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March 05, 2021, 09:45:49 PM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
Election Archive
2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
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Brittain33
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AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
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Topic: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10 (Read 1826 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,250
AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
on:
August 27, 2018, 04:45:58 PM »
36% Mike Dunleavy (R) (+4 since June)
26% Bill Walker (I) (-2)
24% Mark Begich (D) (-4)
http://www.ktuu.com/content/news/Alaskas-AFL-CIO-endorses-Walker-for-governor-491684601.html
Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, what’s next? Michelle Lujan Grisham leading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. I’m just relieved I can continue to do my part, though.
#retailpolitics
Logged
Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,077
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #1 on:
August 27, 2018, 04:50:50 PM »
Walker needs to drop out.
Logged
Pandaguineapig
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,608
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #2 on:
August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM »
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,939
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #3 on:
August 27, 2018, 04:53:09 PM »
Impossible. Atlas told me that Walker and Dunleavy would split the right wing vote and allow Bad Boy Begich to dominate.
Quote from: MT Treasurer on August 27, 2018, 04:45:58 PM
Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, what’s next? Michelle Lujan Grisham leading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. I’m just relieved I can continue to do my part, though.
#retailpolitics
Lol, it's like the pollsters conspired this week to troll this forum.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,939
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #4 on:
August 27, 2018, 04:56:58 PM »
Quote from: Lincoln Assemblyman Should've Endorsed McCain in '16 on August 27, 2018, 04:50:50 PM
Walker
Begich needs to drop out.
It was dumb for him to run to begin with, it was probably done solely as an ego trip. And he could very well end up giving Republicans their only gubernatorial pickup of 2018.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
Posts: 11,246
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #5 on:
August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM »
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,939
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #6 on:
August 27, 2018, 07:18:11 PM »
Two way race:
Walker 47
Dunleavy 43
And according to this article, the AFL-CIO has just endorsed Walker. It is time for Begich to end his vanity run and drop out.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,332
Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #7 on:
August 27, 2018, 07:26:50 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 27, 2018, 04:56:58 PM
Quote from: Lincoln Assemblyman Should've Endorsed McCain in '16 on August 27, 2018, 04:50:50 PM
Walker
Begich needs to drop out.
It was dumb for him to run to begin with, it was probably done solely as an ego trip. And he could very well end up giving Republicans their only gubernatorial pickup of 2018.
Logged
Alabama_Indy10
YaBB God
Posts: 4,339
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #8 on:
August 27, 2018, 07:29:40 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,718
Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #9 on:
August 27, 2018, 07:35:32 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on August 27, 2018, 07:29:40 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Moderators
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,137
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #10 on:
August 27, 2018, 07:36:31 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on August 27, 2018, 07:35:32 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on August 27, 2018, 07:29:40 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
Atlas Legend
Posts: 48,467
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #11 on:
August 27, 2018, 07:43:11 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on August 27, 2018, 04:45:58 PM
36% Mike Dunleavy (R) (+4 since June)
26% Bill Walker (I) (-2)
24% Mark Begich (D) (-4)
http://www.ktuu.com/content/news/Alaskas-AFL-CIO-endorses-Walker-for-governor-491684601.html
Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, what’s next? Steve Pearceleading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. I’m just relieved I can continue to do my part, though.
#retailpolitics
Logged
Quislings Anonymous
Fubart Solman
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,841
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #12 on:
August 27, 2018, 10:10:08 PM »
Walker needs to drop so that
Begich
can win.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,332
Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #13 on:
August 27, 2018, 11:43:42 PM »
Begich wins the award of biggest pos retread that I've seen in quite a while.
Logged
smoltchanov
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,768
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #14 on:
August 28, 2018, 12:06:35 AM »
Quote from: KingSweden on August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,037
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #15 on:
August 28, 2018, 12:13:11 AM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on August 28, 2018, 12:06:35 AM
Quote from: KingSweden on August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
The Saint
TheSaint250
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,921
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #16 on:
August 28, 2018, 07:01:14 AM »
«
Edited:
August 28, 2018, 09:31:45 AM
by
Delegate The Saint »
Quote from: Lincoln Assemblyman Should've Endorsed McCain in '16 on August 27, 2018, 04:50:50 PM
Walker needs to drop out.
Yes, because the incumbent governor needs to make room for a losing challenger because muh split-ticket voting
Quote from: RubioRepublican on August 28, 2018, 02:50:02 AM
Quote from: ON Progressive on August 27, 2018, 07:36:31 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on August 27, 2018, 07:35:32 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on August 27, 2018, 07:29:40 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM
Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,387
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #17 on:
August 28, 2018, 09:23:41 AM »
Somewhere between lean and likely R
Logged
Zaybay
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,004
Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #18 on:
August 28, 2018, 09:27:33 AM »
Its pretty obvious that this race is gonna be a staredown, a game of chicken. Begich and Walker both know that they are both favoured against the R, but with them both in the race, their chances both diminish. Its a game of who drops out first, and I personally think that Walker will.
Now that I think about it, its possible that Begich will drop out, and that could be the whole plan. A run to regain his name rec and base before running for senate in 2020, but thats just a hunch.
Logged
President Biden
Politician
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,039
Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #19 on:
August 28, 2018, 09:28:50 AM »
Yeah, no. I don't buy this at all.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,939
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #20 on:
August 28, 2018, 01:48:21 PM »
Quote from: Racist Ancestral Democrat on August 28, 2018, 09:28:50 AM
Yeah, no. I don't buy this at all.
Why?
Logged
President Biden
Politician
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,039
Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #21 on:
August 28, 2018, 01:51:50 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 28, 2018, 01:48:21 PM
Quote from: Racist Ancestral Democrat on August 28, 2018, 09:28:50 AM
Yeah, no. I don't buy this at all.
Why?
Alaska polls are some of the least reliable in the country. I also don't believe this is Safe R like most of the forum because of vote-splitting (I feel the polls are overestimating this).
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,559
Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #22 on:
August 28, 2018, 02:22:42 PM »
Alaska polls are a joke. We won't know anything until votes come in on election night.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
Posts: 23,873
Political Matrix
E: -6.26, S: -4.96
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #23 on:
August 28, 2018, 02:28:34 PM »
Obviously the undecideds and half of Walker’s supporters will get behind Bad Boy Begich when they realize how badass he is.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,793
Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: -5.20
Re: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
«
Reply #24 on:
August 28, 2018, 02:43:07 PM »
Begich is really an idiot. Why does he run? He just hands the governor's mansion to the Republicans. Walker needs the left of center votes to hang on. I hope Begich drops out like Mallott did four years ago.
Logged
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