Hey you, look at and respond to these potential Senate results
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  Hey you, look at and respond to these potential Senate results
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Author Topic: Hey you, look at and respond to these potential Senate results  (Read 539 times)
pops
katman46
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« on: August 19, 2018, 11:43:02 PM »

AZ: Sinema 53 - McSally 46 (D Gain)
CA: Feinstein 56 - Leon 44
CT: Murphy 68 - Corey 32
DE: Carper 62 - Truono 38
FL: Scott 49.4 - Nelson 48.9 (R Gain)
HI: Hirono 59 - Curtis 38
IN: Donnelly 52 - Braun 44
ME: King 51 - Brakey 32 - Ringelstein 14
MD: Cardin 59 - Campbell 27 - Simon 12
MA: Warren 61 - Diehl 31 - Ayyadurai 7
MI: Stabenow 57 - James 42
MN-1: Klobuchaur 65 - Newberger 32
MN-2: Smith 52 - Housely 46
MS-1: Wicker 59 - Baria 41
MS-2: Espy 41 - Hyde-Smith 37 - McDaniel 21 (Goes to runoff)
MO: McCaskill 54 - Hawley 43
MT: Tester 51 - Rosendale 45
NE: Fischer 61 - Raybould 37
NV: Rosen 50 - Heller 47 (D Gain)
NJ: Menendez 50 - Hugin 49
NM: Heinrich 53 - Johnson 24 - Rich 23
NY: Gillibrand 67 - Farley 33
ND: Cramer 51 - Heitkamp 49 (R Gain)
OH: Brown 57 - Renacci 43
PA: Casey 59 - Barletta 41
TN: Bredesen 52 - Blackburn 48 (D Gain)
TX: Cruz 54 - O'Rourke 45
UT: Romney 74 - Wilson 21
VT: Sanders 78 - Paige 19
VA: Kaine 59 - Stewart 38
WA: Cantwell 57 - Hutchinson 43
WV: Manchin 56 - Morrisey 44
WI: Baldwin 56 - Vukmir 44
WY: Barrasso 61 - Trauner 38
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1 on: August 19, 2018, 11:53:50 PM »

Numerically - plausible. 3 gains for D, 2 - for R. Though i still doubt Bredesen chances, Tennessee became much more conservative then even 10 years ago. But - too "big" percentages for Donnelly and McCaskill. Akin's syndrome AGAIN???
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pops
katman46
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« Reply #2 on: August 19, 2018, 11:58:34 PM »

Numerically - plausible. 3 gains for D, 2 - for R. Though i still doubt Bredesen chances, Tennessee became much more conservative then even 10 years ago. But - too "big" percentages for Donnelly and McCaskill. Akin's syndrome AGAIN???

I honestly think the McCaskill campaign has some type of secret footage or video tape or something that will hurt Hawley in October. If I’m wrong I still think she wins, but not by as much
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2018, 12:27:44 AM »

Yay Manchin!!!!
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2018, 12:56:55 AM »

I'm guessing there will be more close results than that, but otherwise the one race that sticks out is Washington. It'd be surprising for Cantwell to only win by 14%.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2018, 02:35:22 AM »

1. I would be incredibly disappointed in Nelson. Considering they're polling in a dead heat right now while Scott has been campaigning his ass off and Nelson hasn't, such a close result would indicate to me that Nelson's campaign never really got up and running. I honestly would've preferred his retirement in favor of someone like Stephanie Murphy.

2. I would be shocked at the result in Indiana. Braun really must have imploded to be defeated by eight points, or maybe Donnelly's centrist tack really just worked gangbusters. I would assume the former would be likely, seeing as Braun likely has some skeletons.

3. Espy is pretty obviously screwed in the runoff. Not really much to say there.

4. Just like Indiana, I would be shocked about the Missouri result. I can only assume that Hawley continued his lackluster campaigning throughout the campaign.

5. WHEW NJ was close. That probably would've given me an aneurysm on election night. Menendez clearly should've retired in favor of somebody less glaringly corrupt, because almost losing to Hugin in this kind of environment would be a terrible sign.

6. Shame about ND, although I do think that result looks pretty plausible. I think even a result that close would demonstrate Heitkamp is truly a master of retail politics.

7. Also a shame that O'Rourke did so poorly. Seeing as I'm predicting a low single digit win for Cruz at this point, I wouldn't have expected a result this bad. Probably not a good sign for the state in the future.

Overall, I would be slightly disappointed we didn't retake the Senate, and extraordinarily disappointed in Bill Nelson.
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Politician
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« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2018, 07:14:17 AM »

Surpised Donnelly and McCaskill did so well while Nelson and Heitkamp went down. Not a great result overall, and New Jersey was frighteningly close. Still, it's D+1 (assuming Espy loses the runoff).
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: August 20, 2018, 07:54:52 AM »

Most of them are believable, but I think there will be a lot of close races.
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