Vosem
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Posts: 15,634
Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
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« on: August 29, 2018, 11:24:22 AM » |
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Not that this race will necessarily have the same result, but Dunleavy/Walker/Begich is a very reminiscent ideological field and starting levels of support to Miller/Murkowski/McAdams in 2010.
Both because of the national environment (which does still reach Alaska -- see 2008/2014) and Walker's not-great approval ratings making attracting new voters difficult, I sort of think Begich and not Walker will be the one to escape from the pack in October. (Begich also closed really strongly in his 2014 Senate reelection -- but really weakly in his initial 2008 race, so who knows). That's just a guess, though.
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