SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
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  SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4
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Author Topic: SC Garin-Hart-Yang (D): McMaster +4  (Read 743 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: August 22, 2018, 08:49:33 AM »

https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/democrat-moves-to-center-in-south-carolina-governor-s-race/article_efeeaacc-a551-11e8-b288-cf9f194b038c.html

McMaster 47
Smith 43
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2018, 09:09:19 AM »

Sleeper race?

McMaster seemed vulnerable from the beginning on, he nearly lost the primary and only prevailed thanks to Trump.

Not more than Lean R at this moment. Probably even closer to toss-up than likely, but we need to see more polling as the campaign progresses.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2018, 09:10:48 AM »

McMaster is definitely vulnerable, but I dont see the undecideds flipping to the Ds in a large enough quantity.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2018, 09:11:08 AM »

Likely R, but I wouldn't be surprised if this was within five points (even in 2010, this race was much closer than expected).
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2018, 09:11:52 AM »

McMaster is definitely vulnerable, but I dont see the undecideds flipping to the Ds in a large enough quantity.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2018, 09:18:51 AM »

McMaster is definitely vulnerable, but I dont see the undecideds flipping to the Ds in a large enough quantity.
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GM Team Member WB
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« Reply #6 on: August 22, 2018, 09:58:01 AM »

Still lean R, a bit disappointing since this is an internal.
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
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« Reply #7 on: August 22, 2018, 10:01:23 AM »

43% in a Democratic internal tells us nothing. Any Democrat running statewide in SC is guaranteed roughly 43% of the vote in a year like this.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: August 22, 2018, 10:36:57 AM »

43% in a Democratic internal tells us nothing. Any Democrat running statewide in SC is guaranteed roughly 43% of the vote in a year like this.

This. I'm not going to draw any conclusions from a single internal poll, especially from a pollster that routinely inflates Democratic chances.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: August 22, 2018, 11:49:03 AM »

43% in a Democratic internal tells us nothing. Any Democrat running statewide in SC is guaranteed roughly 43% of the vote in a year like this.

This. I'm not going to draw any conclusions from a single internal poll, especially from a pollster that routinely inflates Democratic chances.

The way the House is going, you can have upsets, but OK is more likely to flip at this point.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2018, 01:37:49 PM »

New Poll: South Carolina Governor by Garin-Hart-Yang on 2018-08-09

Summary: D: 43%, R: 47%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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