Bush 2000 in most of the region. The West is mostly unchanged in the Rocky Mountain region, but New Mexico and Oregon flip.

McCain/Bush - 326
Gore/Lieberman - 212