Al Gore and Pete Wilson: How long could they have won senate races?

[President Johnson]

Both Al Gore and Pete Wilson were senators until the early 1990s when they resigned to become a vice president and a governor. Both were in relatively safe positions while in the senate, but their states shifted away from their respective parties after they left congress. This is interesting to think about: If both stayed in the senate and ran for reelection over and over again, how long could they have survived? Everything else just stays he same, Bill Clinton just picks another VP who loses to Dubya in 2000 and another Republican serves as California governor from 1991 to 1999.

I'd say Al Gore had been reelected in 1996 and defeated in 2002, which was a bad year for Democrats; Pete Wilson would have won again in 1994 and likely 2000, but gone down in 2006 (even if Arnie is reelected governor). Maybe hang on to 2012, but by then he would have lost.

[Lechasseur]

This seems about right

[Sumner 1868]

Pete Wilson would not have been reelected in 2000 with the increasing unionization of working-class Hispanics.

http://www.beyondchron.org/latino-voting-driven-labor-not-anti-immigrant-attacks/

[CookieDamage]

Al Gore would have lost in 2002, 2010, and definitely would have been canned in 2014.

[YE]

Pete Wilson loses in 2000. Al Gore falls in 2014.

[Politician]

Wilson easily wins in 1994, but is unseated in 2000. If he survives that, he's blanched in 2006.

Gore wins easily in 1996, but then is probably defeated in 2002. Id he survives, he easily wins in 2008 only to get crushed in 2014.

[Rhenna]

Gore would have held on with Bredesen also at the top of the ticket in 02. He probably would have survived 08. He will have definitely retired before 2014 IMO but he would have a 40% chance of surviving 2014, depending on the candidate.
I can see Wilson survive 2000, and maybe even 2006 with Arnold Schwarzenegger on the ticket, but he would definitely be DOA by 2012.

[dw93]

Wilson is out by 2000. Gore eeks out a win in '96, 2002 and 2008 depend on what kind of Butterfly effects take place in this scenario. He's definitely out by Jan. 2015.

[Continential]

Gore will live to when he retires in 2014 or maybe not due to butterflies and Pete Wilson is doomed past 2000 and 2006 He's ed as hell,

[NewYorkExpress]

Gore would probably still be in the Senate today...but he'd be DOA if he ran for reelection in 2020.

Wilson might have won in 2000 and 2006 (though he would have needed a lot of help in both years), but he would have been DOA in 2012, if he got that that far.