VA-Roanoke: Kaine +17

[Sir Mohamed]

Tim Kaine (D, inc.): 51%
Corey Stewart (R): 34%

Source

Safe D, obviously.

[Skye]

Safe D.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

WaPO said this was still competitive and that Barbara Comstock can still win.

[Sir Mohamed]

WaPO said this was still competitive and that Barbara Comstock can still win.

Sure, and pigs can still learn to fly.

[Politician]

#KaineUnder55

Safe D, obviously. A fitting end for the Virginia Republicans.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wow, Governor Northam is wildly popular.

[TheSaint250]

I hope pollsters include the Libertarian more and more.

[LimoLiberal]

WaPO said this was still competitive and that Barbara Comstock can still win.

Where did the Washington Post say that?

[96FJV]

I wonder if Corey Stewart will cause other Republicans in the house to lose. Like if Taylor, and Brat could go too?

[Politician]

WaPO said this was still competitive and that Barbara Comstock can still win.

Where did the Washington Post say that?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/the-fix/wp/2018/07/20/the-top-10-senate-races-give-democrats-a-narrow-opening-to-win-the-senate/

See the map: Texas is not competitive while Virginia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

GCB D+11 (46-35)

Northam approval 54-18

Note: weighting was done to match the 2014 Virginia statewide election exit poll.

[LimoLiberal]

GCB D+11 (46-35)

Northam approval 54-18

Note: weighting was done to match the 2014 Virginia statewide election exit poll.

For reference, the 2016 US House vote in Virginia was a 49-49 tie.

Also, Northam is becoming a god-tier governor.

[MT Treasurer]

Safe D like always, but in a Clllinnntttoonnn miiiddtteerrrmm Stewart would have easily closed that gap and won the special election by 1-3 points. With political goddess Barbara Comstock and Clinton in the White House (because let’s face it, it’s hard to find a region where she would have been more unpopular than Northern Virginia), it would have been Safe R, duh.

[Gass3268]

GCB D+11 (46-35)

Northam approval 54-18

Note: weighting was done to match the 2014 Virginia statewide election exit poll.

After 2017 that feels like a mistake.

[Virginiá]

If you use Northam's win as a rough baseline, D+11 GCB should be enough to flip to VA-02 and VA-07, in addition to VA-10 quite handily, but that is already assumed. VA-05 probably becomes a tossup.

[ON Progressive]

Anyone in VA know why Northam is so incredibly popular? I know it’s a blue state now, but 54-18 is nuts.

[Yank2133]

Anyone in VA know why Northam is so incredibly popular? I know it’s a blue state now, but 54-18 is nuts.

Medicaid Expansion

[IceSpear]

Who wants to guess that percentage of Republicans Stewart will win? I'll go with 92%.

[IceSpear]

Who wants to guess that percentage of Republicans Stewart will win? I'll go with 92%.

95%. We saw that the racist NOVA RINOs loved Corey in the primary

The same percentage Gillespie got? Bold.

[Politician]

Who wants to guess that percentage of Republicans Stewart will win? I'll go with 92%.

85%

[IceSpear]

Honestly, Corey should've moved to West Virginia and run against Manchin instead. He's be a #perfectfit for the state, and certainly a far stronger candidate than DC lobbyist elitist Patrick Morrissey.

[President Johnson]

Yeah, safe Democratic. I wouldn't be surprised if Kaine almost hits 60% in the end and brings down Dave Brat as well.

Honestly, Corey should've moved to West Virginia and run against Manchin instead. He's be a #perfectfit for the state, and certainly a far stronger candidate than DC lobbyist elitist Patrick Morrissey.

The West Virginia Republicans had their chance and blew it; they wanted the carpetbagger instead. Don Blankensh*t would have crushed Joe Manchin pretty easily

[Politician]

Yeah, safe Democratic. I wouldn't be surprised if Kaine almost hits 60% in the end and brings down Dave Brat as well.

Honestly, Corey should've moved to West Virginia and run against Manchin instead. He's be a #perfectfit for the state, and certainly a far stronger candidate than DC lobbyist elitist Patrick Morrissey.

The West Virginia Republicans had their chance and blew it; they wanted the carpetbagger instead. Don Blankensh*t would have crushed Joe Manchin pretty easily

No. He might actually be doing better than Morrissey though, which would be hilarious.

[MT Treasurer]

Can’t wait until the "Rate VA-SEN 2020/VA-GOV 2021" threads start popping up. Should be as much as fun as all the "KY-SEN 2020 is a Tossup" takes. Some people never learn.

[IceSpear]

Can’t wait until the "Rate VA-SEN 2020/VA-GOV 2021" threads start popping up. Should be as much as fun as all the "KY-SEN 2020 is a Tossup" takes. Some people never learn.

I remember back in 2014 a few people (including myself) were arguing that Warner narrowly winning was actually a positive sign for Virginia Dems because they still managed to hold on despite there being a Republican wave and Warner barely running a campaign. We were ridiculed for it, but it turned out to be true.