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News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11
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Author Topic: IL-Victory Research: Pritzker +11  (Read 1344 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: August 16, 2018, 03:08:00 PM »

https://www.illinoispoliticsblog.com/single-post/PRITZKER-LEADS-RAUNER-BY-11-POINTS-IN-LATEST-ILLINOIS-POLL-PritzkerE28099s-lead-down-from-15-points-six-weeks-ago

The poll of 1208 likely Illinois general election voters was conducted August 12-14, 2018. The margin of error is 2.8%. The poll was conducted by live callers and answered on both land lines (614) and cell phones (594).

Pritzker - 41%
Rauner - 30%
McCann - 9%
Jackson - 2%
Undecided - 18%
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2018, 03:18:24 PM »

Pritzker was at 45% in their last poll. Rauner gaining ground.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2018, 03:19:57 PM »

Pritzker will win 56-44%
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2018, 03:21:57 PM »

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If Rauner hadnt alienated his conservative base, this would have been an embarrassingly small margin of victory for Pritzker. Heck, its embarrassing even now. Still Safe D, though.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2018, 03:22:18 PM »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2018, 03:27:16 PM »

It's the Midwest WI, MI, and IL don't have blowout victories.  Evers, Whitmer and Pritzker should win around 53-47%.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2018, 03:31:27 PM »

Strange poll that understates Pritzker's performance. He will get at least 55%, which is a solid base of Democratic support in this friendly enviornment. McCann might sink Rauner below 40% though. Worst case scenario for Rauner is 55-35-10%. Safe Democratic anyway.
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jimmie
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2018, 03:32:34 PM »

I'm really nervous to be honest
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2018, 03:41:57 PM »

New Poll: Illinois Governor by Victory Research on 2018-08-14

Summary: D: 41%, R: 30%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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President Biden
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2018, 03:48:16 PM »

Safe D, of course.
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Skye
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2018, 05:36:08 PM »

It's still Likely D.
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RoboWop
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2018, 05:40:37 PM »

Safe D to Likely D for me.
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2018, 06:37:48 PM »

Safe D, but I hope that the Democrats primary Pritzker in 2022.
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Green Line
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« Reply #13 on: August 16, 2018, 06:53:24 PM »

The bumpkins of Southern Illinois need to wake up and realize that "Illinois is worth fighting for" - and that ain't gonna happen with McCann.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #14 on: August 16, 2018, 07:31:11 PM »

IL is an Obama state, Safe D
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: August 16, 2018, 07:53:18 PM »


Stellar #analysis. Sen. Giannoulias and Gov. Quinn agree.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #16 on: August 16, 2018, 07:55:07 PM »

They were scandaled, Hillary won it convincingly
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: August 16, 2018, 08:00:50 PM »

They were scandaled, Hillary won it convincingly

LOL, please let this become a new forum meme.
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: August 16, 2018, 08:08:15 PM »

Does that mean that Pritzker might lose if he too gets scandaled?
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #19 on: August 16, 2018, 08:09:58 PM »

No, Rauner is a billionaire and is a GOPer, unfortunately for him he has an R next his name. IL is an Obama state and hates Trump.  Rauner is looked upon as the same as Trump. 
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« Reply #20 on: August 16, 2018, 08:11:21 PM »

No, Rauner is a billionaire and is a GOPer, unfortunately for him he has an R next his name. IL is an Obama state and hates Trump.  Rauner is looked upon as the same as Trump. 

Good thing his opponent totally isn't a billionaire.
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Former Kentuckian
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« Reply #21 on: August 16, 2018, 08:25:38 PM »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley

God, I wish. Only good outcome from this mess.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #22 on: August 16, 2018, 08:41:02 PM »

What those subtabs tell me is Pritzker has a lot of room to grow in Chicago and Cook County.
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jfern
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« Reply #23 on: August 16, 2018, 08:59:05 PM »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley

God, I wish. Only good outcome from this mess.

It's more of a question of when than if.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #24 on: August 17, 2018, 02:04:15 AM »

Yet another poll that shows this race would be close right now if not for McCann. It's absolutely pathetic that Dems have to rely on a right wing spoiler candidate to bail them out in a deep blue state during a Dem wave, but I guess IL Dems gonna IL Dem.

Hopefully Pritzker gets thrown in prison shortly after winning and we get a Gov. Juliana Stratton. Smiley

Lock him up! Lock him up!
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