🚨🚨🚨FL-Gov: GILLUM +11🚨🚨🚨 (user search)
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  🚨🚨🚨FL-Gov: GILLUM +11🚨🚨🚨 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 🚨🚨🚨FL-Gov: GILLUM +11🚨🚨🚨  (Read 2487 times)
Donerail
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« on: August 21, 2018, 03:19:54 PM »

Gillum: 33%
Graham: 22%
Levine: 22%
Greene: 10%

Pollster: Change Research (Gillum internal)
Sample size: 1,178 (including 241 early voters)
Dates: August 18-19
Link to release

Rumor also has it that the latest Associated Industries poll has Gillum in 2nd, though that hasn't been released/leaked yet.
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Donerail
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2018, 03:28:19 PM »

reminds me of blankenship internal showing him up 17, lol

The difference here is that you have a real pollster willing to sign their name to it — the Blankenship "poll," IIRC, was just a campaign press release saying "these are the numbers from our internal poll" and was probably bs all along
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Donerail
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2018, 03:43:09 PM »

Change being a "real pollster" is questionable. They had Perreilo ahead by 8 in the VA-Gov D primary, El-Sayed within single digits of Whitmer in the MI-Gov D primary, and claimed in a tweet they had Newman pulling away from Lipinski.
they were also within a point of the final result in the MT & SC specials and were the only poster to show Stewart coming anywhere near Gillespie in 2017, but thank you for cherry-picking the least favorable examples to fit your case.
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Donerail
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2018, 07:19:33 PM »

change research VINDICATED
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Donerail
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2018, 09:32:35 PM »

They still were off by double digits, so it's hardly vindication of anything.

No, actually, Change was off by eight, which means they were the only firm to not be off by double digits — St. Pete was ten off, all the rest were worse.
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